Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
227
FNUS52 KILM 250800
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
300 AM EST Mon Nov 25 2024
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will shift offshore, bringing warming temperatures
early this week. A weak cold front will move through late Tuesday
and Tuesday night, followed by slightly cooler and drier high
pressure Wednesday. A second, stronger cold front will bring
unsettled weather Thursday followed by arctic high pressure for
the end of the week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-260000-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
300 AM EST Mon Nov 25 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 30
Precip Type None None Showers
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 72 50 72
Min/Max RH (%) 39 93 68
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 6 G18
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 SW 4 W 5 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.03
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 7 AM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 63/1100 1600 62/0900
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 4 4 3
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2600 2500
Transport Wind (mph) SW 13 W 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 33800 45000
ADI Early 15 Gen Poor 6 Very Poor 45 Gen Good
ADI Late 35 Fair 10 Poor 47 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 2 5 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
51 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the lower 50s.
Maximum RH 93 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 70s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 40s. Maximum RH 85 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Northwest
winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 30s.
Maximum RH 70 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum
RH 67 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
44 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-260000-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
300 AM EST Mon Nov 25 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 30
Precip Type None None Showers
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 72 51 71
Min/Max RH (%) 39 97 59
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 6
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 SW 4 NW 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.04
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 7 AM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 62/1100 1600 61/0900
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 4 4 3
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2400 2400
Transport Wind (mph) SW 14 NW 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 33600 38400
ADI Early 18 Gen Poor 7 Poor 39 Fair
ADI Late 37 Fair 12 Poor 37 Fair
Max LVORI Early 7 4 5
Max LVORI Late 2 5 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
77 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the lower 50s.
Maximum RH 89 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 70s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 40s. Maximum RH 84 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
53 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows around 30. Maximum RH
72 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum
RH 71 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
42 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-260000-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
300 AM EST Mon Nov 25 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 20
Precip Type None None Showers
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 72 51 72
Min/Max RH (%) 39 94 68
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 5 G17
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 SW 4 W 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.02
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 7 AM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 63/1100 1700 62/0900
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 4 4 3
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2800 2500
Transport Wind (mph) SW 13 W 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 36400 45000
ADI Early 18 Gen Poor 6 Very Poor 45 Gen Good
ADI Late 38 Fair 11 Poor 43 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 5
Max LVORI Late 2 5 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 70s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 40s. Maximum RH 85 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum
RH 55 percent. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 30s.
Maximum RH 72 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
71 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-260000-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
300 AM EST Mon Nov 25 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 20
Precip Type None None Showers
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 72 51 71
Min/Max RH (%) 39 97 58
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 6
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 SW 4 NW 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.03
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 7 AM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 62/1100 1700 61/0900
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 4 4 3
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2700 2700
Transport Wind (mph) SW 15 NW 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 40500 45900
ADI Early 19 Gen Poor 7 Poor 36 Fair
ADI Late 43 Gen Good 12 Poor 37 Fair
Max LVORI Early 6 5 5
Max LVORI Late 2 6 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
82 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the lower 50s.
Maximum RH 90 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 70s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 40s. Maximum RH 85 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
53 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows around 30. Maximum RH
76 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 38 percent. Light
winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum
RH 72 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation below normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...VAO