Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
472
FNUS52 KILM 121813
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
213 PM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Gusty winds and rain will continue through this evening, with
conditions improving tonight and early Monday as low pressure
exits to the north. Dry weather is expected for the rest of the
week. Near normal temps through midweek before cooler and drier
air moves in behind a dry cold front.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-130715-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
213 PM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Showers Showers None None
Chance Precip (%) 80 40 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 58 72 54 75
Max/Min RH (%) 99 71 96 61
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) N 9 G26 NW 8 G17 NW 5 NW 6
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) N 8 G18 NW 8 NW 4 N 8
Precip Amount 0.53 0.11 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 6 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 1 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1800 60/0600 1900 56/0600
Dispersion Good Fair
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3000 3500
Transport Wind (mph) N 20 N 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 60000 70000
ADI Early 22 Fair 41 Gen Good 15 Gen Poor 62 Good
ADI Late 21 Fair 47 Gen Good 7 Poor 68 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 5 5
Max LVORI Late 5 4 5 2
Min VSBY Early 3 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability D D F C
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
78 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
77 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
84 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-130715-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
213 PM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Showers Showers None None
Chance Precip (%) 70 30 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 58 74 54 75
Max/Min RH (%) 100 63 96 54
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) N 10 G29 N 8 G17 Lgt/Var NW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) N 9 G22 NW 7 G17 Lgt/Var N 7
Precip Amount 0.32 0.05 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 5 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 11 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 59/0600 1900 56/0600
Dispersion Excellent Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3700 4200
Transport Wind (mph) N 20 N 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 74000 84000
ADI Early 31 Fair 42 Gen Good 8 Poor 71 Good
ADI Late 21 Fair 64 Good 6 Very Poor 80 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 6 5
Max LVORI Late 5 3 6 2
Min VSBY Early 3 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability D D F B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
49 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
77 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 38 percent. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-130715-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
213 PM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Showers Showers None None
Chance Precip (%) 80 30 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 58 72 54 75
Max/Min RH (%) 99 71 99 60
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) N 9 G24 NW 8 G17 Lgt/Var NW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) N 8 G19 NW 7 Lgt/Var N 7
Precip Amount 0.39 0.02 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 5 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 10 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 59/0600 1900 60/0900
Dispersion Good Very Poor
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3700 4400
Transport Wind (mph) N 18 N 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 66600 79200
ADI Early 22 Fair 40 Fair 6 Very Poor 62 Good
ADI Late 19 Gen Poor 67 Good 6 Very Poor 81 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 7 5
Max LVORI Late 5 4 7 2
Min VSBY Early 3 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability D D F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 45 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 44 percent. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-130715-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
213 PM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Showers None None None
Chance Precip (%) 60 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 57 74 54 76
Max/Min RH (%) 100 62 99 53
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) N 10 G26 N 7 Lgt/Var N 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) N 8 G20 NW 7 Lgt/Var N 6
Precip Amount 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 4
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 6 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 59/0600 1900 59/0900
Dispersion Good Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4100 4700
Transport Wind (mph) N 16 N 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 65600 79900
ADI Early 27 Fair 57 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 63 Good
ADI Late 19 Gen Poor 71 Good 5 Very Poor 84 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 7 6
Max LVORI Late 5 3 7 1
Min VSBY Early 3 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability D C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
50 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 42 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...VAO