Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
435
FNUS52 KILM 191808
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
208 PM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Northeast winds expected over the next few days in a pressure
gradient between high pressure to our north and Hurricane Erin
well offshore. A cold front will approach the area later this
week bringing cooler temperatures.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-200715-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
208 PM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Showers Showers Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 40 30 20
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 20
Min/Max Temp 72 89 73 90
Max/Min RH (%) 99 69 92 62
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var NE 7 G17 N 9 G21 N 11 G22
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 4 NE 9 G20 N 9 G22 N 10 G21
Precip Amount 0.00 0.03 0.02 0.00
Precip Duration 1 0 0
Precip Begin 9 AM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing 8 PM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 77/0900 2000 74/0600
Dispersion Poor Good
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4000 4700
Transport Wind (mph) NE 20 N 21
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 80000 98700
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 51 Gen Good 25 Fair 87 Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 62 Good 20 Gen Poor 90 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 6 4 4
Max LVORI Late 6 3 4 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F C D C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
89 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 92 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-200715-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
208 PM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers None None
Chance Precip (%) 20 20 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 72 89 73 89
Max/Min RH (%) 99 63 92 58
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var NE 5 N 5 N 8 G18
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var NE 7 N 6 N 8 G18
Precip Amount 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0 0
Precip Begin 6 PM 2 PM
Precip End 9 PM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 76/0900 2000 74/0600
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4400 5300
Transport Wind (mph) NE 17 N 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 74800 90100
ADI Early 4 Very Poor 50 Gen Good 21 Fair 75 Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 68 Good 12 Poor 104 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 7 6 4 4
Max LVORI Late 9 3 5 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
91 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
61 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. East winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 95 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Light
winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-200715-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
208 PM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None Tstms None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 30 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 20 0 0
Min/Max Temp 71 89 73 91
Max/Min RH (%) 99 65 92 58
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var N 7 G17 N 6 G17 NW 8 G17
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var NE 9 G17 N 6 G18 N 7 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 77/0900 2000 74/0600
Dispersion Poor Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4400 5300
Transport Wind (mph) N 18 N 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 79200 79500
ADI Early 6 Very Poor 53 Gen Good 24 Fair 71 Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 70 Good 12 Poor 92 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 6 4 4
Max LVORI Late 8 3 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 92 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 74 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-200715-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
208 PM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type Tstms None None None
Chance Precip (%) 30 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 20 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 71 89 72 90
Max/Min RH (%) 99 59 94 54
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var NE 5 N 5 N 6
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var NE 7 N 4 N 6
Precip Amount 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 9 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 76/0900 2000 75/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4600 5300
Transport Wind (mph) N 16 N 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 73600 63600
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 58 Gen Good 10 Poor 69 Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 81 Good 6 Very Poor 86 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 7 4 5
Max LVORI Late 8 3 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 92 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Light
winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$