Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
177
FNUS52 KILM 310632
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
232 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Temperatures will remain above normal through Friday.
Thunderstorm coverage will become more widespread into Friday
with the approach of a cold front that pushes through on Friday
night. Temperatures should actually end up below normal this
coming weekend.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-311945-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
232 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 60 50 90
Chance Thunder (%) 60 50 90
Max/Min Temp 92 74 93
Min/Max RH (%) 59 100 61
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SW 4 W 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 SW 4 W 4
Precip Amount 0.24 0.28 0.62
Precip Duration 3 3 5
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 82/0900 1900 80/0900
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4400 3400
Transport Wind (mph) SW 13 W 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 57200 40800
ADI Early 34 Fair 9 Poor 37 Fair
ADI Late 44 Gen Good 7 Poor 39 Fair
Max LVORI Early 7 5 6
Max LVORI Late 3 6 3
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 6 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 86 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-311945-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
232 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 60 60 80
Chance Thunder (%) 60 50 20
Max/Min Temp 93 75 93
Min/Max RH (%) 58 100 60
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.18 0.32 0.39
Precip Duration 3 2 5
Precip Begin 7 AM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 4 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 81/0900 1900 80/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4600 3900
Transport Wind (mph) SW 12 NW 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 55200 35100
ADI Early 28 Fair 7 Poor 31 Fair
ADI Late 55 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 36 Fair
Max LVORI Early 8 5 8
Max LVORI Late 2 6 3
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 86 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-311945-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
232 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 50 50 80
Chance Thunder (%) 50 50 80
Max/Min Temp 94 75 94
Min/Max RH (%) 54 100 57
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SW 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 Lgt/Var SW 4
Precip Amount 0.14 0.31 0.56
Precip Duration 2 2 5
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 82/0900 1900 82/0900
Dispersion Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5000 4700
Transport Wind (mph) SW 13 W 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 65000 61100
ADI Early 32 Fair 9 Poor 50 Gen Good
ADI Late 55 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 55 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 4 7
Max LVORI Late 2 6 3
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 78 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-311945-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
232 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 60 50 70
Chance Thunder (%) 60 50 70
Max/Min Temp 93 74 94
Min/Max RH (%) 52 99 56
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.12 0.22 0.41
Precip Duration 2 1 3
Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing 2 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 81/0900 1900 81/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5200 5100
Transport Wind (mph) SW 12 W 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 62400 51000
ADI Early 36 Fair 7 Poor 35 Fair
ADI Late 65 Good 5 Very Poor 50 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 5 8
Max LVORI Late 1 7 2
Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 74 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$