Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
975
FNUS52 KILM 310812
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
312 AM EST Fri Jan 31 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Unseasonably warm and breezy conditions today with some
rainfall late inland and moving to the coast tonight as a cold
front passes through. High pressure will then return with warmer
than normal temps and generally dry weather through early next
week. A weak storm system could impact the area mid week bringing
the next chance of rain.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low to Moderate, mainly sea fog near
the coast.
NCZ105>110-010015-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
312 AM EST Fri Jan 31 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mclear
Precip Type None Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 0 80 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 75 50 67
Min/Max RH (%) 60 94 48
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 G23 SW 11 G25 NW 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 13 G27 W 9 G28 N 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.24 0.00
Precip Duration 4
Precip Begin 10 PM
Precip End 6 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 65/1000 1700 None
Dispersion Excellent
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3100 4500
Transport Wind (mph) SW 29 N 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 89900 58500
ADI Early 59 Gen Good 24 Fair 61 Good
ADI Late 68 Good 27 Fair 71 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 3 5 1
Min VSBY Early 4 Fog 5 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Fog 5 Rain 7
Turner Stability C D B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
64 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 97 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
64 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
66 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-010015-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
312 AM EST Fri Jan 31 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mclear
Precip Type None Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 0 80 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 76 50 67
Min/Max RH (%) 55 96 47
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 7 G25 S 10 G22 NW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 12 G26 W 7 G23 N 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.36 0.00
Precip Duration 4
Precip Begin 8 PM
Precip End 6 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 64/1000 1700 None
Dispersion Good
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3600 4300
Transport Wind (mph) SW 29 N 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 104400 60200
ADI Early 62 Good 21 Fair 60 Gen Good
ADI Late 74 Good 20 Gen Poor 70 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 3 5
Max LVORI Late 2 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 5 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 7 5 Rain 7
Turner Stability C D B
Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
82 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny, warmer. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-010015-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
312 AM EST Fri Jan 31 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Clear
Precip Type None Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 0 80 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 75 50 68
Min/Max RH (%) 58 96 47
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 G23 S 11 G24 NW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 12 G26 W 8 G24 N 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.20 0.00
Precip Duration 3
Precip Begin 10 PM
Precip End 6 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 65/1000 1700 None
Dispersion Good
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3200 4400
Transport Wind (mph) SW 29 N 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 92800 52800
ADI Early 60 Gen Good 22 Fair 40 Fair
ADI Late 66 Good 24 Fair 63 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 3 5 1
Min VSBY Early 6 Fog 5 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Fog 5 Rain 7
Turner Stability C D B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum
RH 91 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
65 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
64 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
64 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-010015-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
312 AM EST Fri Jan 31 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Clear
Precip Type None Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 0 80 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 76 49 67
Min/Max RH (%) 53 96 46
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 7 G24 S 10 G20 NW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 12 G25 W 7 G21 N 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.35 0.00
Precip Duration 5
Precip Begin 7 PM
Precip End 5 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 63/1000 1700 54/0900
Dispersion Good
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3700 4100
Transport Wind (mph) SW 29 N 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 107300 49200
ADI Early 54 Gen Good 20 Gen Poor 38 Fair
ADI Late 77 Good 21 Fair 59 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 2 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 5 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 7 5 Rain 7
Turner Stability C D B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$