Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
778
FNUS52 KILM 091812
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
212 PM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Low pressure will develop off the Georgia coast tonight along a
stalled cold front. As the low moves north late this week gusty
winds and coastal rain are expected along with cooler
temperatures. Dry weather and near normal temperatures are
expected next week.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-100715-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
212 PM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Showers Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 60 70
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 20 20
Min/Max Temp 58 74 60 72
Max/Min RH (%) 84 62 99 85
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 8 G23 NE 10 G24 NE 8 G23 NE 9 G21
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 9 G24 NE 10 G24 NE 8 G20 NE 10 G24
Precip Amount 0.00 0.02 0.47 0.99
Precip Duration 1 5 9
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 60/0600 1900 62/0600
Dispersion Excellent Good
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3800 2400
Transport Wind (mph) NE 25 NE 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 95000 48000
ADI Early 23 Fair 52 Gen Good 23 Fair 31 Fair
ADI Late 19 Gen Poor 63 Good 16 Gen Poor 39 Fair
Max LVORI Early 3 3 4 5
Max LVORI Late 3 2 5 4
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 7 5 Rain
Turner Stability D D D D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 70s. Minimum RH 80 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
55 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-100715-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
212 PM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Showers Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 40 50
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 57 73 59 72
Max/Min RH (%) 80 54 97 74
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 6 G18 NE 8 G20 NE 7 G18 NE 8 G19
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 7 G18 NE 9 G21 NE 7 G17 NE 9 G22
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.42
Precip Duration 1 2 2
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 58/0600 1900 None
Dispersion Fair Good
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3600 2500
Transport Wind (mph) NE 22 NE 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 79200 50000
ADI Early 24 Fair 51 Gen Good 21 Fair 33 Fair
ADI Late 18 Gen Poor 55 Gen Good 16 Gen Poor 42 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 3 3 4 5
Max LVORI Late 4 1 5 4
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability E D D D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 77 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
50 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-100715-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
212 PM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Showers Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 40 60 60
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 20 20
Min/Max Temp 58 73 60 71
Max/Min RH (%) 85 66 99 82
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 7 G23 NE 10 G24 NE 9 G24 N 9 G22
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 9 G23 NE 10 G24 NE 9 G23 N 11 G24
Precip Amount 0.00 0.03 0.31 0.42
Precip Duration 2 5 7
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 60/0600 1900 None
Dispersion Good Excellent
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2900 2400
Transport Wind (mph) NE 25 NE 21
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 72500 50400
ADI Early 21 Fair 49 Gen Good 23 Fair 33 Fair
ADI Late 20 Gen Poor 56 Gen Good 19 Gen Poor 41 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 3 3 4 4
Max LVORI Late 3 2 5 4
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability D D D D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 79 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
55 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-100715-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
212 PM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Showers Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 40 40
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 55 72 58 70
Max/Min RH (%) 81 55 94 72
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 6 NE 9 G19 NE 7 G18 N 9 G19
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 7 G17 NE 9 G19 NE 8 G18 N 10 G21
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.17
Precip Duration 1 2 2
Precip Begin 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 58/0600 1900 None
Dispersion Fair Good
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3200 2700
Transport Wind (mph) NE 22 NE 21
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 70400 56700
ADI Early 20 Gen Poor 51 Gen Good 22 Fair 35 Fair
ADI Late 19 Gen Poor 53 Gen Good 17 Gen Poor 44 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 3 3 3 4
Max LVORI Late 3 1 4 4
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability E D D D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. North
winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 73 percent. North winds around
10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
47 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation below normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$