Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
383
FNUS52 KILM 160558
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
1258 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
...FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST THIS MORNING
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...
.DISCUSSION...
Warm, dry, and breezy conditions are expected today ahead of a dry
cold front that will move through the region this evening. High
pressure will return Monday and Tuesday. Dry weather is forecast
through Friday.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Unfavorable
Type 1-B...Direction W...Maximum Wind 55 mph at 2000 ft.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-161900-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
1258 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
...FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST THIS MORNING
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 79 42 62
Min/Max RH (%) 33 53 21
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) W 10 G25 NW 6 G17 NW 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) W 10 G24 NW 5 NW 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 66/0900 1700 46/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5900 3100
Transport Wind (mph) W 24 N 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 141600 52700
ADI Early 57 Gen Good 11 Poor 60 Gen Good
ADI Late 100 Good 7 Poor 62 Good
Max LVORI Early 3 2 2
Max LVORI Late 2 2 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C F B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
65 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Warmer. Lows around 50. Maximum
RH 98 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
63 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
64 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-161900-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
1258 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
...FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST THIS MORNING
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 78 40 63
Min/Max RH (%) 28 51 20
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) W 10 G27 NW 5 G18 NW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NW 10 G27 Lgt/Var NW 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 65/0900 1700 48/0900
Dispersion Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6400 3000
Transport Wind (mph) W 28 N 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 179200 45000
ADI Early 66 Good 11 Poor 57 Gen Good
ADI Late 112 Very Good7 Poor 56 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 3 2 2
Max LVORI Late 2 2 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C F B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
69 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 28 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Not as cool. Lows in the upper
40s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-161900-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
1258 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 80 42 63
Min/Max RH (%) 36 58 24
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) W 10 G23 NW 4 N 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) W 10 G24 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 65/0900 1700 50/0900
Dispersion Poor
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5400 3000
Transport Wind (mph) W 23 N 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 124200 39000
ADI Early 63 Good 10 Poor 50 Gen Good
ADI Late 92 Good 7 Poor 49 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 3 2 2
Max LVORI Late 2 2 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
70 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the lower 50s.
Maximum RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
64 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-161900-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
1258 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 78 40 64
Min/Max RH (%) 29 57 21
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) W 10 G25 NW 5 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) W 10 G25 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 64/0900 1700 49/0900
Dispersion Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6000 3000
Transport Wind (mph) W 25 NW 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 150000 30000
ADI Early 60 Gen Good 11 Poor 38 Fair
ADI Late 100 Good 6 Very Poor 38 Fair
Max LVORI Early 3 2 2
Max LVORI Late 2 2 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
72 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 31 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Not as cool. Lows in the upper
40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...21