Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
565
FNUS52 KILM 040611
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
211 AM EDT Fri Jul 4 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Despite there being a stalled cold front offshore, there will be
little change to temperatures and humidity on Friday. Rain
chances should to focus across inland areas today before a
tropical air mass approaches the coast, bringing increased shower
and thunderstorm chances over the weekend across the area.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-041915-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
211 AM EDT Fri Jul 4 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 20 60
Chance Thunder (%) 20 20 50
Max/Min Temp 92 71 87
Min/Max RH (%) 50 99 60
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var E 5 NE 6 G17
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) E 7 E 4 E 8 G18
Precip Amount 0.01 0.02 0.21
Precip Duration 0 1 4
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0900 2000 75/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4300 3800
Transport Wind (mph) E 15 E 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 64500 76000
ADI Early 66 Good 12 Poor 53 Gen Good
ADI Late 67 Good 7 Poor 60 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 5 5
Max LVORI Late 1 6 3
Min VSBY Early 3 Rain 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 80 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 72 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ096-099-041915-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
211 AM EDT Fri Jul 4 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 0 40
Chance Thunder (%) 20 0 40
Max/Min Temp 93 71 88
Min/Max RH (%) 48 100 53
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) E 5 Lgt/Var E 6
Precip Amount 0.03 0.00 0.08
Precip Duration 0 2
Precip Begin 3 PM 6 AM
Precip End 6 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0900 2100 73/0800
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 4500
Transport Wind (mph) E 15 E 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 73500 90000
ADI Early 78 Good 9 Poor 73 Good
ADI Late 86 Good 5 Very Poor 91 Good
Max LVORI Early 9 6 5
Max LVORI Late 1 8 1
Min VSBY Early 3 Rain 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Fog 6 Rain
Turner Stability A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 77 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 68 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of
thunderstorms 30 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-041915-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
211 AM EDT Fri Jul 4 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 30
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 20
Max/Min Temp 93 71 88
Min/Max RH (%) 45 99 46
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 4 E 5 NE 6
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) E 8 E 4 E 9 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0900 2100 73/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5400 5700
Transport Wind (mph) E 15 E 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 81000 114000
ADI Early 80 Good 17 Gen Poor 77 Good
ADI Late 93 Good 6 Very Poor 85 Good
Max LVORI Early 8 5 5
Max LVORI Late 1 8 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds around
10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 62 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-041915-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
211 AM EDT Fri Jul 4 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 20 60
Chance Thunder (%) 20 20 50
Max/Min Temp 91 71 86
Min/Max RH (%) 52 100 62
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var E 5 NE 8 G20
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) E 7 G17 E 4 E 10 G21
Precip Amount 0.01 0.02 0.25
Precip Duration 1 1 5
Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0900 2100 75/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4500 4300
Transport Wind (mph) E 18 E 25
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 81000 107500
ADI Early 77 Good 19 Gen Poor 68 Good
ADI Late 82 Good 9 Poor 73 Good
Max LVORI Early 9 5 5
Max LVORI Late 1 6 3
Min VSBY Early 1 Rain 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 77 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 68 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-041915-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
211 AM EDT Fri Jul 4 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 0 50
Chance Thunder (%) 20 0 50
Max/Min Temp 92 70 86
Min/Max RH (%) 47 100 56
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var E 4 NE 6
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) E 6 Lgt/Var E 9 G17
Precip Amount 0.01 0.00 0.10
Precip Duration 0 2
Precip Begin 2 PM 6 AM
Precip End 5 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/0900 2000 73/0800
Dispersion Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5200 5400
Transport Wind (mph) E 17 E 24
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 88400 129600
ADI Early 89 Good 11 Poor 92 Good
ADI Late 97 Good 7 Poor 98 Good
Max LVORI Early 9 6 5
Max LVORI Late 1 8 2
Min VSBY Early 1 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-041915-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
211 AM EDT Fri Jul 4 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 30
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 30
Max/Min Temp 92 70 88
Min/Max RH (%) 43 100 46
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var E 4 NE 6
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) E 7 Lgt/Var E 9 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/0900 2000 73/0800
Dispersion Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5700 6400
Transport Wind (mph) E 16 E 21
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 91200 134400
ADI Early 83 Good 12 Poor 87 Good
ADI Late 98 Good 6 Very Poor 95 Good
Max LVORI Early 8 5 5
Max LVORI Late 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Fog 7
Turner Stability B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...Weiner