Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
658
FNUS52 KILM 232053
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
353 PM EST Sat Nov 23 2024
.DISCUSSION...
As high pressure transitions off the coast a warmup is expected
through Tuesday. A weak front late Tuesday will only bring slight
rain chances. Much more unsettled weather is slated for Wednesday
and Thursday.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-241300-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
353 PM EST Sat Nov 23 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 34 66 40 71
Max/Min RH (%) 98 43 96 39
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 5 Lgt/Var SW 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1700 56/1000 1700 59/1000
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3000 2600
Transport Wind (mph) SW 15 SW 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 45000 33800
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 24 Fair 5 Very Poor 24 Fair
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 47 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 36 Fair
Max LVORI Early 4 6 5 5
Max LVORI Late 6 3 5 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
66 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 74 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
39 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum
RH 90 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs around 70. Minimum RH 68 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely. Lows around 50.
Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 70 percent. West winds around
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the mid 30s.
Maximum RH 78 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-241300-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
353 PM EST Sat Nov 23 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 35 67 39 71
Max/Min RH (%) 98 42 99 39
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 4 Lgt/Var SW 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1700 54/1000 1700 57/1000
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3000 2400
Transport Wind (mph) SW 15 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 45000 33600
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 29 Fair 6 Very Poor 24 Fair
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 47 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 36 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 7 5 7
Max LVORI Late 6 2 7 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
72 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
32 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the upper
40s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 64 percent. West winds around
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 30s.
Maximum RH 78 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-241300-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
353 PM EST Sat Nov 23 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 35 67 40 71
Max/Min RH (%) 98 43 98 38
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 4 Lgt/Var SW 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1700 56/1000 1700 59/1000
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3000 2700
Transport Wind (mph) SW 14 SW 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 42000 35100
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 29 Fair 5 Very Poor 25 Fair
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 44 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 37 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 6 5 6
Max LVORI Late 6 2 6 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
67 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the lower
50s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 66 percent. West winds around
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the upper 30s.
Maximum RH 79 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
42 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-241300-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
353 PM EST Sat Nov 23 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 34 66 39 71
Max/Min RH (%) 100 44 99 39
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 4 Lgt/Var SW 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1700 54/1000 1700 57/1000
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2800 2600
Transport Wind (mph) SW 15 SW 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 42000 39000
ADI Early 4 Very Poor 30 Fair 5 Very Poor 26 Fair
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 45 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 43 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 8 6 7
Max LVORI Late 8 2 8 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 76 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
35 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 66 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the upper
40s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 60. Minimum RH 64 percent. West winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 30s.
Maximum RH 81 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation below normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$