Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
005
FNUS52 KILM 031910
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
310 PM EDT Tue Jun 3 2025
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will maintain dry weather through early Wednesday
morning. Low pressure developing just offshore will bring good
rain chances Thursday and Thursday night, especially near the
coast. Warmer and more humid weather will accompany scattered
showers and thunderstorms over the weekend.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-041115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
310 PM EDT Tue Jun 3 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Showers Showers Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 60 80
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 20
Min/Max Temp 63 82 68 80
Max/Min RH (%) 94 53 100 81
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SE 5 E 5 E 6 SE 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SE 8 SE 5 SE 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.03 0.41 1.00
Precip Duration 1 4 12
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 72/0800 2000 70/0600
Dispersion Poor Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4000 2000
Transport Wind (mph) E 17 S 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 68000 30000
ADI Early 11 Poor 65 Good 25 Fair 33 Fair
ADI Late 7 Poor 72 Good 9 Poor 34 Fair
Max LVORI Early 4 5 5 6
Max LVORI Late 5 1 8 4
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability F B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 100 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-041115-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
310 PM EDT Tue Jun 3 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Showers Showers Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 60 70
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 50
Min/Max Temp 63 83 68 80
Max/Min RH (%) 94 47 100 79
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SE 5 E 5 E 6 E 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SE 7 E 4 SE 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.02 0.28 0.84
Precip Duration 1 4 9
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 72/0900 2100 69/0600
Dispersion Poor Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5200 2100
Transport Wind (mph) E 16 S 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 83200 29400
ADI Early 11 Poor 64 Good 24 Fair 31 Fair
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 82 Good 11 Poor 34 Fair
Max LVORI Early 4 5 5 6
Max LVORI Late 6 1 7 4
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability F B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 100 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-041115-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
310 PM EDT Tue Jun 3 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Showers Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 60 70 80
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 20 50
Min/Max Temp 67 81 69 81
Max/Min RH (%) 94 61 100 80
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SE 7 E 7 G17 E 7 G17 SE 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) E 4 E 10 G18 SE 6 S 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.16 0.87 0.77
Precip Duration 5 8 12
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 72/0800 2000 70/0600
Dispersion Fair Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 2700
Transport Wind (mph) E 20 S 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 84000 43200
ADI Early 23 Fair 71 Good 26 Fair 30 Fair
ADI Late 8 Poor 64 Good 13 Gen Poor 40 Fair
Max LVORI Early 4 5 5 5
Max LVORI Late 5 2 8 4
Min VSBY Early 7 7 3 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 2 Rain 4 Rain
Turner Stability E B D C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-041115-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
310 PM EDT Tue Jun 3 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Showers Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 30 60 70
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 20 50
Min/Max Temp 65 83 68 80
Max/Min RH (%) 95 52 100 77
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SE 6 E 6 E 7 E 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 8 E 5 E 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.07 0.50 0.67
Precip Duration 2 8 9
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 71/0800 2000 69/0600
Dispersion Poor Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5500 2400
Transport Wind (mph) E 18 SW 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 99000 36000
ADI Early 12 Poor 68 Good 25 Fair 30 Fair
ADI Late 8 Poor 73 Good 12 Poor 39 Fair
Max LVORI Early 4 5 5 5
Max LVORI Late 6 1 8 4
Min VSBY Early 7 7 4 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 4 Rain 5 Rain
Turner Stability E B D C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$