Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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547
FNUS52 KILM 110616
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
216 AM EDT Mon Aug 11 2025

.DISCUSSION...
A stalled front will linger just off the coast through today,
keeping temperatures below normal with scattered to numerous
showers and thunderstorms. High pressure will build off the SE
coast midweek, and a weak trough will move into the Carolina
Piedmont late in the week.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.

NCZ105>110-111930-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
216 AM EDT Mon Aug 11 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     80           50           70
Chance Thunder (%)    50           50           50
Max/Min Temp          81           71           87
Min/Max RH (%)        84           100          77
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph)  SE  4        Lgt/Var      S  4
Precip Amount         0.46         0.07         0.17
Precip Duration       8            2            8
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  76/0900      1900         79/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
DSI                   2                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)       1900                      2900
Transport Wind (mph)  SE 12                     SW  8
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    22800                     23200
ADI Early             18 Gen Poor  8 Poor       15 Gen Poor
ADI Late              28 Fair      4 Very Poor  24 Fair
Max LVORI Early       7            8            9
Max LVORI Late        5            9            4
Min VSBY Early        6 Rain       6 Rain       5 Rain
Min VSBY Late         4 Rain       6 Rain       6 Rain
Turner Stability      C            F            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 81 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 70 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 74 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-111930-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
216 AM EDT Mon Aug 11 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     80           30           70
Chance Thunder (%)    50           30           50
Max/Min Temp          81           71           86
Min/Max RH (%)        83           100          76
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.30         0.07         0.12
Precip Duration       8            2            8
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  74/0900      1900         78/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
DSI                   2                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)       2100                      2900
Transport Wind (mph)  S 13                      SW  8
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    27300                     23200
ADI Early             17 Gen Poor  5 Very Poor  14 Gen Poor
ADI Late              29 Fair      4 Very Poor  31 Fair
Max LVORI Early       8            9            8
Max LVORI Late        5            9            4
Min VSBY Early        5 Rain       7            4 Rain
Min VSBY Late         5 Rain       7            6 Rain
Turner Stability      B            F            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 81 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 68 percent. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Light
winds.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-111930-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
216 AM EDT Mon Aug 11 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     80           40           70
Chance Thunder (%)    50           40           50
Max/Min Temp          82           72           86
Min/Max RH (%)        84           100          77
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph)  SE  4        Lgt/Var      S  4
Precip Amount         0.54         0.07         0.13
Precip Duration       8            2            8
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  78/1000      1900         80/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
DSI                   2                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)       2000                      2800
Transport Wind (mph)  SE 13                     S  8
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    26000                     22400
ADI Early             20 Gen Poor  8 Poor       15 Gen Poor
ADI Late              28 Fair      5 Very Poor  24 Fair
Max LVORI Early       8            9            9
Max LVORI Late        5            9            4
Min VSBY Early        4 Rain       7            4 Rain
Min VSBY Late         4 Rain       6 Rain       6 Rain
Turner Stability      C            F            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 78 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 71 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 74 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 78 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-111930-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
216 AM EDT Mon Aug 11 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     80           40           70
Chance Thunder (%)    50           40           50
Max/Min Temp          80           71           86
Min/Max RH (%)        84           100          76
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph)  SE  4        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.24         0.05         0.11
Precip Duration       7            2            5
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  75/0900      1900         78/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
DSI                   2                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)       2000                      2800
Transport Wind (mph)  SE 12                     S  8
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    24000                     22400
ADI Early             18 Gen Poor  8 Poor       13 Gen Poor
ADI Late              26 Fair      4 Very Poor  28 Fair
Max LVORI Early       8            9            8
Max LVORI Late        5            9            4
Min VSBY Early        5 Rain       6 Rain       4 Rain
Min VSBY Late         4 Rain       7            6 Rain
Turner Stability      C            F            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 77 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 70 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 69 percent. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
   NOT USED                    0             0 TO 14759
    0 TO 17249                 1         14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

Forecaster...CRM