Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
058
FNUS52 KILM 160637
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
237 AM EDT Wed Sep 16 2026
.DISCUSSION...
Dry weather continues through Friday. Temperatures near seasonal
norms for mid-September will begin to gradually warm later this
week. Warm and humid conditions are expected this weekend with
increasing rain chances.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-161945-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
237 AM EDT Wed Sep 16 2026
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 87 61 89
Min/Max RH (%) 45 97 40
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) E 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/1000 2000 73/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5700 5000
Transport Wind (mph) NE 10 E 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 57000 40000
ADI Early 49 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 33 Fair
ADI Late 53 Gen Good 3 Very Poor 43 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 51 percent. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-161945-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
237 AM EDT Wed Sep 16 2026
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 87 62 90
Min/Max RH (%) 40 99 35
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/1000 1900 75/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5400 4800
Transport Wind (mph) NE 9 E 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 48600 33600
ADI Early 47 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 26 Fair
ADI Late 60 Gen Good 3 Very Poor 39 Fair
Max LVORI Early 6 4 8
Max LVORI Late 1 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 70. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-161945-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Red Hill, Loris, and Aynor
237 AM EDT Wed Sep 16 2026
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 87 62 89
Min/Max RH (%) 44 99 41
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/1000 2000 73/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5800 4700
Transport Wind (mph) NE 12 E 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 69600 37600
ADI Early 55 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 37 Fair
ADI Late 67 Good 3 Very Poor 40 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 5 7
Max LVORI Late 1 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 52 percent. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
64 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 74 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-161945-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
237 AM EDT Wed Sep 16 2026
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 87 61 90
Min/Max RH (%) 40 98 36
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/1000 1900 71/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5500 5300
Transport Wind (mph) NE 10 E 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 55000 37100
ADI Early 42 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 29 Fair
ADI Late 71 Good 3 Very Poor 40 Fair
Max LVORI Early 6 4 8
Max LVORI Late 1 7 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs around 90.
Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...21