Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
903
FNUS52 KILM 221220
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
820 AM EDT Tue Apr 22 2025
.DISCUSSION...
A weak front will move into the area later today and tonight, then
stall. The front will bring some much needed rainfall to the area.
Another cold front could bring additional rainfall later in the
week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-230430-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
820 AM EDT Tue Apr 22 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 70
Chance Thunder (%) 0 20 50
Max/Min Temp 86 63 82
Min/Max RH (%) 44 100 69
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 S 6 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 8 Lgt/Var SE 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.02 0.55
Precip Duration 1 8
Precip Begin 9 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 71/0900 2000 70/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7000 3700
Transport Wind (mph) SW 15 SE 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 105000 33300
ADI Early 51 Gen Good 24 Fair 26 Fair
ADI Late 85 Good 7 Poor 32 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 5 7
Max LVORI Late 1 8 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 70 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
61 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-230430-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
820 AM EDT Tue Apr 22 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 30 80
Chance Thunder (%) 0 20 50
Max/Min Temp 87 63 81
Min/Max RH (%) 41 99 63
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 4 S 5 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 6 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.11 0.41
Precip Duration 2 6
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 70/0900 2000 69/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 8300 4400
Transport Wind (mph) SW 16 NE 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 132800 39600
ADI Early 58 Gen Good 20 Gen Poor 26 Fair
ADI Late 94 Good 5 Very Poor 41 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 7
Max LVORI Late 1 7 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-230430-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
820 AM EDT Tue Apr 22 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 10 60
Chance Thunder (%) 0 10 50
Max/Min Temp 85 63 83
Min/Max RH (%) 44 100 64
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 4 S 6 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) S 7 Lgt/Var SE 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.02 0.40
Precip Duration 1 4
Precip Begin 10 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 70/0900 2000 70/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7300 4300
Transport Wind (mph) SW 14 SW 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 102200 38700
ADI Early 47 Gen Good 22 Fair 26 Fair
ADI Late 78 Good 5 Very Poor 32 Fair
Max LVORI Early 6 5 8
Max LVORI Late 1 8 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 80. Minimum RH 62 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 60 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-230430-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
820 AM EDT Tue Apr 22 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 30 80
Chance Thunder (%) 0 20 70
Max/Min Temp 86 62 83
Min/Max RH (%) 40 100 58
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 4 SW 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 6 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.08 0.35
Precip Duration 2 6
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 70/0900 1900 70/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 8100 4900
Transport Wind (mph) SW 15 N 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 121500 34300
ADI Early 56 Gen Good 10 Poor 21 Fair
ADI Late 88 Good 4 Very Poor 38 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 5 8
Max LVORI Late 1 8 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Northwest winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$