Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
406
FNUS52 KILM 111803
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
103 PM EST Tue Nov 11 2025
...FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...
.DISCUSSION...
Breezy and dry conditions will continue amidst milder
temperatures on Wednesday ahead of a weak cold front. Behind this
front, near-normal temperatures will return for the latter half of
the week before rising above normal over the weekend. Moisture
will also increase over the weekend, keeping daytime minimum RHs
in check.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-120715-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
103 PM EST Tue Nov 11 2025
...FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 31 61 38 66
Max/Min RH (%) 61 29 95 32
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SW 10 G23 W 5 G18 NW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 G19 W 10 G23 W 4 NW 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1700 45/0900 1700 51/0900
Dispersion Fair Fair
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3000 3700
Transport Wind (mph) W 23 NW 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 69000 62900
ADI Early 6 Very Poor 60 Gen Good 8 Poor 59 Gen Good
ADI Late 10 Poor 68 Good 6 Very Poor 74 Good
Max LVORI Early 3 2 3 5
Max LVORI Late 3 2 5 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F C F B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-120715-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
103 PM EST Tue Nov 11 2025
...FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 31 62 37 67
Max/Min RH (%) 61 31 100 31
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SW 9 G23 SW 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 G18 W 9 G23 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1700 44/0900 1700 50/0900
Dispersion Poor Very Poor
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3000 3800
Transport Wind (mph) W 23 NW 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 69000 60800
ADI Early 6 Very Poor 64 Good 7 Poor 46 Gen Good
ADI Late 10 Poor 71 Good 6 Very Poor 66 Good
Max LVORI Early 3 2 3 6
Max LVORI Late 3 2 6 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F C F B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
84 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Light winds.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-120715-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
103 PM EST Tue Nov 11 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 31 62 38 66
Max/Min RH (%) 62 30 100 39
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SW 9 G21 W 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 G17 W 9 G22 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1700 47/0900 1700 51/0900
Dispersion Poor Poor
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3100 3200
Transport Wind (mph) W 23 N 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 71300 38400
ADI Early 6 Very Poor 62 Good 7 Poor 34 Fair
ADI Late 8 Poor 76 Good 6 Very Poor 44 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 3 2 3 6
Max LVORI Late 3 2 6 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 90 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-120715-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
103 PM EST Tue Nov 11 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 31 62 37 67
Max/Min RH (%) 65 31 100 33
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SW 9 G21 W 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 G18 W 10 G22 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1700 45/0900 1700 49/0900
Dispersion Poor Very Poor
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3200 3300
Transport Wind (mph) W 24 N 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 76800 39600
ADI Early 6 Very Poor 58 Gen Good 8 Poor 32 Fair
ADI Late 11 Poor 79 Good 6 Very Poor 45 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 3 2 4 7
Max LVORI Late 3 2 9 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum
RH 92 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
87 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...Weiner