Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
704
FNUS52 KILM 212016
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
316 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Dry air and gusty afternoon winds will continue into the weekend
before a gradual warming and moistening trend commences early next
week.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-221230-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
316 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 33 53 36 60
Max/Min RH (%) 73 35 80 45
Wind20ft/Early (mph) W 7 G20 W 7 G20 W 8 G21 W 8 G18
Wind20ft/Late (mph) W 7 G18 W 10 G22 W 8 G21 NW 8 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1700 41/0900 1700 42/0800
Dispersion Good Good
Haines Index 5 4 4 3
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6700 4200
Transport Wind (mph) NW 29 NW 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 194300 75600
ADI Early 11 Poor 77 Good 13 Gen Poor 66 Good
ADI Late 10 Poor 101 Very Good13 Gen Poor 61 Good
Max LVORI Early 2 3 2 4
Max LVORI Late 3 2 3 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E C E C
Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 47 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
77 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
50 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum
RH 90 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
57 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-221230-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
316 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 33 53 36 61
Max/Min RH (%) 71 33 80 44
Wind20ft/Early (mph) W 6 W 6 G19 W 7 G17 W 6
Wind20ft/Late (mph) W 5 W 10 G22 W 6 NW 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1800 42/0900 1700 42/0800
Dispersion Fair Good
Haines Index 4 4 4 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6500 3900
Transport Wind (mph) NW 28 NW 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 182000 66300
ADI Early 10 Poor 101 Very Good12 Poor 66 Good
ADI Late 7 Poor 95 Good 12 Poor 65 Good
Max LVORI Early 3 3 2 4
Max LVORI Late 3 2 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F C E C
Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Warmer. Lows in the lower 50s.
Maximum RH 89 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
73 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-221230-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
316 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 35 54 36 61
Max/Min RH (%) 70 35 80 45
Wind20ft/Early (mph) W 7 G20 W 7 G20 W 6 G18 W 6
Wind20ft/Late (mph) W 6 G17 NW 10 G22 W 6 G17 NW 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1800 41/0900 1700 42/0800
Dispersion Fair Fair
Haines Index 5 4 4 4
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6500 3600
Transport Wind (mph) NW 30 W 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 195000 46800
ADI Early 14 Gen Poor 75 Good 11 Poor 56 Gen Good
ADI Late 8 Poor 101 Very Good9 Poor 57 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 2 3 3 4
Max LVORI Late 3 2 3 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E C E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 46 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
82 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum
RH 92 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-221230-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
316 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 34 54 35 60
Max/Min RH (%) 74 34 83 45
Wind20ft/Early (mph) W 5 W 7 G18 W 5 W 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) W 5 NW 10 G21 W 5 W 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1800 42/0900 1700 41/0800
Dispersion Fair Fair
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6400 3600
Transport Wind (mph) NW 29 NW 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 185600 54000
ADI Early 13 Gen Poor 80 Good 11 Poor 51 Gen Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 95 Good 10 Poor 51 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 3 3 3 4
Max LVORI Late 3 2 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E C E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the lower 50s.
Maximum RH 91 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
80 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...21