Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
848
FNUS52 KILM 181908
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
308 PM EDT Wed Sep 18 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Light winds will continue through Thursday. A cold front on
Thursday will be accompanied by slight rain chances. High
pressure behind the front will remain in control into the middle
of next week, ushering in a period of prolonged northerly winds
and dry weather.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-191115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
308 PM EDT Wed Sep 18 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 50 40 0
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms None
LAL 1 2 2 1
Min/Max Temp 66 83 64 84
Max/Min RH (%) 100 71 100 60
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var N 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.11 0.06 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 11 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 72/0900 1900 70/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3900 5600
Transport Wind (mph) N 8 NE 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 31200 72800
ADI Early 11 Poor 26 Fair 10 Poor 50 Gen Good
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 32 Fair 4 Very Poor 74 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 8 8 9
Max LVORI Late 7 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 3 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 5 Fog 7 7
Turner Stability E B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
59 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
61 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 62 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
67 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-191115-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
308 PM EDT Wed Sep 18 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 20 40 30 0
Precip Type Showers Tstms Tstms None
LAL 2 2 2 1
Min/Max Temp 66 83 65 84
Max/Min RH (%) 100 71 100 59
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var N 4
Precip Amount 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.00
Precip Duration 1 2 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 11 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 71/0900 1900 70/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3800 5300
Transport Wind (mph) N 9 NE 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 34200 63600
ADI Early 13 Gen Poor 22 Fair 20 Gen Poor 48 Gen Good
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 39 Fair 4 Very Poor 66 Good
Max LVORI Early 8 9 9 9
Max LVORI Late 9 3 9 2
Min VSBY Early 7 1 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 3 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability E B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 61 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
62 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
65 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-191115-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
308 PM EDT Wed Sep 18 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 30 40 40 0
Precip Type Showers Tstms Tstms None
LAL 2 2 2 1
Min/Max Temp 65 83 65 83
Max/Min RH (%) 100 69 100 62
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 4
Precip Amount 0.03 0.06 0.02 0.00
Precip Duration 1 2 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 11 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 74/1000 1900 70/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4000 5200
Transport Wind (mph) NE 7 NE 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 28000 62400
ADI Early 14 Gen Poor 19 Gen Poor 12 Poor 48 Gen Good
ADI Late 3 Very Poor 28 Fair 4 Very Poor 63 Good
Max LVORI Early 8 9 9 9
Max LVORI Late 9 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 2 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 4 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability E B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
63 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
63 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
67 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-191115-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
308 PM EDT Wed Sep 18 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 40 30 30 0
Precip Type Showers Tstms Tstms None
LAL 2 2 2 1
Min/Max Temp 65 82 65 84
Max/Min RH (%) 100 70 100 61
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 4
Precip Amount 0.09 0.02 0.01 0.00
Precip Duration 2 2 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 10 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 72/1000 1900 70/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3900 5000
Transport Wind (mph) N 7 NE 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 27300 50000
ADI Early 11 Poor 18 Gen Poor 21 Fair 45 Gen Good
ADI Late 3 Very Poor 31 Fair 4 Very Poor 57 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 9 9 9
Max LVORI Late 9 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 0 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 2 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability E B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
60 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
64 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$