Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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961
FNUS52 KILM 041904
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
304 PM EDT Fri Oct 4 2024

.DISCUSSION...
Dry high pressure will maintain quiet weather during the next 5
days. A couple of dry cold frontal passages will occur during
this period, the 1st and weaker 1, Sat evening. The 2nd and much
stronger, late Mon into Tue.

Fog potential for tonight is None.

NCZ105>110-051115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
304 PM EDT Fri Oct 4 2024

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          64           84           61           82
Max/Min RH (%)        95           60           100          52
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      NE  4
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      NE  5        Lgt/Var      NE  4
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1800         75/1100      1900         67/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Haines Index          4            3            3            5
DSI                                2                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    4300                      4500
Transport Wind (mph)               NE 12                     NE 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 51600                     45000
ADI Early             10 Poor      31 Fair      16 Gen Poor  36 Fair
ADI Late              4 Very Poor  49 Gen Good  6 Very Poor  47 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early       6            6            5            9
Max LVORI Late        6            3            6            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      E            B            E            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
63 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
79 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
80 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-051115-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
304 PM EDT Fri Oct 4 2024

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          65           84           61           82
Max/Min RH (%)        97           59           100          51
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1800         73/1000      1900         66/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Haines Index          4            3            3            5
DSI                                2                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    4200                      4500
Transport Wind (mph)               NE 10                     NE  7
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 42000                     31500
ADI Early             9 Poor       28 Fair      15 Gen Poor  31 Fair
ADI Late              3 Very Poor  49 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  45 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early       6            7            6            9
Max LVORI Late        6            2            9            2
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      E            B            F            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 81 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 84 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-051115-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
304 PM EDT Fri Oct 4 2024

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          65           84           62           82
Max/Min RH (%)        95           58           100          52
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1800         73/1000      1900         67/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Haines Index          3            3            3            4
DSI                                2                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    4200                      4400
Transport Wind (mph)               NE 10                     NE  7
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 42000                     30800
ADI Early             10 Poor      28 Fair      20 Gen Poor  29 Fair
ADI Late              3 Very Poor  55 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  42 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early       6            6            6            9
Max LVORI Late        6            2            9            2
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      E            B            F            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
85 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
56 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 80 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 84 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ039-055-056-051115-
Williamsburg-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Kingstree, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
304 PM EDT Fri Oct 4 2024

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          64           83           62           81
Max/Min RH (%)        96           60           100          56
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      NE  4        Lgt/Var      NE  4
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1800         73/1000      1900         67/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Haines Index          4            3            3            4
DSI                                2                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    4300                      4500
Transport Wind (mph)               NE 10                     E 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 43000                     45000
ADI Early             14 Gen Poor  26 Fair      17 Gen Poor  35 Fair
ADI Late              4 Very Poor  51 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  47 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early       6            6            7            9
Max LVORI Late        6            2            9            2
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      E            B            E            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
61 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-054-058-059-051115-
Florence-Marion-Coastal Horry-Central Horry-Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, Myrtle Beach,
Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Conway,
Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
304 PM EDT Fri Oct 4 2024

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          64           83           62           82
Max/Min RH (%)        97           61           100          55
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      NE  4        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1800         73/1000      1900         67/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Haines Index          4            3            3            4
DSI                                2                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    4200                      4400
Transport Wind (mph)               NE  9                     NE  8
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 37800                     35200
ADI Early             9 Poor       25 Fair      18 Gen Poor  33 Fair
ADI Late              4 Very Poor  49 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  44 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early       6            7            7            9
Max LVORI Late        6            3            9            2
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      E            B            E            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
61 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
80 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-051115-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
304 PM EDT Fri Oct 4 2024

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          64           84           62           81
Max/Min RH (%)        97           57           100          55
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      NE  4        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1900         73/1000      1900         67/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Haines Index          4            3            3            4
DSI                                2                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    4600                      4300
Transport Wind (mph)               NE 10                     NE  6
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 46000                     25800
ADI Early             10 Poor      24 Fair      19 Gen Poor  28 Fair
ADI Late              3 Very Poor  54 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  37 Fair
Max LVORI Early       6            7            6            9
Max LVORI Late        6            2            9            3
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      E            B            F            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
84 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
58 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 81 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 86 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
   NOT USED                    0             0 TO 14759
    0 TO 17249                 1         14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

Forecaster...dch