Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
354
FNUS52 KILM 140705
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
305 AM EDT Thu Aug 14 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Today will observe scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms as a disturbance aloft interacts with a well juiced
(High CAPE) atmosphere. Various surface boundaries will provide
additional lift which may result in training of storms. This
scenario will play out again on Fri/Sat, to a lesser degree in
terms of rainfall amounts as drier air slowly infiltrates the
region later this weekend after a CFP Sat. Dry conditions slated
for early next week as Hurricane Erin likely passes by, well
offshore.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-142015-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
305 AM EDT Thu Aug 14 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 70 60 50
Chance Thunder (%) 50 50 50
Max/Min Temp 90 73 90
Min/Max RH (%) 71 100 68
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 4 S 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.43 0.43 0.20
Precip Duration 3 3 1
Precip Begin 7 AM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 6 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/0900 1900 77/0800
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3300 4400
Transport Wind (mph) SW 13 N 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 42900 39600
ADI Early 30 Fair 8 Poor 26 Fair
ADI Late 36 Fair 5 Very Poor 36 Fair
Max LVORI Early 6 7 8
Max LVORI Late 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 3 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 3 Rain 6 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
64 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ096-099-142015-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
305 AM EDT Thu Aug 14 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 80 60 40
Chance Thunder (%) 50 50 40
Max/Min Temp 89 73 91
Min/Max RH (%) 74 100 66
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.61 0.34 0.07
Precip Duration 4 1 1
Precip Begin 9 AM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 12 AM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/0900 1900 76/0800
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3100 4300
Transport Wind (mph) SW 9 N 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 27900 38700
ADI Early 25 Fair 6 Very Poor 24 Fair
ADI Late 32 Fair 4 Very Poor 44 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 7 9 8
Max LVORI Late 4 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 3 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 3 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
60 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
65 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-142015-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
305 AM EDT Thu Aug 14 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 80 50 30
Chance Thunder (%) 50 50 30
Max/Min Temp 87 72 91
Min/Max RH (%) 75 100 65
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 Lgt/Var N 4
Precip Amount 0.38 0.22 0.02
Precip Duration 5 1 1
Precip Begin 9 AM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing 11 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/0900 1900 76/0800
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2800 4300
Transport Wind (mph) SW 9 N 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 25200 34400
ADI Early 21 Fair 6 Very Poor 26 Fair
ADI Late 26 Fair 3 Very Poor 39 Fair
Max LVORI Early 7 9 8
Max LVORI Late 4 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 4 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 4 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
64 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-142015-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
305 AM EDT Thu Aug 14 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 70 60 40
Chance Thunder (%) 50 50 40
Max/Min Temp 90 74 91
Min/Max RH (%) 72 100 66
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) S 6 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.37 0.27 0.06
Precip Duration 3 1 1
Precip Begin 9 AM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing 12 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/0900 1900 78/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3700 4400
Transport Wind (mph) SW 13 N 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 48100 35200
ADI Early 31 Fair 8 Poor 22 Fair
ADI Late 41 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 34 Fair
Max LVORI Early 7 8 8
Max LVORI Late 4 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 2 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 2 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
64 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-142015-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
305 AM EDT Thu Aug 14 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 80 60 40
Chance Thunder (%) 50 50 40
Max/Min Temp 89 72 91
Min/Max RH (%) 70 100 64
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.29 0.24 0.03
Precip Duration 4 1 1
Precip Begin 7 AM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing 11 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/0900 2000 78/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3600 4400
Transport Wind (mph) SW 10 N 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 36000 30800
ADI Early 29 Fair 6 Very Poor 24 Fair
ADI Late 43 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 35 Fair
Max LVORI Early 8 9 9
Max LVORI Late 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 2 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 2 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 57 percent. Light
winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
64 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-142015-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
305 AM EDT Thu Aug 14 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 80 50 30
Chance Thunder (%) 50 50 30
Max/Min Temp 85 72 91
Min/Max RH (%) 79 100 64
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.28 0.18 0.03
Precip Duration 5 1 1
Precip Begin 7 AM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing 10 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/0900 2000 78/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2500 4700
Transport Wind (mph) SW 8 N 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 20000 32900
ADI Early 19 Gen Poor 4 Very Poor 28 Fair
ADI Late 22 Fair 3 Very Poor 37 Fair
Max LVORI Early 8 9 9
Max LVORI Late 4 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 5 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 4 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 58 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
65 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...dch