Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
145
FNUS52 KILM 212006
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
406 PM EDT Mon Jul 21 2025
.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will drop down from the north with increased shower
and thunderstorm activity late today through Tuesday. High
pressure will build in from the northeast as front lingers to the
south into Wed with a brief respite of heat and humidity,
especially across North Carolina. Heat and humidity will return
again for the weekend.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-220915-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
406 PM EDT Mon Jul 21 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 60 30 40
Chance Thunder (%) 30 60 30 40
Min/Max Temp 74 88 70 89
Max/Min RH (%) 100 69 98 65
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var NE 4 NE 4 NE 6
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var NE 6 NE 4 E 8 G17
Precip Amount 0.22 0.35 0.11 0.06
Precip Duration 2 4 2 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 77/0700 2000 74/0700
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3400 4300
Transport Wind (mph) E 14 E 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 47600 64500
ADI Early 7 Poor 31 Fair 11 Poor 57 Gen Good
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 41 Gen Good 7 Poor 57 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 7 5 5
Max LVORI Late 8 3 6 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability F C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
64 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-220915-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
406 PM EDT Mon Jul 21 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 50 40 20
Chance Thunder (%) 30 50 40 20
Min/Max Temp 75 89 69 90
Max/Min RH (%) 100 63 98 55
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var NE 4 Lgt/Var NE 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var NE 5 Lgt/Var E 6
Precip Amount 0.12 0.12 0.04 0.02
Precip Duration 1 1 1 1
Precip Begin 6 PM 9 AM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End 1 AM Continuing 2 AM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 77/0800 2000 72/0700
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4000 5400
Transport Wind (mph) E 14 E 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 56000 75600
ADI Early 4 Very Poor 39 Fair 11 Poor 76 Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 47 Gen Good 7 Poor 83 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 5 5
Max LVORI Late 7 3 6 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability F C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Light
winds.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-220915-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
406 PM EDT Mon Jul 21 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 70 60 50
Chance Thunder (%) 30 70 60 50
Min/Max Temp 76 91 71 88
Max/Min RH (%) 98 67 100 68
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var E 4 NE 6
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 6 Lgt/Var E 8 G17
Precip Amount 0.03 0.45 0.24 0.13
Precip Duration 1 4 3 2
Precip Begin 6 PM 9 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End 1 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 81/0900 2000 74/0600
Dispersion Very Poor Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3200 3900
Transport Wind (mph) E 10 E 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 32000 62400
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 29 Fair 9 Poor 55 Gen Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 34 Fair 8 Poor 55 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 7 7 5
Max LVORI Late 7 3 7 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability F B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-220915-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
406 PM EDT Mon Jul 21 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 60 60 30
Chance Thunder (%) 30 60 60 30
Min/Max Temp 75 91 70 90
Max/Min RH (%) 98 63 100 55
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var NE 4 Lgt/Var NE 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var NE 5 Lgt/Var E 6
Precip Amount 0.09 0.16 0.10 0.05
Precip Duration 1 3 2 2
Precip Begin 6 PM 11 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End 1 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 77/0800 2000 73/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3800 5600
Transport Wind (mph) NE 12 E 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 45600 89600
ADI Early 4 Very Poor 42 Gen Good 11 Poor 79 Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 44 Gen Good 7 Poor 84 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 7 5
Max LVORI Late 7 3 8 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...RGZ