Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
427
FNUS52 KILM 111809
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
209 PM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
.DISCUSSION...
As the low pressure moves north this weekend gusty winds and rain
are expected along with cool temperatures. Dry weather and near
normal temperatures are expected for most of next week.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-120715-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
209 PM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 90 70 50 0
Chance Thunder (%) 20 20 0 0
Min/Max Temp 63 71 57 73
Max/Min RH (%) 100 88 99 69
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) N 14 G30 N 13 G26 N 8 G21 NW 8 G18
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) N 14 G29 N 11 G22 N 6 G17 NW 9 G19
Precip Amount 1.51 0.50 0.10 0.00
Precip Duration 9 7 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1800 66/0900
Dispersion Excellent Fair
DSI 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2100
Transport Wind (mph) N 18 N/A
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 37800
ADI Early 26 Fair 38 Fair 19 Gen Poor
ADI Late 26 Fair 36 Fair 19 Gen Poor
Max LVORI Early 5 5 5
Max LVORI Late 5 4 5
Min VSBY Early 2 Rain 3 Rain 4 Rain
Min VSBY Late 4 Rain 3 Rain 7
Turner Stability D D D
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 44 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
85 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-120715-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
209 PM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 90 70 50 0
Chance Thunder (%) 20 20 0 0
Min/Max Temp 62 69 58 73
Max/Min RH (%) 100 87 100 63
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) N 12 G24 N 13 G26 N 8 G25 N 7 G19
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) N 13 G26 N 11 G26 N 6 G17 N 8 G19
Precip Amount 0.86 0.50 0.13 0.00
Precip Duration 11 8 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 63/0600
Dispersion Excellent Fair
DSI 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2300
Transport Wind (mph) N 22 N/A
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 50600
ADI Early 24 Fair 54 Gen Good 21 Fair
ADI Late 25 Fair 48 Gen Good 21 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 5 4 5
Min VSBY Early 3 Rain 3 Rain 4 Rain
Min VSBY Late 3 Rain 3 Rain 7
Turner Stability D D D
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
49 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-120715-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
209 PM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Showers Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 90 70 60 0
Chance Thunder (%) 20 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 61 68 59 74
Max/Min RH (%) 100 92 100 68
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) N 13 G28 N 12 G25 NW 8 G21 N 7 G18
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) N 13 G28 NW 11 G22 N 6 NW 8 G17
Precip Amount 0.77 0.43 0.13 0.00
Precip Duration 10 8 3
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 63/0600
Dispersion Excellent Fair
DSI 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2200
Transport Wind (mph) NW 21 N/A
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 46200
ADI Early 24 Fair 44 Gen Good 23 Fair
ADI Late 24 Fair 42 Gen Good 23 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 5 4 5
Min VSBY Early 3 Rain 3 Rain 5 Rain
Min VSBY Late 4 Rain 3 Rain 7
Turner Stability D D D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
54 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-120715-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
209 PM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 80 70 60 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 61 67 57 74
Max/Min RH (%) 99 89 100 60
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) N 11 G23 N 12 G24 N 9 G23 N 7 G17
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) N 12 G24 N 12 G24 N 6 N 8
Precip Amount 0.56 0.83 0.23 0.00
Precip Duration 10 9 3
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 None
Dispersion Excellent Fair
DSI 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2200
Transport Wind (mph) N 23 N/A
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 50600
ADI Early 24 Fair 48 Gen Good 24 Fair
ADI Late 25 Fair 45 Gen Good 24 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 5 4 5
Min VSBY Early 4 Rain 3 Rain 4 Rain
Min VSBY Late 4 Rain 2 Rain 7
Turner Stability D D D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
89 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation below normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$