Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
286
FNUS52 KILM 041741
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
141 PM EDT Sat Oct 4 2025
.DISCUSSION...
A few showers may move onshore today, but overall the weather is
expected to remain dry through the weekend into the new week. A
warming trend is expected through midweek, then a cold front
should bring cooler temperatures during the latter half of the
work week.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-050645-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
141 PM EDT Sat Oct 4 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 61 83 62 84
Max/Min RH (%) 100 52 98 59
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) E 4 NE 5 E 5 G17 NE 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 4 E 8 G17 Lgt/Var E 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 71/1000 1900 70/0900
Dispersion Fair Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4800 4800
Transport Wind (mph) E 16 E 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 76800 67200
ADI Early 7 Poor 50 Gen Good 17 Gen Poor 52 Gen Good
ADI Late 7 Poor 50 Gen Good 7 Poor 57 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 6 4 5
Max LVORI Late 9 1 6 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E C E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
63 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
68 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 90 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
64 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
97 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
64 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-050645-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
141 PM EDT Sat Oct 4 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 59 84 61 85
Max/Min RH (%) 100 48 99 50
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var NE 4 Lgt/Var NE 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 6 Lgt/Var E 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 71/1000 1900 67/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5200 5400
Transport Wind (mph) E 14 SE 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 72800 70200
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 38 Fair 9 Poor 47 Gen Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 44 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 69 Good
Max LVORI Early 9 6 5 5
Max LVORI Late 9 1 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 94 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 90 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
58 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-050645-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
141 PM EDT Sat Oct 4 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 62 83 65 84
Max/Min RH (%) 100 56 98 61
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) E 4 G17 NE 6 G17 E 6 G19 NE 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 4 E 9 G19 Lgt/Var E 8 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 72/1000 1900 71/0900
Dispersion Fair Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4800 4400
Transport Wind (mph) E 17 E 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 81600 61600
ADI Early 11 Poor 46 Gen Good 18 Gen Poor 45 Gen Good
ADI Late 8 Poor 50 Gen Good 8 Poor 58 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 5 5
Max LVORI Late 8 2 6 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E C E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
68 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
65 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
98 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
66 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-050645-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
141 PM EDT Sat Oct 4 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 59 83 62 84
Max/Min RH (%) 100 50 98 53
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var NE 5 E 4 NE 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 8 Lgt/Var E 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 71/1000 1900 68/0900
Dispersion Poor Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4800 4600
Transport Wind (mph) E 15 E 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 72000 55200
ADI Early 8 Poor 42 Gen Good 16 Gen Poor 49 Gen Good
ADI Late 7 Poor 47 Gen Good 7 Poor 60 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 9 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F C E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 95 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Not as warm. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 59 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 89 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
58 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...Weiner