Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
362
FNUS52 KILM 291754
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
154 PM EDT Tue Jul 29 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Temperatures will remain above normal this week, though not near
as hot as recent days. Thunderstorm coverage will gradually rise
with the approach of a cold front that pushes through on Friday
night. Temperatures could actually wind up below normal this
coming weekend.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-300700-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
154 PM EDT Tue Jul 29 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 40 40 30 70
Chance Thunder (%) 40 40 30 70
Min/Max Temp 75 92 74 92
Max/Min RH (%) 100 62 100 68
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var SW 5
Precip Amount 0.09 0.25 0.11 0.14
Precip Duration 2 2 2 5
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 81/0900 2000 80/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3800 3900
Transport Wind (mph) S 8 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 30400 54600
ADI Early 6 Very Poor 26 Fair 7 Poor 32 Fair
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 34 Fair 4 Very Poor 48 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 9 6 7
Max LVORI Late 9 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 5 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 5 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
90s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Not as warm. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 81 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 82 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 77 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 74 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-300700-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
154 PM EDT Tue Jul 29 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 50 50 50 70
Chance Thunder (%) 50 50 50 70
Min/Max Temp 75 93 74 93
Max/Min RH (%) 100 57 100 65
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 4
Precip Amount 0.11 0.17 0.16 0.22
Precip Duration 1 1 2 5
Precip Begin 6 PM 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End 4 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 80/0900 2000 80/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 4000
Transport Wind (mph) S 8 SW 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 39200 52000
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 22 Fair 5 Very Poor 28 Fair
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 37 Fair 4 Very Poor 51 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 9 7 8
Max LVORI Late 9 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 3 Rain 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 4 Rain 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
90s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Not as warm. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 79 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 79 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-300700-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
154 PM EDT Tue Jul 29 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 60 40 60
Chance Thunder (%) 30 60 40 60
Min/Max Temp 74 92 74 94
Max/Min RH (%) 100 62 100 62
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var SW 5
Precip Amount 0.11 0.18 0.16 0.15
Precip Duration 2 2 2 5
Precip Begin 6 PM 10 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End 6 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 81/0900 2000 81/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 5000
Transport Wind (mph) S 9 SW 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 37800 65000
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 28 Fair 6 Very Poor 38 Fair
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 35 Fair 5 Very Poor 55 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 8 7 8
Max LVORI Late 9 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Not as warm. Highs
in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 82 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 85 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-300700-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
154 PM EDT Tue Jul 29 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 50 60 60 70
Chance Thunder (%) 50 60 50 70
Min/Max Temp 74 92 74 94
Max/Min RH (%) 100 58 100 59
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 4
Precip Amount 0.11 0.19 0.26 0.19
Precip Duration 2 4 3 5
Precip Begin 6 PM 9 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End 5 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 80/0900 1900 80/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4600 5300
Transport Wind (mph) S 8 SW 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 36800 79500
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 24 Fair 5 Very Poor 42 Gen Good
ADI Late 3 Very Poor 35 Fair 4 Very Poor 60 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 8 8 8
Max LVORI Late 9 3 9 2
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 2 Rain 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 3 Rain 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Not as warm. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 81 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 81 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...Weiner