Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
532
FNUS52 KILM 121245
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
845 AM EDT Wed Mar 12 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Warm and dry conditions will continue through the end of the week
under weak high pressure. A cold front is expected to cross the
region this weekend, bringing the next chance for rain.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-130445-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
845 AM EDT Wed Mar 12 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 79 47 78
Min/Max RH (%) 31 94 35
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 6 Lgt/Var SW 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 66/1100 1800 67/1100
Dispersion Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3800 6500
Transport Wind (mph) S 15 SW 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 57000 110500
ADI Early 14 Gen Poor 11 Poor 23 Fair
ADI Late 58 Gen Good 7 Poor 87 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 2 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
62 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 89 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 70s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
South winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
lower 50s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent.
South winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southwest winds around
10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 69 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 28 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-130445-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
845 AM EDT Wed Mar 12 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 80 47 77
Min/Max RH (%) 27 92 36
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 Lgt/Var SW 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 64/1100 1900 66/1100
Dispersion Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4500 5600
Transport Wind (mph) SW 17 SW 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 76500 89600
ADI Early 15 Gen Poor 8 Poor 21 Fair
ADI Late 80 Good 7 Poor 93 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 3 5
Max LVORI Late 2 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 53 percent.
South winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. South
winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Cooler. Lows
in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Chance of showers
60 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 68 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 25 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-130445-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
845 AM EDT Wed Mar 12 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 79 47 77
Min/Max RH (%) 27 94 37
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 Lgt/Var SW 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 66/1100 1900 61/1000
Dispersion Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5200 6100
Transport Wind (mph) SW 16 SW 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 83200 97600
ADI Early 15 Gen Poor 8 Poor 25 Fair
ADI Late 79 Good 7 Poor 92 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 3 5
Max LVORI Late 2 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
62 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent. South
winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Cooler. Lows
in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Chance of showers
60 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 69 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 28 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-130445-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
845 AM EDT Wed Mar 12 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 79 46 77
Min/Max RH (%) 25 93 35
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SW 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 Lgt/Var SW 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 65/1100 1900 65/1100
Dispersion Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5500 5200
Transport Wind (mph) SW 18 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 99000 72800
ADI Early 15 Gen Poor 8 Poor 20 Gen Poor
ADI Late 87 Good 7 Poor 77 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 3 5
Max LVORI Late 2 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
88 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. South
winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Cooler.
Lows around 50. Maximum RH 87 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
70 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 25 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$