Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
347
FNUS52 KILM 020728
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
328 AM EDT Wed Jul 2 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms will be possible
this afternoon. An approaching cold front will further increase
chances for more widespread thunderstorm activity along with
slightly cooler temps today through Thu. Conditions will improve
Fri thru the upcoming weekend with temperatures back to normal
along with isolated to scattered diurnally driven convection.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-022030-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
328 AM EDT Wed Jul 2 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 80 70 60
Chance Thunder (%) 70 70 50
Max/Min Temp 89 71 90
Min/Max RH (%) 66 100 65
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 G17 SW 5 G17 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 8 G19 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.27 0.33 0.17
Precip Duration 4 4 5
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/0800 1900 75/0800
Dispersion Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3900 4600
Transport Wind (mph) SW 22 SW 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 85800 41400
ADI Early 75 Good 16 Gen Poor 23 Fair
ADI Late 71 Good 8 Poor 33 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 5 7
Max LVORI Late 3 6 3
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 3 Rain 6 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability C E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 55 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 89 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ096-099-022030-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
328 AM EDT Wed Jul 2 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 70 70 40
Chance Thunder (%) 70 70 40
Max/Min Temp 88 71 91
Min/Max RH (%) 70 100 60
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.48 0.33 0.11
Precip Duration 5 3 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0800 2000 76/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3800 5100
Transport Wind (mph) SW 20 N 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 76000 35700
ADI Early 61 Good 9 Poor 20 Gen Poor
ADI Late 70 Good 5 Very Poor 38 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 9 8
Max LVORI Late 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 5 Rain
Min VSBY Late 3 Rain 5 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability C F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 92 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 56 percent. Light
winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Light
winds.
$$
NCZ087-022030-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
328 AM EDT Wed Jul 2 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 80 60 30
Chance Thunder (%) 70 60 30
Max/Min Temp 86 71 91
Min/Max RH (%) 73 100 55
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 7 Lgt/Var N 4
Precip Amount 0.39 0.19 0.06
Precip Duration 6 2 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 3 AM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0800 2000 76/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3000 5300
Transport Wind (mph) SW 18 N 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 54000 37100
ADI Early 54 Gen Good 10 Poor 29 Fair
ADI Late 57 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 38 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 9 8
Max LVORI Late 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 6 Rain 5 Rain
Min VSBY Late 4 Rain 5 Rain 7
Turner Stability C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
93 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-022030-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
328 AM EDT Wed Jul 2 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 70 60 60
Chance Thunder (%) 70 60 50
Max/Min Temp 90 71 90
Min/Max RH (%) 62 100 67
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 S 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 7 G17 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.22 0.24 0.15
Precip Duration 4 3 5
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 77/0800 1900 77/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4800 4600
Transport Wind (mph) SW 21 W 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 100800 36800
ADI Early 79 Good 11 Poor 19 Gen Poor
ADI Late 76 Good 7 Poor 34 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 6 7
Max LVORI Late 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 3 Rain 6 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
56 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 92 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-022030-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
328 AM EDT Wed Jul 2 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 80 60 40
Chance Thunder (%) 70 60 40
Max/Min Temp 89 70 90
Min/Max RH (%) 63 100 61
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.16 0.18 0.10
Precip Duration 5 2 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/0600 1900 76/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4500 5100
Transport Wind (mph) SW 20 NE 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 90000 35700
ADI Early 65 Good 9 Poor 22 Fair
ADI Late 71 Good 6 Very Poor 39 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 7 8
Max LVORI Late 2 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 5 Rain
Min VSBY Late 5 Rain 5 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability C F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 55 percent. Light
winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Light winds.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-022030-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
328 AM EDT Wed Jul 2 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 80 60 30
Chance Thunder (%) 80 60 30
Max/Min Temp 86 70 91
Min/Max RH (%) 73 100 56
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.31 0.18 0.02
Precip Duration 6 2 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing 2 AM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/0600 1900 76/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3100 5600
Transport Wind (mph) SW 17 N 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 52700 44800
ADI Early 50 Gen Good 9 Poor 30 Fair
ADI Late 55 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 46 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 9 8
Max LVORI Late 3 9 2
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 6 Rain 5 Rain
Min VSBY Late 4 Rain 5 Rain 7
Turner Stability C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 52 percent. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...dch