Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
803
FNUS52 KILM 052000
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
300 PM EST Wed Feb 5 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Showers across the area tonight may result in fog on Thursday
morning. Warm and dry weather returns Thursday into Friday though
another front arrives later Friday. The weekend will be rather
mild as well but a stronger cold front late Sunday will bring back
February temperatures and cloudy, unsettled conditions early next
week.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-061200-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
300 PM EST Wed Feb 5 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 40 20 0 20
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 43 74 56 76
Max/Min RH (%) 98 60 97 50
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 4 Lgt/Var SW 5 W 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 6 SW 5 NW 4
Precip Amount 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2 0 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing 1 PM
Precip End Continuing 8 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 49/0900 1700 64/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2300 2800
Transport Wind (mph) SW 18 W 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 41400 36400
ADI Early 10 Poor 24 Fair 10 Poor 34 Fair
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 45 Gen Good 7 Poor 41 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 5 5
Max LVORI Late 6 3 6 2
Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 3 Rain 5 Fog
Min VSBY Late 5 Rain 6 Rain 6 Fog
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
70 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Warmer. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum
RH 55 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the mid 40s.
Maximum RH 78 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Much cooler. Highs in the mid 50s.
Minimum RH 72 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
98 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
75 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
74 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-061200-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
300 PM EST Wed Feb 5 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 40 20 0 30
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 43 74 58 75
Max/Min RH (%) 94 56 98 44
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 4 Lgt/Var SW 4 W 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 7 SW 5 N 4
Precip Amount 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 2 0 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing 1 PM
Precip End Continuing 8 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2200 None 1700 64/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2800 2800
Transport Wind (mph) SW 20 NW 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 56000 36400
ADI Early 10 Poor 27 Fair 7 Poor 36 Fair
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 65 Good 10 Poor 43 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 4 6 5 5
Max LVORI Late 6 3 6 2
Min VSBY Early 7 4 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 82 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Warmer. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum
RH 46 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the mid 40s.
Maximum RH 73 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Much cooler. Highs in the lower 50s.
Minimum RH 66 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
97 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
69 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs around 60. Minimum RH
68 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-061200-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
300 PM EST Wed Feb 5 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Showers None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 40 0 0 30
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 46 76 57 76
Max/Min RH (%) 100 56 99 58
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 4 W 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 6 SW 4 W 4
Precip Amount 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.02
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 6 PM 1 PM
Precip End 6 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1800 51/0900 1700 65/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3200 3000
Transport Wind (mph) SW 18 W 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 57600 45000
ADI Early 7 Poor 25 Fair 7 Poor 45 Gen Good
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 67 Good 7 Poor 49 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 7 5 5
Max LVORI Late 6 3 7 3
Min VSBY Early 7 3 Fog 6 Fog
Min VSBY Late 5 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Light
winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
82 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Cooler. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum
RH 69 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
98 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
72 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
73 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-061200-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
300 PM EST Wed Feb 5 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Showers None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 40 0 0 30
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 44 77 58 77
Max/Min RH (%) 98 55 99 49
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 4 W 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 7 SW 5 NW 4
Precip Amount 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.03
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 9 PM 1 PM
Precip End 6 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1800 56/1000 1800 64/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3200 3000
Transport Wind (mph) SW 21 W 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 67200 42000
ADI Early 10 Poor 27 Fair 7 Poor 43 Gen Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 69 Good 10 Poor 48 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 4 7 4 5
Max LVORI Late 6 2 7 2
Min VSBY Early 7 4 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 5 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability F C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Light
winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent. East winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s.
Maximum RH 79 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Much cooler. Highs in the mid 50s.
Minimum RH 65 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
68 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
69 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...21