Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
506
FNUS52 KILM 221950
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
250 PM EST Sat Feb 22 2025
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will shift offshore tonight with predominantly dry
weather holding in place through early in the week. A couple of
cold fronts will result in wind shifts during the week, with one
expected on Tuesday night and another one on Thursday. The latter
cold front may feature some light rain ahead of it.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-231200-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
250 PM EST Sat Feb 22 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 26 61 33 63
Max/Min RH (%) 100 33 98 42
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1800 50/1000 1800 42/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5100 4800
Transport Wind (mph) SW 9 SW 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 45900 38400
ADI Early 4 Very Poor 34 Fair 4 Very Poor 28 Fair
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 57 Gen Good 3 Very Poor 36 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 8 5 6
Max LVORI Late 9 2 6 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
48 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs around 70. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 86 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-231200-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
250 PM EST Sat Feb 22 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 27 61 34 64
Max/Min RH (%) 100 33 97 40
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1800 47/1000 1800 40/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4800 4500
Transport Wind (mph) W 9 SW 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 43200 36000
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 36 Fair 3 Very Poor 31 Fair
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 56 Gen Good 3 Very Poor 42 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 4 8 5 6
Max LVORI Late 9 1 6 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 43 percent. Light
winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 83 percent. West winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-231200-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
250 PM EST Sat Feb 22 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 30 61 36 63
Max/Min RH (%) 100 33 96 44
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1800 49/1000 1800 48/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5000 4400
Transport Wind (mph) SW 10 SW 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 50000 35200
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 36 Fair 4 Very Poor 22 Fair
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 56 Gen Good 3 Very Poor 36 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 8 5 6
Max LVORI Late 9 1 6 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 84 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 79 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-231200-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
250 PM EST Sat Feb 22 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 27 60 35 63
Max/Min RH (%) 100 30 94 41
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1800 47/1000 1800 46/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4700 4500
Transport Wind (mph) W 9 SW 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 42300 36000
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 35 Fair 3 Very Poor 24 Fair
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 53 Gen Good 3 Very Poor 39 Fair
Max LVORI Early 4 8 4 6
Max LVORI Late 9 1 6 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 42 percent. Light
winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 82 percent. West winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...Weiner