Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
136
FNUS52 KILM 221954
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
254 PM EST Fri Nov 22 2024
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure builds over the weekend for less gusty winds and
rain-free conditions. A trend towards more seasonable
temperatures Sunday will then give way to a warmup through Tuesday
before a largely moisture-starved cold front brings temperatures
back to normal Wednesday with some slightly unsettled weather
possible thereafter.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-231200-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
254 PM EST Fri Nov 22 2024
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 37 60 34 66
Max/Min RH (%) 74 47 100 37
Wind20ft/Early (mph) W 10 G23 W 9 G20 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) W 8 G21 NW 8 G19 Lgt/Var SW 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1700 47/0900 1700 52/1000
Dispersion Good Very Poor
Haines Index 4 3 4 4
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3900 3300
Transport Wind (mph) NW 20 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 78000 46200
ADI Early 15 Gen Poor 60 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 27 Fair
ADI Late 13 Gen Poor 70 Good 5 Very Poor 46 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 2 3 4 6
Max LVORI Late 3 2 7 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability D C F B
Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 45 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
77 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the lower 60s.
Minimum RH 44 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum
RH 87 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 60 percent. East winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 94 percent. South
winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 60. Minimum RH 52 percent. West winds around 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-231200-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
254 PM EST Fri Nov 22 2024
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 37 60 35 67
Max/Min RH (%) 79 46 99 36
Wind20ft/Early (mph) W 9 G20 W 7 G17 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) W 6 NW 7 G17 Lgt/Var SW 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1700 46/0900 1700 49/0900
Dispersion Good Very Poor
Haines Index 4 3 4 4
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3800 3200
Transport Wind (mph) NW 20 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 76000 44800
ADI Early 15 Gen Poor 74 Good 5 Very Poor 29 Fair
ADI Late 13 Gen Poor 74 Good 4 Very Poor 47 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 2 4 5 8
Max LVORI Late 3 2 7 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E C F B
Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the lower 50s.
Maximum RH 83 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 73 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the lower 60s.
Minimum RH 38 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 91 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 47 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-231200-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
254 PM EST Fri Nov 22 2024
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 36 61 34 67
Max/Min RH (%) 78 44 100 38
Wind20ft/Early (mph) W 7 G19 W 7 G17 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) W 5 G17 NW 7 Lgt/Var SW 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1700 46/0900 1700 50/0900
Dispersion Fair Very Poor
Haines Index 4 3 4 4
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3600 3200
Transport Wind (mph) NW 17 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 61200 44800
ADI Early 11 Poor 60 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 29 Fair
ADI Late 9 Poor 65 Good 4 Very Poor 43 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 3 4 5 7
Max LVORI Late 3 2 7 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
82 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
44 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum
RH 90 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 51 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-231200-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
254 PM EST Fri Nov 22 2024
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 35 61 33 66
Max/Min RH (%) 83 45 100 38
Wind20ft/Early (mph) W 7 G17 W 6 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) W 5 NW 6 Lgt/Var SW 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1700 45/0900 1700 48/0900
Dispersion Fair Very Poor
Haines Index 4 3 4 4
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3700 3100
Transport Wind (mph) NW 16 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 59200 43400
ADI Early 11 Poor 57 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 29 Fair
ADI Late 8 Poor 62 Good 3 Very Poor 44 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 3 4 6 8
Max LVORI Late 4 2 9 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the lower 50s.
Maximum RH 86 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
79 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the lower 60s.
Minimum RH 39 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 92 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 49 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$