Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
796
FNUS52 KILM 041813
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
213 PM EDT Fri Jul 4 2025
.DISCUSSION...
A developing area of low pressure off the coast will spread rain
along the coast late tonight, spreading inland Saturday. Rain
should continue Sunday as the low moves somewhat slowly and
erratically. More typical Bermuda High-controlled weather will
return next week.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-050715-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
213 PM EDT Fri Jul 4 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 50 70 80
Chance Thunder (%) 20 50 70 80
Min/Max Temp 71 86 71 86
Max/Min RH (%) 99 68 100 80
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) E 4 NE 6 E 6 G18 SE 6
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 9 G18 E 5 SE 7
Precip Amount 0.01 0.23 0.51 0.71
Precip Duration 1 2 8 12
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 75/0800 2000 76/0700
Dispersion Poor Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2700 2200
Transport Wind (mph) E 21 S 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 56700 33000
ADI Early 10 Poor 51 Gen Good 26 Fair 31 Fair
ADI Late 8 Poor 55 Gen Good 10 Poor 38 Fair
Max LVORI Early 6 5 5 6
Max LVORI Late 6 3 8 4
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 5 Rain
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 5 Rain 5 Rain
Turner Stability F C E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-050715-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
213 PM EDT Fri Jul 4 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 40 50 80
Chance Thunder (%) 0 40 50 80
Min/Max Temp 70 89 71 85
Max/Min RH (%) 100 55 100 79
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var NE 5 E 5 E 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 8 G18 NE 4 SE 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.06 0.19 0.55
Precip Duration 1 2 9
Precip Begin 10 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 74/0800 2100 75/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4300 2800
Transport Wind (mph) E 21 SE 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 90300 44800
ADI Early 9 Poor 76 Good 23 Fair 26 Fair
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 80 Good 9 Poor 44 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 6 6
Max LVORI Late 9 2 7 4
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 6 Fog 6 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability F B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 71 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-050715-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
213 PM EDT Fri Jul 4 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 10 60 60 80
Chance Thunder (%) 10 60 60 80
Min/Max Temp 71 85 72 86
Max/Min RH (%) 99 70 100 77
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) E 4 NE 8 G20 E 8 G20 E 6
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) E 4 E 10 G21 E 5 SE 6
Precip Amount 0.02 0.21 0.38 0.61
Precip Duration 0 3 9 12
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 75/0800 2100 76/0700
Dispersion Fair Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3300 2800
Transport Wind (mph) E 24 SE 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 79200 50400
ADI Early 24 Fair 67 Good 31 Fair 33 Fair
ADI Late 9 Poor 66 Good 12 Poor 51 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 5 6
Max LVORI Late 6 3 7 4
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 5 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 5 Rain
Turner Stability F C E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 71 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-050715-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
213 PM EDT Fri Jul 4 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 40 40 80
Chance Thunder (%) 0 40 40 80
Min/Max Temp 70 88 70 85
Max/Min RH (%) 100 51 100 73
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) E 4 NE 7 G17 E 6 G17 NE 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 9 G18 NE 4 E 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.07 0.15 0.40
Precip Duration 1 2 9
Precip Begin 10 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 74/0800 2100 73/0600
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5200 3500
Transport Wind (mph) E 24 E 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 124800 59500
ADI Early 12 Poor 94 Good 28 Fair 33 Fair
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 94 Good 12 Poor 56 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 6 5 5
Max LVORI Late 9 1 7 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 6 Fog 6 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability F B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$