Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
927
FNUS52 KILM 241209
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
809 AM EDT Fri Jul 24 2026
.DISCUSSION...
A stalled front could lead to periods of moderate to heavy
rainfall through the weekend. The front will move south of the
area Sunday with drier conditions prevailing before isolated
showers and storms return along the sea breeze early next week.
Another approaching front could lead to better rainfall coverage
mid next week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-250115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
809 AM EDT Fri Jul 24 2026
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 80 70 80
Chance Thunder (%) 70 70 70
Max/Min Temp 87 71 85
Min/Max RH (%) 80 100 83
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 Lgt/Var W 4
Precip Amount 0.80 0.51 1.16
Precip Duration 10 7 10
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/0900 1900 77/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2900 2200
Transport Wind (mph) SW 10 SW 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 29000 22000
ADI Early 30 Fair 6 Very Poor 21 Fair
ADI Late 35 Fair 4 Very Poor 26 Fair
Max LVORI Early 7 7 7
Max LVORI Late 4 9 4
Min VSBY Early 4 Rain 5 Rain 3 Rain
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 5 Rain 3 Rain
Turner Stability B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-250115-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
809 AM EDT Fri Jul 24 2026
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 70 70 80
Chance Thunder (%) 70 70 50
Max/Min Temp 87 71 84
Min/Max RH (%) 80 100 79
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.50 0.48 0.68
Precip Duration 8 7 9
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/0800 1900 75/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2700 2400
Transport Wind (mph) W 9 NW 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 24300 19200
ADI Early 17 Gen Poor 4 Very Poor 20 Gen Poor
ADI Late 25 Fair 4 Very Poor 23 Fair
Max LVORI Early 8 9 8
Max LVORI Late 5 9 4
Min VSBY Early 2 Rain 5 Rain 3 Rain
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 4 Rain 4 Rain
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
63 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Light winds.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-250115-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Red Hill, Loris, and Aynor
809 AM EDT Fri Jul 24 2026
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 80 70 80
Chance Thunder (%) 70 70 70
Max/Min Temp 90 72 85
Min/Max RH (%) 70 100 83
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.52 0.42 0.71
Precip Duration 5 4 9
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0800 1900 78/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 2300
Transport Wind (mph) SW 10 SW 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 42000 23000
ADI Early 31 Fair 4 Very Poor 22 Fair
ADI Late 36 Fair 4 Very Poor 25 Fair
Max LVORI Early 7 9 8
Max LVORI Late 4 9 4
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 6 Rain 4 Rain
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 6 Rain 4 Rain
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-250115-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
809 AM EDT Fri Jul 24 2026
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 70 70 70
Chance Thunder (%) 70 70 70
Max/Min Temp 89 71 85
Min/Max RH (%) 70 100 78
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.43 0.49 0.55
Precip Duration 5 6 8
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 77/0900 2000 76/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3500 2700
Transport Wind (mph) W 8 N 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 28000 24300
ADI Early 17 Gen Poor 3 Very Poor 23 Fair
ADI Late 25 Fair 4 Very Poor 28 Fair
Max LVORI Early 8 9 8
Max LVORI Late 4 9 4
Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 4 Rain 3 Rain
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 4 Rain 5 Rain
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
63 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Light winds.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...29