Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
371
FNUS52 KILM 180656
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
256 AM EDT Fri Oct 18 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Dry, clear skies and below normal temps will dominate the
forecast through Saturday as high pressure ridges across the area
from the north. Look for a warming trend this weekend into next
week under continued dry conditions with modifying high pressure.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-182300-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
256 AM EDT Fri Oct 18 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 69 43 73
Min/Max RH (%) 41 92 49
Wind20ft/Early (mph) N 4 N 4 N 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) N 6 N 4 NE 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 53/1000 1800 59/1000
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3600 4000
Transport Wind (mph) N 15 N 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 54000 60000
ADI Early 43 Gen Good 13 Gen Poor 50 Gen Good
ADI Late 60 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 64 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 3 5
Max LVORI Late 1 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
99 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ096-099-182300-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
256 AM EDT Fri Oct 18 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 70 43 74
Min/Max RH (%) 39 90 45
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) N 5 Lgt/Var NE 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 52/1000 1800 57/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3600 3600
Transport Wind (mph) N 15 N 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 54000 54000
ADI Early 48 Gen Good 12 Poor 48 Gen Good
ADI Late 64 Good 6 Very Poor 67 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 51 percent. Light
winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Light winds.
$$
NCZ087-182300-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
256 AM EDT Fri Oct 18 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 70 42 73
Min/Max RH (%) 38 88 39
Wind20ft/Early (mph) N 4 NE 4 N 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) N 7 Lgt/Var NE 8
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 52/1000 1800 56/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3700 3200
Transport Wind (mph) N 16 N 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 59200 51200
ADI Early 49 Gen Good 13 Gen Poor 42 Gen Good
ADI Late 57 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 60 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
99 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
93 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-182300-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
256 AM EDT Fri Oct 18 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 69 42 73
Min/Max RH (%) 41 90 46
Wind20ft/Early (mph) N 4 N 4 NE 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) N 6 Lgt/Var NE 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 53/1000 1800 57/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3600 3600
Transport Wind (mph) N 14 N 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 50400 50400
ADI Early 44 Gen Good 13 Gen Poor 44 Gen Good
ADI Late 61 Good 6 Very Poor 60 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 4
Max LVORI Late 1 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
98 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-182300-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
256 AM EDT Fri Oct 18 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 69 41 73
Min/Max RH (%) 40 91 40
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) NE 5 Lgt/Var NE 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 52/1000 1800 56/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3700 3300
Transport Wind (mph) N 15 N 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 55500 49500
ADI Early 48 Gen Good 11 Poor 42 Gen Good
ADI Late 62 Good 6 Very Poor 63 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 49 percent. Light
winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 49 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-182300-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
256 AM EDT Fri Oct 18 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 70 41 73
Min/Max RH (%) 39 91 37
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var NE 4 N 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) NE 6 Lgt/Var NE 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 58/1100 1800 56/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3700 3200
Transport Wind (mph) N 15 N 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 55500 48000
ADI Early 46 Gen Good 11 Poor 38 Fair
ADI Late 62 Good 6 Very Poor 58 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 7 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...dch