Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
794
FNUS52 KILM 121358
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
858 AM EST Wed Feb 12 2025
.DISCUSSION...
A wedge of high pressure will persist across the Carolinas
today into tonight. A warm front will lift across and north of the
area tonight. Breezy SW winds Thu ahead of the approaching cold
front along with decent chance of rain. This cold front will
track across the region Thu night followed by brief and dry high
pressure Fri. More unsettled weather is expected this coming
weekend.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is High.
NCZ105>110-130600-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
858 AM EST Wed Feb 12 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 20 0 90
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 51 48 75
Min/Max RH (%) 85 100 74
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 4 Lgt/Var SW 10 G23
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 7 G18 SW 10 G23
Precip Amount 0.01 0.00 0.21
Precip Duration 1 6
Precip Begin 6 AM 6 AM
Precip End 1 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) None Continued 67/0900
Dispersion Poor
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 600 2300
Transport Wind (mph) SE 10 SW 30
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 6000 69000
ADI Early 13 Gen Poor 8 Poor 56 Gen Good
ADI Late 10 Poor 20 Gen Poor 49 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 7 9 5
Max LVORI Late 7 8 3
Min VSBY Early 2 Rain 0 Fog 5 Rain
Min VSBY Late 4 Rain 0 Fog 6 Rain
Turner Stability D E D
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Chance of showers 90 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
92 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of rain
showers. Warmer. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely. Warmer. Lows in the
upper 50s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
South winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 78 percent. Chance
of showers 90 percent. South winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Much colder. Lows in the mid 30s.
Maximum RH 84 percent. West winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
37 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
74 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Light winds.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-130600-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
858 AM EST Wed Feb 12 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 40 30 90
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 49 43 74
Min/Max RH (%) 90 100 70
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 4 Lgt/Var SW 9 G22
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 W 9 G21
Precip Amount 0.05 0.02 0.23
Precip Duration 2 1 11
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) None Continued 67/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 600 1900
Transport Wind (mph) E 12 SW 28
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 7200 53200
ADI Early 15 Gen Poor 8 Poor 47 Gen Good
ADI Late 12 Poor 15 Gen Poor 43 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 9 5
Max LVORI Late 7 8 3
Min VSBY Early 2 Rain 0 Rain 3 Rain
Min VSBY Late 4 Rain 0 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability D E D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
90 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain
showers. Warmer. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely. Warmer. Lows in the
upper 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
South winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 72 percent.
Chance of showers 90 percent. South winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Much colder. Lows in the lower 30s.
Maximum RH 78 percent. West winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
36 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 30. Maximum RH 79 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Light winds.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-130600-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
858 AM EST Wed Feb 12 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 20 0 90
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 55 50 75
Min/Max RH (%) 83 100 75
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 9 G22
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 7 G17 SW 8 G20
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.27
Precip Duration 1 10
Precip Begin 6 AM 6 AM
Precip End 1 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) None Continued 68/0900
Dispersion Fair
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 700 2100
Transport Wind (mph) E 9 SW 28
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 6300 58800
ADI Early 11 Poor 8 Poor 51 Gen Good
ADI Late 11 Poor 18 Gen Poor 47 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 7 9 5
Max LVORI Late 8 8 3
Min VSBY Early 2 Rain 0 Fog 4 Rain
Min VSBY Late 4 Rain 0 Fog 6 Rain
Turner Stability D E D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Chance of showers 90 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Warmer. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 66 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Warmer. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds
around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 75 percent.
Chance of showers 90 percent. South winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Much colder. Lows in the mid 30s.
Maximum RH 80 percent. West winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
39 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Light winds.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-130600-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
858 AM EST Wed Feb 12 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 40 30 90
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 51 43 73
Min/Max RH (%) 90 100 67
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 8 G20
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 W 8 G19
Precip Amount 0.05 0.02 0.30
Precip Duration 2 1 11
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) None Continued 66/1000
Dispersion Poor
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 700 2000
Transport Wind (mph) E 9 W 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 6300 36000
ADI Early 13 Gen Poor 7 Poor 43 Gen Good
ADI Late 13 Gen Poor 12 Poor 40 Fair
Max LVORI Early 6 9 5
Max LVORI Late 7 8 3
Min VSBY Early 2 Rain 0 Rain 3 Rain
Min VSBY Late 3 Rain 0 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability D E D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
91 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain
showers. Warmer. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely. Warmer. Lows in the
upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Chance of showers 90 percent. South winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Much colder. Lows in the lower 30s.
Maximum RH 75 percent. West winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
37 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 30. Maximum RH 82 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
38 percent. Light winds.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...VAO