Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
286
FNUS52 KILM 140557
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
157 AM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will build across the area through Wednesday,
leading to a warming trend. A cold front Wednesday night will
usher in the coolest air since Spring. The late week period will
feature another warmup until the next cold front arrives Monday.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-141900-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
157 AM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 72 57 76
Min/Max RH (%) 69 94 52
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NW 6 G17 N 5 G17 N 6
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) N 8 G18 N 4 N 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 59/0900 1900 61/0900
Dispersion Fair
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2900 4200
Transport Wind (mph) N 20 N 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 58000 63000
ADI Early 49 Gen Good 13 Gen Poor 56 Gen Good
ADI Late 43 Gen Good 9 Poor 73 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 5
Max LVORI Late 3 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C E B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
80 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 41 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
75 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
63 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-141900-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
157 AM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 74 56 76
Min/Max RH (%) 62 94 48
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NW 4 Lgt/Var N 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) N 7 Lgt/Var N 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 59/0900 1900 61/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3200 4000
Transport Wind (mph) N 18 N 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 57600 60000
ADI Early 65 Good 10 Poor 58 Gen Good
ADI Late 65 Good 6 Very Poor 72 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 5
Max LVORI Late 2 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C F B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 39 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
77 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 38 percent. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
60 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-141900-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
157 AM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 74 56 76
Min/Max RH (%) 66 98 54
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var N 4 N 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) N 7 Lgt/Var N 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 64/1000 1900 61/0900
Dispersion Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3700 4000
Transport Wind (mph) N 18 N 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 66600 60000
ADI Early 51 Gen Good 10 Poor 58 Gen Good
ADI Late 66 Good 6 Very Poor 70 Good
Max LVORI Early 8 5 5
Max LVORI Late 3 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 46 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
77 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
85 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
67 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-141900-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
157 AM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 76 56 77
Min/Max RH (%) 58 98 49
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var N 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) N 6 Lgt/Var N 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 64/1000 1900 60/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3900 4100
Transport Wind (mph) N 17 N 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 66300 57400
ADI Early 50 Gen Good 7 Poor 58 Gen Good
ADI Late 67 Good 6 Very Poor 68 Good
Max LVORI Early 8 6 5
Max LVORI Late 2 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 39 percent. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
62 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...21