Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
595
FNUS52 KILM 101826
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
226 PM EDT Thu Sep 10 2026
.DISCUSSION...
Increasing humidity is expected over the next few days as
southwest winds bring Gulf moisture across the Carolinas. This
should bring increasing coverage of showers and thunderstorms this
weekend. Temperatures will also return well above seasonal norms
with heat indices likely to reach or exceed 100 degrees
through Monday.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-110730-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
226 PM EDT Thu Sep 10 2026
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 0 60
Chance Thunder (%) 0 20 0 50
Min/Max Temp 73 94 72 91
Max/Min RH (%) 98 59 100 65
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 5 Lgt/Var S 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04
Precip Duration 1 5
Precip Begin 1 PM 6 AM
Precip End 6 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 80/0900 2000 79/0900
Dispersion Poor Very Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4400 4600
Transport Wind (mph) SW 8 SW 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 35200 46000
ADI Early 6 Very Poor 27 Fair 8 Poor 27 Fair
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 32 Fair 4 Very Poor 30 Fair
Max LVORI Early 6 7 6 9
Max LVORI Late 7 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
98 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
60 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Light winds.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-110730-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
226 PM EDT Thu Sep 10 2026
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 30 20 70
Chance Thunder (%) 0 30 20 50
Min/Max Temp 73 94 72 91
Max/Min RH (%) 99 52 100 61
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.02 0.03 0.10
Precip Duration 1 1 4
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 79/0900 1900 78/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5000 4600
Transport Wind (mph) SW 7 SW 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 35000 41400
ADI Early 6 Very Poor 23 Fair 8 Poor 24 Fair
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 28 Fair 4 Very Poor 28 Fair
Max LVORI Early 6 8 6 9
Max LVORI Late 8 2 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Fog 7 7
Turner Stability F C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 53 percent. Light
winds.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-110730-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Red Hill, Loris, and Aynor
226 PM EDT Thu Sep 10 2026
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 40 20 80
Chance Thunder (%) 0 40 20 50
Min/Max Temp 72 93 72 90
Max/Min RH (%) 100 62 100 64
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var S 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.04 0.03 0.09
Precip Duration 2 0 6
Precip Begin 9 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 79/0900 1900 79/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 4400
Transport Wind (mph) SW 8 SW 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 33600 39600
ADI Early 6 Very Poor 24 Fair 7 Poor 20 Gen Poor
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 23 Fair 4 Very Poor 27 Fair
Max LVORI Early 6 8 7 9
Max LVORI Late 9 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability F C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Light winds.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-110730-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
226 PM EDT Thu Sep 10 2026
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 40 30 80
Chance Thunder (%) 0 40 20 50
Min/Max Temp 72 94 72 91
Max/Min RH (%) 99 54 100 64
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.03 0.12 0.17
Precip Duration 1 1 6
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 78/0900 1900 77/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5000 4800
Transport Wind (mph) SW 7 SW 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 35000 43200
ADI Early 7 Poor 21 Fair 6 Very Poor 22 Fair
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 28 Fair 4 Very Poor 34 Fair
Max LVORI Early 6 8 7 9
Max LVORI Late 9 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Fog 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability F C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Light winds.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...TRA