Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
565
FNUS52 KILM 040508
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
108 AM EDT Thu Sep 4 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Warmer temperatures are expected late this week and this weekend.
The next chance of showers and storms will come on Sunday as a
cold front moves through the area. Cooler temperatures return
early next week with the potential for unsettled weather under a
wedge of high pressure.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-041815-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
108 AM EDT Thu Sep 4 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 87 64 91
Min/Max RH (%) 45 99 45
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var SE 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 77/1000 1900 79/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5800 6100
Transport Wind (mph) S 10 S 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 58000 48800
ADI Early 31 Fair 6 Very Poor 25 Fair
ADI Late 63 Good 5 Very Poor 52 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 7
Max LVORI Late 1 7 2
Min VSBY Early 5 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 56 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s.
Maximum RH 81 percent. Northeast winds 20 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs around
80. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs around
80. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. North
winds around 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-041815-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
108 AM EDT Thu Sep 4 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 88 65 93
Min/Max RH (%) 39 99 40
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/1000 1900 78/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6300 6200
Transport Wind (mph) SW 13 S 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 81900 74400
ADI Early 40 Fair 7 Poor 26 Fair
ADI Late 86 Good 6 Very Poor 74 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 7
Max LVORI Late 1 8 1
Min VSBY Early 5 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
59 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-041815-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
108 AM EDT Thu Sep 4 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 87 65 90
Min/Max RH (%) 47 99 47
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var SE 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 77/1000 1900 79/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5900 5900
Transport Wind (mph) S 10 SE 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 59000 47200
ADI Early 26 Fair 7 Poor 18 Gen Poor
ADI Late 60 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 50 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 7
Max LVORI Late 1 9 2
Min VSBY Early 5 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 56 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-041815-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
108 AM EDT Thu Sep 4 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 88 64 91
Min/Max RH (%) 40 100 41
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/1000 1900 78/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6800 6500
Transport Wind (mph) SW 12 S 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 81600 65000
ADI Early 36 Fair 7 Poor 23 Fair
ADI Late 87 Good 6 Very Poor 73 Good
Max LVORI Early 7 4 7
Max LVORI Late 1 8 1
Min VSBY Early 5 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$