Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
585
FNUS52 KILM 070535
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
135 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Isolated showers may move onshore this morning, but overall, the
weather is expected to remain dry through tonight. A warming
trend will continue through Wednesday, before a cold front brings
cooler temperatures and chances of rain starting late Wednesday.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-071845-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
135 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 40
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 20
Max/Min Temp 84 65 85
Min/Max RH (%) 59 100 61
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SE 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.05
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/1000 1900 74/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4700 4700
Transport Wind (mph) SE 13 SW 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 61100 37600
ADI Early 53 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 25 Fair
ADI Late 63 Good 4 Very Poor 25 Fair
Max LVORI Early 8 6 9
Max LVORI Late 2 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 4 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 5 Fog 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
62 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 80 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
66 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
94 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
72 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
65 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-071845-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
135 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 50
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 20
Max/Min Temp 85 65 85
Min/Max RH (%) 53 100 58
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SE 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.07
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 8 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/1000 1900 75/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4600 4400
Transport Wind (mph) SE 12 W 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 55200 39600
ADI Early 36 Fair 5 Very Poor 23 Fair
ADI Late 60 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 30 Fair
Max LVORI Early 8 7 8
Max LVORI Late 1 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 2 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 2 Fog 6 Rain
Turner Stability B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
66 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 92 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
66 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-071845-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
135 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 30
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 84 65 85
Min/Max RH (%) 60 100 60
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SE 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.02
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 77/1000 1900 76/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4400 4500
Transport Wind (mph) SE 14 W 6
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 61600 27000
ADI Early 44 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 17 Gen Poor
ADI Late 64 Good 4 Very Poor 25 Fair
Max LVORI Early 8 8 9
Max LVORI Late 2 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 2 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 4 Fog 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
65 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 81 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
68 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
72 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 92 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
69 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
63 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-071845-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
135 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 40
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 20
Max/Min Temp 84 64 85
Min/Max RH (%) 56 100 57
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SE 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.06
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 8 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/1000 1900 74/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4400 4500
Transport Wind (mph) SE 12 W 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 52800 31500
ADI Early 34 Fair 5 Very Poor 20 Gen Poor
ADI Late 56 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 26 Fair
Max LVORI Early 7 8 8
Max LVORI Late 2 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 2 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 2 Fog 6 Rain
Turner Stability B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
58 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
62 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 90 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
60 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...MAS