Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
709
FNUS52 KILM 010510
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
1210 AM EST Mon Dec 1 2025
.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will move through early this morning followed by dry
high pressure today. Rain will return tonight through Tuesday as
low pressure moves through the area. Dry high pressure will return
Wednesday through Thursday with another disturbance bringing more
rain starting as early as Thursday night into Sunday.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-011815-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
1210 AM EST Mon Dec 1 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Rain Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 90 100
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 50
Max/Min Temp 55 41 66
Min/Max RH (%) 45 99 79
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) N 9 G21 NE 4 S 6 G23
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 7 G17 NE 4 W 7 G21
Precip Amount 0.00 0.27 0.80
Precip Duration 3 8
Precip Begin 11 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 51/1300 1700 Continued
Dispersion Fair
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2600 1100
Transport Wind (mph) NE 13 NW 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 33800 16500
ADI Early 42 Gen Good 9 Poor 18 Gen Poor
ADI Late 41 Gen Good 9 Poor 20 Gen Poor
Max LVORI Early 3 4 6
Max LVORI Late 2 4 5
Min VSBY Early 7 7 2 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 3 Rain 3 Rain
Turner Stability D E D
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
53 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum
RH 95 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum
RH 84 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid 50s.
Minimum RH 79 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of showers 90 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper
50s. Minimum RH 83 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
67 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-011815-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
1210 AM EST Mon Dec 1 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Rain Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 90 100
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 20
Max/Min Temp 53 39 61
Min/Max RH (%) 41 99 78
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 8 G21 Lgt/Var N 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 6 Lgt/Var NW 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.33 0.94
Precip Duration 3 8
Precip Begin 12 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) None 1800 Continued
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2500 1100
Transport Wind (mph) NE 13 NW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 32500 15400
ADI Early 46 Gen Good 9 Poor 15 Gen Poor
ADI Late 39 Fair 7 Poor 19 Gen Poor
Max LVORI Early 3 3 6
Max LVORI Late 2 5 5
Min VSBY Early 7 7 2 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 3 Rain 3 Rain
Turner Stability D F D
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Maximum RH
100 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
50 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with rain showers likely. Highs in the upper
40s. Minimum RH 78 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of showers 90 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper
50s. Minimum RH 81 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light
winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
65 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-011815-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
1210 AM EST Mon Dec 1 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 90 100
Chance Thunder (%) 0 20 20
Max/Min Temp 56 43 64
Min/Max RH (%) 44 99 77
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 8 G20 NE 4 NW 5 G19
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 7 NE 4 W 6 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.36 0.72
Precip Duration 4 8
Precip Begin 11 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 47/0600 1700 Continued
Dispersion Poor
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2400 1300
Transport Wind (mph) NE 13 W 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 31200 19500
ADI Early 39 Fair 9 Poor 15 Gen Poor
ADI Late 31 Fair 9 Poor 23 Fair
Max LVORI Early 3 3 5
Max LVORI Late 2 4 5
Min VSBY Early 7 7 2 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 3 Rain 3 Rain
Turner Stability D E D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
56 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
89 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid 50s.
Minimum RH 80 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of showers 80 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs around 60.
Minimum RH 84 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. West winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light
winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
71 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-011815-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
1210 AM EST Mon Dec 1 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Rain Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 90 100
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 20
Max/Min Temp 52 39 58
Min/Max RH (%) 39 99 78
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 9 G20 Lgt/Var N 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 7 Lgt/Var W 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.40 0.85
Precip Duration 4 8
Precip Begin 11 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) None 1800 None
Dispersion Poor
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2500 1300
Transport Wind (mph) E 14 W 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 35000 18200
ADI Early 39 Fair 9 Poor 16 Gen Poor
ADI Late 33 Fair 7 Poor 19 Gen Poor
Max LVORI Early 3 3 5
Max LVORI Late 2 5 5
Min VSBY Early 7 7 2 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 4 Rain 3 Rain
Turner Stability D F D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. Maximum RH
100 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
51 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum
RH 91 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with rain showers likely. Highs in the upper
40s. Minimum RH 79 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of showers 80 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper
50s. Minimum RH 81 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light
winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
68 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$