Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
034
FNUS52 KILM 220859
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
359 AM EST Fri Nov 22 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Dry air and gusty afternoon winds will continue into the weekend
before a gradual warming and moistening trend commences early next
week. A dry cold front is expected to pass through late on
Tuesday with drier air filtering in behind it for Wednesday.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-230100-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
359 AM EST Fri Nov 22 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 53 37 60
Min/Max RH (%) 35 75 44
Wind20ft/Early (mph) W 6 G19 W 7 G20 W 8 G19
Wind20ft/Late (mph) W 11 G22 W 8 G21 NW 8 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 42/0900 1700 47/0900
Dispersion Good
Haines Index 4 4 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7100 3700
Transport Wind (mph) NW 31 NW 22
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 220100 81400
ADI Early 84 Good 13 Gen Poor 60 Gen Good
ADI Late 105 Very Good13 Gen Poor 74 Good
Max LVORI Early 3 2 3
Max LVORI Late 2 3 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C E C
Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 45 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
77 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
52 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs around 70. Minimum RH 64 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-230100-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
359 AM EST Fri Nov 22 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 54 37 61
Min/Max RH (%) 33 79 44
Wind20ft/Early (mph) W 5 G18 W 6 W 7
Wind20ft/Late (mph) W 10 G21 W 7 W 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 42/0900 1700 46/0900
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 4 3
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7100 3800
Transport Wind (mph) NW 30 NW 21
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 213000 79800
ADI Early 112 Very Good12 Poor 71 Good
ADI Late 104 Very Good13 Gen Poor 73 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 2 4
Max LVORI Late 2 3 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C E C
Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the lower 50s.
Maximum RH 85 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
75 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
45 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-230100-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
359 AM EST Fri Nov 22 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 54 35 61
Min/Max RH (%) 35 79 43
Wind20ft/Early (mph) W 6 G19 W 5 G17 W 7
Wind20ft/Late (mph) NW 10 G21 W 5 NW 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 43/0900 1700 46/0900
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 4 3
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6900 3500
Transport Wind (mph) NW 30 NW 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 207000 63000
ADI Early 94 Good 8 Poor 58 Gen Good
ADI Late 103 Very Good8 Poor 60 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 3 3 4
Max LVORI Late 2 3 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
63 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
83 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
66 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-230100-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
359 AM EST Fri Nov 22 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 54 34 61
Min/Max RH (%) 33 83 42
Wind20ft/Early (mph) W 5 G18 W 4 W 6
Wind20ft/Late (mph) NW 10 G20 W 5 NW 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 42/0900 1700 45/0900
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6900 3700
Transport Wind (mph) NW 30 NW 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 207000 62900
ADI Early 92 Good 9 Poor 55 Gen Good
ADI Late 103 Very Good8 Poor 55 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 4 3 4
Max LVORI Late 2 4 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 63 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...Weiner