Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
079
FNUS52 KILM 051742
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
142 PM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025
.DISCUSSION...
A few isolated showers may move onshore this afternoon and tonight,
but overall, the weather is expected to remain dry into the new
week. A warming trend will continue through midweek, then a cold
front will bring cooler temperatures for the latter half of the
week.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-060645-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
142 PM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 63 83 63 84
Max/Min RH (%) 98 53 100 61
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) E 5 NE 4 E 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 7 Lgt/Var SE 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 73/1000 1900 70/0900
Dispersion Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4600 4100
Transport Wind (mph) E 14 SE 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 64400 53300
ADI Early 10 Poor 53 Gen Good 7 Poor 47 Gen Good
ADI Late 7 Poor 57 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 53 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 6 8
Max LVORI Late 6 1 9 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
66 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 86 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
72 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
95 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
67 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 91 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
64 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-060645-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
142 PM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 62 84 63 85
Max/Min RH (%) 99 47 100 53
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 5 Lgt/Var SE 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 72/1000 1900 69/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5300 4400
Transport Wind (mph) E 12 SE 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 63600 44000
ADI Early 8 Poor 42 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 30 Fair
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 66 Good 5 Very Poor 53 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 6 8
Max LVORI Late 8 1 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 60. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum
RH 57 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 82 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
66 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
61 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 91 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-060645-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
142 PM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 66 83 65 84
Max/Min RH (%) 98 54 100 61
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) E 5 G18 NE 4 E 5 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 8 G17 Lgt/Var E 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 74/1000 1900 71/0900
Dispersion Fair Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4800 4500
Transport Wind (mph) E 16 SE 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 76800 58500
ADI Early 18 Gen Poor 47 Gen Good 10 Poor 43 Gen Good
ADI Late 8 Poor 63 Good 5 Very Poor 59 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 4 6 6 8
Max LVORI Late 6 2 9 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Cooler. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum RH 71 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 87 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
67 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 93 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
64 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-060645-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
142 PM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 63 84 63 84
Max/Min RH (%) 98 48 100 53
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) E 4 NE 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 6 Lgt/Var SE 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 72/1000 1900 69/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5000 4800
Transport Wind (mph) E 14 SE 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 70000 48000
ADI Early 9 Poor 42 Gen Good 7 Poor 36 Fair
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 67 Good 5 Very Poor 59 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 6 8
Max LVORI Late 7 1 9 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Cooler. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum RH 60 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
66 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
56 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...Weiner