Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6
631
FNUS52 KILM 091945
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
245 PM EST Sat Nov 9 2024

.DISCUSSION...
Cool and dry high pressure is expected into late Sunday before
rain chances increase ahead of a cold front which will move
through Monday night. More seasonal conditions are then expected
mid to late week as high pressure returns from the north.

Fog potential for tonight is None.

NCZ105>110-101145-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
245 PM EST Sat Nov 9 2024

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            30           50
Precip Type           None         None         Showers      Showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          46           74           61           79
Max/Min RH (%)        93           58           100          72
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  NE  6 G19    NE  4        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   NE  4        SE  6        Lgt/Var      SW  4
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.11         0.12
Precip Duration                                 2            2
Precip Begin                                    7 PM         Continuing
Precip End                                      Continuing   Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1700         66/1000      1700         70/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Poor
Haines Index          4            4            3            3
DSI                                2                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    4100                      2800
Transport Wind (mph)               SE 17                     W 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 69700                     42000
ADI Early             9 Poor       54 Gen Good  8 Poor       28 Fair
ADI Late              9 Poor       61 Good      6 Very Poor  33 Fair
Max LVORI Early       4            5            6            8
Max LVORI Late        5            3            9            4
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      E            C            E            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear, colder. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 51 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
85 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-101145-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
245 PM EST Sat Nov 9 2024

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            40           50
Precip Type           None         None         Showers      Showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          47           74           62           78
Max/Min RH (%)        90           58           100          72
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  NE  4        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      SE  4        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.08         0.10
Precip Duration                                 2            2
Precip Begin                                    7 PM         Continuing
Precip End                                      Continuing   Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1700         63/1000      1700         69/0900
Dispersion            Poor                      Very Poor
Haines Index          4            4            3            3
DSI                                1                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    3700                      3100
Transport Wind (mph)               SE 16                     W 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 59200                     46500
ADI Early             7 Poor       33 Fair      5 Very Poor  29 Fair
ADI Late              9 Poor       43 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  35 Fair
Max LVORI Early       3            5            7            8
Max LVORI Late        4            3            9            3
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      F            C            F            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear, colder. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
76 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 45 percent. Light
winds.

$$

NCZ087-101145-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
245 PM EST Sat Nov 9 2024

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            50           50
Precip Type           None         None         Showers      Showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          48           72           62           77
Max/Min RH (%)        87           58           100          71
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  NE  5        NE  5        Lgt/Var      SW  4
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   NE  4        SE  5        Lgt/Var      SW  6
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.10         0.10
Precip Duration                                 2            2
Precip Begin                                    7 PM         Continuing
Precip End                                      Continuing   Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1700         61/1000      1700         69/1000
Dispersion            Fair                      Very Poor
Haines Index          4            4            3            3
DSI                                1                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    3300                      2600
Transport Wind (mph)               S 15                      W 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 49500                     36400
ADI Early             10 Poor      24 Fair      7 Poor       22 Fair
ADI Late              10 Poor      35 Fair      6 Very Poor  35 Fair
Max LVORI Early       3            4            6            8
Max LVORI Late        4            3            9            3
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            6 Rain
Turner Stability      E            C            E            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear, colder. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
74 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-101145-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
245 PM EST Sat Nov 9 2024

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            30           40
Precip Type           None         None         Showers      Showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          50           74           62           78
Max/Min RH (%)        92           61           100          73
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  NE  6 G21    E  5         Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   NE  5 G17    SE  6        Lgt/Var      SW  4
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.05         0.06
Precip Duration                                 2            2
Precip Begin                                    7 PM         Continuing
Precip End                                      Continuing   Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1700         66/1000      1700         70/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Very Poor
Haines Index          4            4            3            3
DSI                                1                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    3600                      3200
Transport Wind (mph)               SE 17                     W 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 61200                     44800
ADI Early             9 Poor       43 Gen Good  8 Poor       26 Fair
ADI Late              12 Poor      45 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  36 Fair
Max LVORI Early       4            4            8            8
Max LVORI Late        4            4            9            3
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      E            C            E            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear, cooler. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum
RH 89 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 53 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum
RH 87 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-101145-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
245 PM EST Sat Nov 9 2024

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            30           40
Precip Type           None         None         Showers      Showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          50           74           61           78
Max/Min RH (%)        89           62           100          72
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  NE  5        NE  4        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   NE  4        SE  4        Lgt/Var      W  4
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.07         0.06
Precip Duration                                 2            2
Precip Begin                                    6 PM         Continuing
Precip End                                      Continuing   Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1700         64/1100      1700         68/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Very Poor
Haines Index          4            3            3            3
DSI                                1                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    3200                      2800
Transport Wind (mph)               SE 16                     W 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 51200                     36400
ADI Early             7 Poor       26 Fair      5 Very Poor  25 Fair
ADI Late              11 Poor      37 Fair      4 Very Poor  36 Fair
Max LVORI Early       4            4            9            8
Max LVORI Late        4            4            9            3
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      E            D            F            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 40s.
Maximum RH 76 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 46 percent. Light
winds.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-101145-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
245 PM EST Sat Nov 9 2024

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            50           50
Precip Type           None         None         Showers      Showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          47           71           61           76
Max/Min RH (%)        87           61           100          71
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  NE  5        NE  4        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   NE  4        E  4         Lgt/Var      W  5
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.12         0.09
Precip Duration                                 2            2
Precip Begin                                    6 PM         Continuing
Precip End                                      Continuing   Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1700         60/1000      1600         67/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Very Poor
Haines Index          4            4            3            3
DSI                                1                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    2500                      2400
Transport Wind (mph)               SE 13                     W 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 32500                     31200
ADI Early             10 Poor      20 Gen Poor  5 Very Poor  22 Fair
ADI Late              11 Poor      24 Fair      4 Very Poor  35 Fair
Max LVORI Early       3            4            9            8
Max LVORI Late        4            3            9            3
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      E            D            E            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 76 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum
RH 90 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
51 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
   NOT USED                    0             0 TO 14759
    0 TO 17249                 1         14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$