Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
966
FNUS52 KILM 211327
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
827 AM EST Fri Feb 21 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Dry and cold weather will continue into the weekend as Canadian
high pressure builds in from the west. A warming trend will then
kick off into early next week with predominantly dry weather. An
approaching system could increase rain chances into the middle of
next week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-220530-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
827 AM EST Fri Feb 21 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 43 17 50
Min/Max RH (%) 37 100 36
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) N 7 G17 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NW 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) None 1800 33/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3700 3200
Transport Wind (mph) N 14 SW 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 51800 22400
ADI Early 59 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 16 Gen Poor
ADI Late 63 Good 5 Very Poor 28 Fair
Max LVORI Early 2 6 8
Max LVORI Late 1 7 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 54 percent. South winds around
10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-220530-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
827 AM EST Fri Feb 21 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 44 19 49
Min/Max RH (%) 35 100 35
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) N 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) N 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) None 1800 32/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4000 3200
Transport Wind (mph) N 14 SW 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 56000 28800
ADI Early 57 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 18 Gen Poor
ADI Late 64 Good 5 Very Poor 35 Fair
Max LVORI Early 2 5 7
Max LVORI Late 1 8 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
92 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs around 70. Minimum RH 46 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-220530-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
827 AM EST Fri Feb 21 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 45 22 52
Min/Max RH (%) 33 96 34
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) N 6 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) N 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) None 1800 35/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3900 3600
Transport Wind (mph) N 13 S 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 50700 28800
ADI Early 66 Good 4 Very Poor 23 Fair
ADI Late 61 Good 4 Very Poor 36 Fair
Max LVORI Early 1 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 51 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-220530-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
827 AM EST Fri Feb 21 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 46 21 52
Min/Max RH (%) 32 99 32
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) N 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) N 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) None 1800 34/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3900 4100
Transport Wind (mph) N 10 S 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 39000 41000
ADI Early 56 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 20 Gen Poor
ADI Late 58 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 46 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 2 4 7
Max LVORI Late 1 6 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 38 percent. Light
winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
91 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs around 70. Minimum RH 45 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...Weiner