Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
620
FNUS52 KILM 161813
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
213 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Cooler and drier conditions expected through the end of the work
week before warmer and moister conditions return this weekend as
high pressure shifts offshore. A cold front will move through
Sunday night with little rainfall expected. This front will bring
cooler and drier conditions again through at least Tuesday.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-170715-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
213 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 39 69 45 74
Max/Min RH (%) 86 39 84 42
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var N 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var N 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1800 54/1000 1800 59/1000
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3600 3700
Transport Wind (mph) N 15 SW 6
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 54000 22200
ADI Early 6 Very Poor 45 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 16 Gen Poor
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 65 Good 3 Very Poor 24 Fair
Max LVORI Early 3 4 3 4
Max LVORI Late 4 1 4 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 48 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum
RH 82 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 49 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-170715-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
213 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 40 69 46 75
Max/Min RH (%) 82 36 86 42
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 55/1000 1800 59/1000
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3900 3700
Transport Wind (mph) N 12 SW 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 46800 25900
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 36 Fair 3 Very Poor 16 Gen Poor
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 55 Gen Good 3 Very Poor 35 Fair
Max LVORI Early 3 4 3 5
Max LVORI Late 4 1 5 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
79 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 43 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 44 percent. Light
winds.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-170715-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
213 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 42 68 47 73
Max/Min RH (%) 82 42 89 48
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 57/1000 1900 60/1000
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3500 4100
Transport Wind (mph) N 10 SW 6
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 35000 24600
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 30 Fair 3 Very Poor 15 Gen Poor
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 45 Gen Good 2 Very Poor 28 Fair
Max LVORI Early 4 4 4 5
Max LVORI Late 4 1 5 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 49 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum
RH 83 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-170715-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
213 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 42 70 47 76
Max/Min RH (%) 87 40 91 45
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 55/1000 1800 60/1000
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3800 3900
Transport Wind (mph) N 8 SW 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 30400 27300
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 26 Fair 3 Very Poor 16 Gen Poor
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 36 Fair 3 Very Poor 37 Fair
Max LVORI Early 4 4 4 6
Max LVORI Late 5 2 5 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
55 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
78 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 43 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 46 percent. Light
winds.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...Boatman