Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
409
FNUS52 KILM 071945
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
345 PM EDT Sat Jun 7 2025
.DISCUSSION...
A passing disturbance will increase shower and storm activity
late this afternoon through tonight. Scattered severe weather is
possible with the main threat being damaging wind gusts. Unsettled
weather will continue through next week as a series of upper
disturbances pass overhead and surface fronts impact the area and
stall near the coast.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-081145-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
345 PM EDT Sat Jun 7 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 40 60 60 40
Chance Thunder (%) 40 50 50 40
Min/Max Temp 71 90 70 89
Max/Min RH (%) 95 51 96 57
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 G19 SW 7 SW 8 G19 SW 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 6 SW 9 G18 SW 6 SW 8 G18
Precip Amount 0.16 0.15 0.10 0.02
Precip Duration 2 1 5 2
Precip Begin 6 PM 11 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End 4 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 77/0900 1900 73/0600
Dispersion Fair Good
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4300 5000
Transport Wind (mph) W 23 SW 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 98900 85000
ADI Early 22 Fair 83 Good 29 Fair 51 Gen Good
ADI Late 10 Poor 91 Good 12 Poor 75 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 5 1 6 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability E B D B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-081145-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
345 PM EDT Sat Jun 7 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 70 70 40
Chance Thunder (%) 30 50 50 40
Min/Max Temp 71 90 69 91
Max/Min RH (%) 92 48 98 51
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 SW 8 SW 6 SW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 SW 9 G18 SW 5 SW 6
Precip Amount 0.05 0.11 0.06 0.02
Precip Duration 1 1 2 1
Precip Begin 6 PM 9 AM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End 2 AM Continuing 2 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 76/0900 2000 73/0800
Dispersion Fair Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4300 6700
Transport Wind (mph) W 24 SW 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 103200 107200
ADI Early 25 Fair 86 Good 27 Fair 47 Gen Good
ADI Late 11 Poor 94 Good 11 Poor 110 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 5 5
Max LVORI Late 5 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E C E A
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-081145-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
345 PM EDT Sat Jun 7 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 70 70 60
Chance Thunder (%) 30 50 50 50
Min/Max Temp 73 91 70 90
Max/Min RH (%) 92 50 96 56
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 G18 W 8 SW 7 SW 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 6 SW 9 SW 6 SW 7 G19
Precip Amount 0.04 0.11 0.09 0.07
Precip Duration 1 1 2 4
Precip Begin 6 PM 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End 3 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 77/0800 2000 74/0800
Dispersion Fair Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4100 5300
Transport Wind (mph) W 23 SW 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 94300 90100
ADI Early 22 Fair 84 Good 25 Fair 56 Gen Good
ADI Late 12 Poor 85 Good 13 Gen Poor 75 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 5 1 6 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability E C D B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-081145-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
345 PM EDT Sat Jun 7 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 70 70 50
Chance Thunder (%) 20 50 50 50
Min/Max Temp 71 90 69 91
Max/Min RH (%) 91 48 98 50
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 SW 8 SW 7 SW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 6 SW 10 G17 SW 5 SW 6
Precip Amount 0.04 0.07 0.05 0.07
Precip Duration 1 1 1 1
Precip Begin 6 PM 8 AM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End 6 AM Continuing 2 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 76/0800 2000 73/0800
Dispersion Fair Fair
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 7700
Transport Wind (mph) W 26 SW 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 109200 138600
ADI Early 21 Fair 79 Good 27 Fair 53 Gen Good
ADI Late 13 Gen Poor 99 Good 10 Poor 121 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 3 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 5 1 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E C E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 70. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...Weiner