Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
411
FNUS52 KILM 171801
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
201 PM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
.DISCUSSION...
A weak ridge of high pressure over the inland Carolinas will shift
towards the coast as another area of high pressure builds down
from the north behind a weak cold front. Tropical Cyclone Erin
should remain offshore as it pushes northward between Bermuda and
the U.S. East Coast during the midweek period. A cold front late
this week should bring a return of higher rain chances.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-180715-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
201 PM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 40
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 40
Min/Max Temp 70 95 71 90
Max/Min RH (%) 94 47 96 61
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 8 AM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 82/1000 1900 77/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5900 4900
Transport Wind (mph) E 7 NE 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 41300 78400
ADI Early 4 Very Poor 23 Fair 5 Very Poor 64 Good
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 42 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 77 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 5 5
Max LVORI Late 6 2 6 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 91 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
62 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 89 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 74 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ096-099-180715-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
201 PM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 30
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 30
Min/Max Temp 70 95 72 90
Max/Min RH (%) 91 50 96 59
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 82/1000 1900 76/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5500 4900
Transport Wind (mph) NE 7 NE 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 38500 73500
ADI Early 4 Very Poor 25 Fair 4 Very Poor 57 Gen Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 43 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 76 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 6 5
Max LVORI Late 5 2 7 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
63 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 92 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
61 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
91 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 74 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Light
winds.
$$
NCZ087-180715-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
201 PM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 20 30
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 20 30
Min/Max Temp 72 94 72 89
Max/Min RH (%) 87 50 97 58
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.03
Precip Duration 0 1
Precip Begin 6 PM 2 PM
Precip End 8 PM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 82/1000 1900 76/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5600 4400
Transport Wind (mph) N 7 NE 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 39200 61600
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 22 Fair 6 Very Poor 51 Gen Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 45 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 63 Good
Max LVORI Early 3 5 6 5
Max LVORI Late 4 2 7 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 91 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
60 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 90 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-180715-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
201 PM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 30
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 30
Min/Max Temp 69 94 72 90
Max/Min RH (%) 92 47 95 60
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 82/1000 1900 78/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5800 4900
Transport Wind (mph) SE 7 NE 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 40600 73500
ADI Early 4 Very Poor 23 Fair 5 Very Poor 61 Good
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 39 Fair 4 Very Poor 74 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 5 5
Max LVORI Late 6 2 7 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
65 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 93 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 77 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-180715-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
201 PM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 30
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 30
Min/Max Temp 70 94 72 89
Max/Min RH (%) 94 47 96 57
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 82/1000 1900 77/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5800 4900
Transport Wind (mph) NE 6 NE 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 34800 68600
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 25 Fair 5 Very Poor 56 Gen Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 39 Fair 4 Very Poor 72 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 5 6
Max LVORI Late 6 1 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
60 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 93 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 70. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Light
winds.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-180715-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
201 PM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 20 30
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 20 30
Min/Max Temp 71 94 72 88
Max/Min RH (%) 92 50 99 60
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.04
Precip Duration 0 1
Precip Begin 6 PM 2 PM
Precip End 8 PM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 82/1000 1900 77/1000
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5800 4300
Transport Wind (mph) N 6 NE 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 34800 55900
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 22 Fair 5 Very Poor 47 Gen Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 39 Fair 4 Very Poor 59 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 3 5 6 6
Max LVORI Late 6 2 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
59 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 93 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 70. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 74 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...RGZ