Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
537
FNUS52 KILM 190557
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
157 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure wedges across the Carolinas today with a gradual
increase in NE winds. Winds continue to increase on Wednesday as
Hurricane Erin tracks northward between the US East Coast and
Bermuda, remaining breezy through Thursday. A cold front will
approach the area later this week bringing cooler temperatures.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-191900-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
157 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Showers Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 20 50
Chance Thunder (%) 20 0 50
Max/Min Temp 89 72 89
Min/Max RH (%) 59 99 63
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 8 G19
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 4 Lgt/Var NE 9 G21
Precip Amount 0.03 0.01 0.05
Precip Duration 0 0 2
Precip Begin 3 PM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 8 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/0800 1900 76/0800
Dispersion Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 4000
Transport Wind (mph) NE 10 NE 21
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 42000 84000
ADI Early 36 Fair 5 Very Poor 53 Gen Good
ADI Late 46 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 65 Good
Max LVORI Early 7 6 6
Max LVORI Late 2 7 3
Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability A F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
65 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
93 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 70. Maximum RH 93 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ096-099-191900-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
157 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 30 30
Chance Thunder (%) 30 30 30
Max/Min Temp 87 72 89
Min/Max RH (%) 64 100 62
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 6 G17
Precip Amount 0.03 0.02 0.03
Precip Duration 1 1 1
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 10 PM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/0600 1900 77/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3700 3900
Transport Wind (mph) NE 9 NE 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 33300 70200
ADI Early 29 Fair 4 Very Poor 54 Gen Good
ADI Late 36 Fair 5 Very Poor 69 Good
Max LVORI Early 8 6 7
Max LVORI Late 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 4 Rain 7 4 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 5 Rain 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 92 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
62 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
61 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Light
winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Light winds.
$$
NCZ087-191900-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
157 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 30 20
Chance Thunder (%) 30 30 20
Max/Min Temp 85 72 89
Min/Max RH (%) 64 99 58
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 4 Lgt/Var NE 8
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 4 Lgt/Var NE 9 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1 1 0
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing 10 PM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/0600 1900 77/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3700 3800
Transport Wind (mph) NE 9 NE 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 33300 68400
ADI Early 30 Fair 7 Poor 52 Gen Good
ADI Late 42 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 64 Good
Max LVORI Early 7 6 6
Max LVORI Late 3 9 2
Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 7 4 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 4 Rain 7
Turner Stability C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 93 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
59 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 91 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-191900-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
157 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 30 30
Chance Thunder (%) 30 30 30
Max/Min Temp 89 72 89
Min/Max RH (%) 62 100 60
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var N 7 G18
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 5 Lgt/Var NE 9 G18
Precip Amount 0.03 0.02 0.04
Precip Duration 1 1 1
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 10 PM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/0900 2000 76/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4100 3900
Transport Wind (mph) NE 10 NE 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 41000 78000
ADI Early 40 Fair 6 Very Poor 62 Good
ADI Late 48 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 66 Good
Max LVORI Early 8 6 6
Max LVORI Late 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 7 5 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 94 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 62 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 93 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 74 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-191900-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
157 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 30 20
Chance Thunder (%) 30 30 20
Max/Min Temp 89 71 89
Min/Max RH (%) 60 100 58
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var N 6
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 4 Lgt/Var NE 7
Precip Amount 0.05 0.04 0.01
Precip Duration 1 1 0
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing 10 PM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/0600 1900 76/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 4100
Transport Wind (mph) NE 10 NE 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 42000 73800
ADI Early 36 Fair 5 Very Poor 61 Good
ADI Late 46 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 83 Good
Max LVORI Early 8 6 7
Max LVORI Late 2 9 2
Min VSBY Early 4 Rain 7 4 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 94 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 58 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 93 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Light
winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Light winds.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-191900-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
157 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 30 30 0
Chance Thunder (%) 30 30 0
Max/Min Temp 86 72 89
Min/Max RH (%) 62 100 58
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 4 Lgt/Var NE 6
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 4 Lgt/Var NE 8
Precip Amount 0.01 0.01 0.00
Precip Duration 0 1
Precip Begin 3 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 10 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/0600 1900 76/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4000 4400
Transport Wind (mph) NE 10 NE 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 40000 74800
ADI Early 32 Fair 7 Poor 57 Gen Good
ADI Late 44 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 81 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 6 7
Max LVORI Late 3 9 2
Min VSBY Early 4 Rain 7 4 Fog
Min VSBY Late 7 5 Rain 7
Turner Stability C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
59 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 93 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...21