Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
849
FNUS52 KILM 080811
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
311 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Areas of fog early this morning should dissipate by mid to late
morning. A cold front moving across the area late Friday may
bring isolated showers during the afternoon or early evening.
The CFP will occur during Fri night followed by cooler and drier
conditions this weekend as high pressure builds in from the north.
Shower chances could return early next week ahead of the next
cold front.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-090015-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
311 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 20 0 0
Precip Type Showers None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 82 54 71
Min/Max RH (%) 69 97 42
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 9 G20
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var N 4 NE 8 G19
Precip Amount 0.02 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/1000 1700 58/0600
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 4
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3300 3300
Transport Wind (mph) W 9 NE 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 29700 52800
ADI Early 17 Gen Poor 5 Very Poor 53 Gen Good
ADI Late 26 Fair 9 Poor 56 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 7 3
Max LVORI Late 4 6 1
Min VSBY Early 0 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 91 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
63 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Warmer. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 78 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light
winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
87 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 58 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 94 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-090015-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
311 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 20 0 0
Precip Type Showers None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 81 54 70
Min/Max RH (%) 69 99 38
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 8 G19
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var N 4 NE 7 G18
Precip Amount 0.01 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 12 PM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/1000 1700 57/0800
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 4
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3100 3100
Transport Wind (mph) W 10 NE 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 31000 49600
ADI Early 20 Gen Poor 4 Very Poor 56 Gen Good
ADI Late 32 Fair 9 Poor 56 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 9 3
Max LVORI Late 4 6 1
Min VSBY Early 0 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum
RH 88 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Warmer. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 74 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
56 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
85 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 54 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 57 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-090015-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
311 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 20 0 0
Precip Type Showers None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 82 56 71
Min/Max RH (%) 73 100 44
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 8 G19
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 8 G19
Precip Amount 0.01 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/1000 1700 60/0600
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 4
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3100 3000
Transport Wind (mph) W 8 E 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 24800 48000
ADI Early 14 Gen Poor 4 Very Poor 49 Gen Good
ADI Late 23 Fair 9 Poor 55 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 9 4
Max LVORI Late 5 9 1
Min VSBY Early 0 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 90 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
67 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 76 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
62 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 94 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
61 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-090015-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
311 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 20 0 0
Precip Type Showers None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 81 54 72
Min/Max RH (%) 74 100 40
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 8 G18
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 7 G17
Precip Amount 0.01 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 1 PM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 72/1000 1700 58/0800
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 4
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2500 3000
Transport Wind (mph) W 8 NE 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 20000 48000
ADI Early 14 Gen Poor 4 Very Poor 53 Gen Good
ADI Late 22 Fair 9 Poor 53 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 9 3
Max LVORI Late 4 9 1
Min VSBY Early 0 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
65 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Warmer. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 75 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
86 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation below normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...dch