Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
328
FNUS52 KILM 261928
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
228 PM EST Tue Nov 26 2024
.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will move offshore this evening, and high pressure
will bring slightly cooler temperatures and drier weather to the
area on Wednesday. A second, stronger cold front will bring
unsettled weather Thursday and will be followed by much cooler
temperatures. A third cold front over the weekend will usher in
the coldest temperatures this season early next week.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-271130-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
228 PM EST Tue Nov 26 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 50
Precip Type None None None Showers
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 44 69 51 75
Max/Min RH (%) 94 59 100 70
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var NE 4 Lgt/Var SW 8 G22
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 4 Lgt/Var SW 10 G23
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 7 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1600 55/0900 1700 62/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 4 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3200 3300
Transport Wind (mph) SE 9 SW 30
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 28800 99000
ADI Early 6 Very Poor 26 Fair 5 Very Poor 53 Gen Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 29 Fair 9 Poor 67 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 9 5
Max LVORI Late 5 4 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B E D
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
61 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 30s.
Maximum RH 76 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 37 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Maximum RH
75 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
72 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH
74 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-271130-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
228 PM EST Tue Nov 26 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 50
Precip Type None None None Showers
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 43 69 52 74
Max/Min RH (%) 95 55 100 72
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 8 G21
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 9 G22
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 7 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1600 55/1000 1700 63/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 4 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3100 3000
Transport Wind (mph) S 8 SW 29
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 24800 87000
ADI Early 6 Very Poor 23 Fair 5 Very Poor 52 Gen Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 33 Fair 10 Poor 63 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 9 5
Max LVORI Late 4 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B E D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
56 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 30s.
Maximum RH 76 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 35 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
72 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH
74 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-271130-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
228 PM EST Tue Nov 26 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 40
Precip Type None None None Showers
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 45 68 54 74
Max/Min RH (%) 98 63 100 67
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 7 G20
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 9 G20
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 7 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1700 58/1000 1700 62/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 4 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3200 3600
Transport Wind (mph) S 9 SW 28
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 28800 100800
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 16 Gen Poor 5 Very Poor 59 Gen Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 30 Fair 10 Poor 70 Good
Max LVORI Early 7 4 9 5
Max LVORI Late 6 4 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B E D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
61 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 30s.
Maximum RH 79 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
75 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH
74 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-271130-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
228 PM EST Tue Nov 26 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 50
Precip Type None None None Showers
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 42 68 52 73
Max/Min RH (%) 99 56 100 71
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 7 G19
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 9 G20
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.18
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1600 56/1000 1700 61/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 4 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2900 2800
Transport Wind (mph) S 9 SW 26
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 26100 72800
ADI Early 6 Very Poor 14 Gen Poor 5 Very Poor 51 Gen Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 30 Fair 11 Poor 54 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 7 4 9 5
Max LVORI Late 5 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B E D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
57 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 30s.
Maximum RH 80 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 39 percent. Light
winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH
76 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 20s. Maximum RH
75 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Light winds.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation below normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...7