Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
933
FNUS52 KILM 080629
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
229 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025
.DISCUSSION...
After one more warm day today, a cold front crosses the area this
afternoon and evening bringing scattered showers and thunderstorms,
followed by cooler temperatures for the rest of the week. Offshore
low pressure will bring chances for rain and gusty winds to the
area Friday through Sunday.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-081930-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
229 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 50 40 0
Chance Thunder (%) 50 40 0
Max/Min Temp 85 57 73
Min/Max RH (%) 62 96 52
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 9 G22
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var NE 8 G21 NE 10 G23
Precip Amount 0.09 0.16 0.00
Precip Duration 1 2
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 3 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/1000 1800 60/0600
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 4600
Transport Wind (mph) W 10 NE 22
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 42000 101200
ADI Early 38 Fair 9 Poor 69 Good
ADI Late 32 Fair 18 Gen Poor 82 Good
Max LVORI Early 8 7 4
Max LVORI Late 3 5 1
Min VSBY Early 0 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability C E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 81 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
66 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Northeast
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 79 percent. North winds around
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent. North
winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
66 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-081930-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
229 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 50 20 0
Chance Thunder (%) 50 20 0
Max/Min Temp 84 58 73
Min/Max RH (%) 62 96 40
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 9 G21
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var NE 7 G19 NE 9 G21
Precip Amount 0.05 0.05 0.00
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 1 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/1000 1900 59/0600
Dispersion Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3700 4800
Transport Wind (mph) W 10 NE 21
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 37000 100800
ADI Early 32 Fair 11 Poor 70 Good
ADI Late 35 Fair 19 Gen Poor 82 Good
Max LVORI Early 8 6 3
Max LVORI Late 3 4 1
Min VSBY Early 0 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
69 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
91 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
60 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-081930-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
229 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 40 40 0
Chance Thunder (%) 40 40 0
Max/Min Temp 85 60 73
Min/Max RH (%) 62 99 51
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 9 G21
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var NE 6 G21 NE 10 G21
Precip Amount 0.04 0.09 0.00
Precip Duration 1 2
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 4 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/1000 1800 60/0600
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4500 4400
Transport Wind (mph) W 8 NE 21
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 36000 92400
ADI Early 27 Fair 4 Very Poor 64 Good
ADI Late 29 Fair 20 Gen Poor 77 Good
Max LVORI Early 9 8 4
Max LVORI Late 3 6 1
Min VSBY Early 0 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 80 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
68 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Northeast
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 72 percent. North winds around
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
94 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
62 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-081930-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
229 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 40 20 0
Chance Thunder (%) 40 20 0
Max/Min Temp 84 58 72
Min/Max RH (%) 60 98 40
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 9 G20
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var NE 8 G18 NE 10 G20
Precip Amount 0.02 0.04 0.00
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 2 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/1000 1900 60/0600
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4000 4600
Transport Wind (mph) NW 9 NE 21
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 36000 96600
ADI Early 21 Fair 7 Poor 68 Good
ADI Late 29 Fair 20 Gen Poor 79 Good
Max LVORI Early 9 7 3
Max LVORI Late 3 5 1
Min VSBY Early 0 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
77 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
62 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 94 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
54 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...MAS