Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
855
FNUS52 KILM 211826
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
226 PM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Northeast winds are expected to continue over the next few days
in a gradient between high pressure to our north and Hurricane
Erin moving away from the area. A cold front will approach the
area on Friday and into this weekend bringing cooler
temperatures.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-220730-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
226 PM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 30
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 20
Min/Max Temp 67 86 68 85
Max/Min RH (%) 93 62 89 61
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) N 4 NE 5 Lgt/Var NE 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var NE 4 Lgt/Var E 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 70/0600 2000 73/0800
Dispersion Poor Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4600 5100
Transport Wind (mph) NE 8 E 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 36800 71400
ADI Early 9 Poor 38 Fair 6 Very Poor 49 Gen Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 41 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 62 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 5 4
Max LVORI Late 6 3 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
61 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-220730-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
226 PM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 20
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 20
Min/Max Temp 68 84 69 84
Max/Min RH (%) 94 62 93 57
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var NE 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var NE 4 Lgt/Var E 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 70/0600 1900 73/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 5100
Transport Wind (mph) NE 8 E 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 33600 66300
ADI Early 8 Poor 35 Fair 4 Very Poor 46 Gen Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 37 Fair 5 Very Poor 63 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 5 5
Max LVORI Late 6 3 6 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Light
winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 88 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-220730-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
226 PM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 40 40 40
Chance Thunder (%) 20 40 40 40
Min/Max Temp 70 84 70 83
Max/Min RH (%) 94 67 94 67
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var NE 4 Lgt/Var E 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 4 Lgt/Var E 6
Precip Amount 0.01 0.01 0.05 0.23
Precip Duration 2 2 2 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 74/0900 2000 75/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3800 4000
Transport Wind (mph) E 10 E 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 38000 68000
ADI Early 6 Very Poor 32 Fair 6 Very Poor 47 Gen Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 34 Fair 6 Very Poor 59 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 6 5
Max LVORI Late 6 3 6 3
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability F B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
60 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
58 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-220730-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
226 PM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 40 30 30
Chance Thunder (%) 30 40 30 20
Min/Max Temp 69 83 69 82
Max/Min RH (%) 95 67 97 64
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var NE 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var NE 4 Lgt/Var E 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.06
Precip Duration 1 2 1 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 72/0900 1900 73/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3900 4000
Transport Wind (mph) E 9 E 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 35100 60000
ADI Early 6 Very Poor 29 Fair 5 Very Poor 47 Gen Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 33 Fair 5 Very Poor 64 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 6 5
Max LVORI Late 6 3 7 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability F C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
58 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH
55 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 89 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$