Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
261
FNUS52 KILM 191805
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
205 PM EDT Sat Jul 19 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Bermuda high pressure will bring southwesterly winds and hot
weather across the Carolinas into Monday. A weak front is
expected to approach from the north early next week with increased
chances for showers and thunderstorms along with slightly cooler
temps. A wedge of high pressure will build in from the northeast
across the inland Carolinas Tuesday and Wednesday, then retreat to
the north through the end of the week.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-200715-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
205 PM EDT Sat Jul 19 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 20 20 40
Chance Thunder (%) 30 20 20 40
Min/Max Temp 77 97 77 98
Max/Min RH (%) 90 52 90 52
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 W 5 SW 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 W 6 Lgt/Var W 4
Precip Amount 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.09
Precip Duration 1 0 1 1
Precip Begin 6 PM 2 PM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End 2 AM Continuing 2 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 83/0900 2000 84/0900
Dispersion Fair Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5900 6500
Transport Wind (mph) W 20 W 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 118000 58500
ADI Early 12 Poor 90 Good 10 Poor 34 Fair
ADI Late 8 Poor 122 Very Good6 Very Poor 51 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 4 4 4 5
Max LVORI Late 4 1 6 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
88 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
91 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-200715-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
205 PM EDT Sat Jul 19 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 20 20 40
Chance Thunder (%) 30 20 20 40
Min/Max Temp 76 96 77 97
Max/Min RH (%) 89 51 91 52
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 4 W 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var W 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04
Precip Duration 1 0 0 1
Precip Begin 6 PM 2 PM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End 12 AM Continuing 8 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 82/0900 2000 83/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5800 6300
Transport Wind (mph) W 17 NW 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 98600 50400
ADI Early 11 Poor 76 Good 7 Poor 38 Fair
ADI Late 7 Poor 120 Very Good6 Very Poor 55 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 4 4 4 5
Max LVORI Late 5 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 60 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
91 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
55 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-200715-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
205 PM EDT Sat Jul 19 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 20 40
Chance Thunder (%) 0 20 20 40
Min/Max Temp 77 97 76 97
Max/Min RH (%) 90 51 90 53
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 W 5 SW 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 W 6 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05
Precip Duration 0 0 1
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing 8 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 83/0900 2000 83/0900
Dispersion Poor Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6200 6100
Transport Wind (mph) W 21 NW 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 130200 54900
ADI Early 9 Poor 99 Good 11 Poor 28 Fair
ADI Late 7 Poor 135 Very Good6 Very Poor 60 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 4 4 4 5
Max LVORI Late 5 1 5 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with thunderstorms likely and a chance of
showers. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
94 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
62 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-200715-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
205 PM EDT Sat Jul 19 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 20 20 40
Chance Thunder (%) 20 20 20 40
Min/Max Temp 76 96 76 96
Max/Min RH (%) 89 49 91 51
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 4 W 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var W 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.03
Precip Duration 1 0 0 1
Precip Begin 6 PM 2 PM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End 11 PM Continuing 8 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 82/0900 2000 83/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6300 6400
Transport Wind (mph) W 17 NW 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 107100 57600
ADI Early 10 Poor 92 Good 9 Poor 36 Fair
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 127 Very Good6 Very Poor 63 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 4 4 5
Max LVORI Late 5 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with thunderstorms likely and a chance of
showers. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
95 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...CRM