Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
633
FNUS52 KILM 170639
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
239 AM EDT Thu Sep 17 2026
.DISCUSSION...
Temperatures near seasonal norms for mid-September will begin to
gradually warm later this week. Warm and humid conditions are
expected this weekend with increasing rain chances that will last
into early next week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-171945-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
239 AM EDT Thu Sep 17 2026
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 90 65 93
Min/Max RH (%) 40 98 48
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 77/1000 1900 80/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4600 5300
Transport Wind (mph) E 7 W 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 32200 47700
ADI Early 35 Fair 4 Very Poor 25 Fair
ADI Late 35 Fair 3 Very Poor 42 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 6
Max LVORI Late 2 8 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. North
winds around 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-171945-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
239 AM EDT Thu Sep 17 2026
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 90 66 95
Min/Max RH (%) 37 97 44
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/1000 1900 79/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4500 6100
Transport Wind (mph) E 6 W 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 27000 42700
ADI Early 22 Fair 4 Very Poor 21 Fair
ADI Late 29 Fair 4 Very Poor 44 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 4 6
Max LVORI Late 2 7 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent. Light
winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-171945-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Red Hill, Loris, and Aynor
239 AM EDT Thu Sep 17 2026
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 89 66 93
Min/Max RH (%) 42 97 46
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 77/1000 1900 80/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 5300
Transport Wind (mph) E 8 W 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 39200 37100
ADI Early 39 Fair 4 Very Poor 19 Gen Poor
ADI Late 41 Gen Good 3 Very Poor 39 Fair
Max LVORI Early 6 5 6
Max LVORI Late 2 7 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. North
winds around 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-171945-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
239 AM EDT Thu Sep 17 2026
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 90 65 93
Min/Max RH (%) 37 95 43
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/1000 1900 79/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4800 6300
Transport Wind (mph) E 6 NW 6
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 28800 37800
ADI Early 22 Fair 4 Very Poor 19 Gen Poor
ADI Late 33 Fair 4 Very Poor 40 Fair
Max LVORI Early 9 4 6
Max LVORI Late 2 7 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent. Light
winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 57 percent. Light
winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 57 percent. Light
winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$