Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
550
FNUS52 KILM 160631
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
231 AM EDT Thu Jul 16 2026
.DISCUSSION...
Heat and humidity will return as high pressure ridges into the
area. Rain chances may return for the weekend as the influence of
the high pressure wanes.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-161945-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
231 AM EDT Thu Jul 16 2026
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 98 75 97
Min/Max RH (%) 39 93 45
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 7 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 SW 5 S 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0900 2100 80/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6600 6600
Transport Wind (mph) SW 12 SW 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 79200 59400
ADI Early 35 Fair 11 Poor 36 Fair
ADI Late 63 Good 7 Poor 67 Good
Max LVORI Early 7 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 5 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
86 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-161945-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
231 AM EDT Thu Jul 16 2026
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 96 75 98
Min/Max RH (%) 40 92 41
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SW 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) W 4 SW 4 Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/0900 2000 83/0900
Dispersion Fair
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7000 9400
Transport Wind (mph) W 10 S 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 70000 75200
ADI Early 37 Fair 6 Very Poor 31 Fair
ADI Late 75 Good 6 Very Poor 76 Good
Max LVORI Early 7 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 5 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
91 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-161945-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Red Hill, Loris, and Aynor
231 AM EDT Thu Jul 16 2026
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 95 75 97
Min/Max RH (%) 48 95 48
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SW 6 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 SW 4 S 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 81/0900 2000 84/0900
Dispersion Fair
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6100 6600
Transport Wind (mph) SW 8 S 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 48800 59400
ADI Early 36 Fair 8 Poor 32 Fair
ADI Late 52 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 61 Good
Max LVORI Early 7 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 5 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
90 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-161945-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
231 AM EDT Thu Jul 16 2026
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 96 75 97
Min/Max RH (%) 41 94 42
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SW 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) W 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/0900 2000 83/0900
Dispersion Fair
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6900 8600
Transport Wind (mph) W 9 S 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 62100 68800
ADI Early 38 Fair 6 Very Poor 27 Fair
ADI Late 68 Good 6 Very Poor 66 Good
Max LVORI Early 8 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 5 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...LEW