Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
456
FNUS52 KILM 181817
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
217 PM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will build behind a back door cold front early this
week. Hurricane Erin will remain offshore between Bermuda and the
US East Coast during the middle of this week. A cold front will
approach the area later this week bringing cooler temperatures.
Fog potential for tonight is Low to Moderate.
NCZ105>110-190730-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
217 PM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 30 0 40
Chance Thunder (%) 20 30 0 40
Min/Max Temp 71 89 72 89
Max/Min RH (%) 99 67 96 69
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var NE 4 NE 5 NE 9 G19
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var NE 6 NE 5 G17 NE 10 G22
Precip Amount 0.04 0.06 0.00 0.04
Precip Duration 1 1 2
Precip Begin 6 PM 12 PM 8 AM
Precip End 11 PM 6 PM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 76/0900 2000 74/0600
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4100 4300
Transport Wind (mph) E 15 NE 24
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 61500 103200
ADI Early 4 Very Poor 47 Gen Good 7 Poor 67 Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 60 Gen Good 9 Poor 77 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 5 5
Max LVORI Late 7 3 6 3
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability F B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 90 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
66 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
87 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
90 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ096-099-190730-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
217 PM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 30 0 20
Chance Thunder (%) 30 30 0 20
Min/Max Temp 72 89 71 88
Max/Min RH (%) 100 67 98 66
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 6
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 7 G19
Precip Amount 0.22 0.10 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 1 1 0
Precip Begin 6 PM 1 PM 2 PM
Precip End 2 AM 6 PM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 74/0600 1900 73/0600
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4600 4300
Transport Wind (mph) NE 14 NE 22
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 64400 94600
ADI Early 4 Very Poor 38 Fair 5 Very Poor 68 Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 69 Good 7 Poor 95 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 6 6 5
Max LVORI Late 9 3 6 3
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 90 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
64 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
88 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 94 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Light
winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Light winds.
$$
NCZ087-190730-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
217 PM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 20 20 20
Chance Thunder (%) 30 20 20 20
Min/Max Temp 72 88 72 88
Max/Min RH (%) 99 66 98 61
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var NE 5 NE 4 NE 9
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var NE 6 NE 5 NE 10 G19
Precip Amount 0.24 0.04 0.02 0.00
Precip Duration 1 0 0 0
Precip Begin 6 PM 2 PM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End 2 AM Continuing 8 PM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 74/0600 1900 73/0600
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4400 4700
Transport Wind (mph) NE 13 NE 21
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 57200 98700
ADI Early 7 Poor 34 Fair 15 Gen Poor 61 Good
ADI Late 9 Poor 65 Good 10 Poor 82 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 6 6 5
Max LVORI Late 8 3 6 3
Min VSBY Early 7 5 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 90 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 95 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-190730-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
217 PM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 30 0 30
Chance Thunder (%) 20 30 0 30
Min/Max Temp 73 90 72 88
Max/Min RH (%) 99 66 100 67
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 4 N 8 G18
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var NE 5 NE 4 N 9 G19
Precip Amount 0.02 0.08 0.00 0.03
Precip Duration 1 1 1
Precip Begin 6 PM 11 AM 8 AM
Precip End 11 PM 6 PM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 78/0900 2000 73/0600
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4800 4500
Transport Wind (mph) NE 15 NE 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 72000 90000
ADI Early 4 Very Poor 44 Gen Good 7 Poor 68 Good
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 59 Gen Good 8 Poor 79 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 6 5
Max LVORI Late 8 3 6 3
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 90 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
89 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-190730-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
217 PM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 30 0 10
Chance Thunder (%) 20 20 0 10
Min/Max Temp 72 89 71 88
Max/Min RH (%) 99 64 99 61
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var N 6
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var NE 4 Lgt/Var N 8 G17
Precip Amount 0.12 0.06 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1 1 0
Precip Begin 6 PM 12 PM 2 PM
Precip End 11 PM 6 PM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 76/0900 1900 73/0600
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5100 5000
Transport Wind (mph) NE 14 N 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 71400 100000
ADI Early 4 Very Poor 36 Fair 5 Very Poor 74 Good
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 78 Good 7 Poor 112 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 6 5
Max LVORI Late 8 3 7 3
Min VSBY Early 7 4 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 91 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
89 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Light winds.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-190730-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
217 PM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None None
Chance Precip (%) 30 20 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 30 20 0 0
Min/Max Temp 71 87 71 87
Max/Min RH (%) 99 66 100 60
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var NE 4 NE 4 NE 7
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var NE 5 NE 4 NE 9 G18
Precip Amount 0.31 0.03 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1 0
Precip Begin 6 PM 2 PM
Precip End 2 AM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 76/0900 1900 73/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4100 4600
Transport Wind (mph) NE 13 NE 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 53300 92000
ADI Early 6 Very Poor 34 Fair 6 Very Poor 67 Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 55 Gen Good 7 Poor 102 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 6 6 6 5
Max LVORI Late 9 3 8 3
Min VSBY Early 7 4 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 94 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
63 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...RGZ