Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
840
FNUS52 KILM 121806
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
206 PM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Temperatures will vary little over the next several days but rain
chances should be on the rise next week.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-130715-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
206 PM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 30 30 50
Chance Thunder (%) 0 30 30 50
Min/Max Temp 72 93 73 91
Max/Min RH (%) 98 55 100 64
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SE 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.07 0.03 0.05
Precip Duration 1 0 1
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 8 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 81/0900 2000 80/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 3700
Transport Wind (mph) SE 7 SE 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 34300 33300
ADI Early 7 Poor 20 Gen Poor 5 Very Poor 33 Fair
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 29 Fair 5 Very Poor 34 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 6 6 8
Max LVORI Late 7 2 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum
RH 93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-130715-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
206 PM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 40 40 60
Chance Thunder (%) 20 40 40 60
Min/Max Temp 73 94 73 92
Max/Min RH (%) 96 53 100 62
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.01 0.12 0.06 0.09
Precip Duration 0 1 1 4
Precip Begin 6 PM 2 PM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End 8 PM Continuing 2 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 79/0900 1900 79/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5500 4300
Transport Wind (mph) N 6 S 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 33000 30100
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 18 Gen Poor 6 Very Poor 23 Fair
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 37 Fair 5 Very Poor 30 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 6 6 8
Max LVORI Late 6 2 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-130715-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
206 PM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 40 30 50
Chance Thunder (%) 20 40 30 50
Min/Max Temp 73 93 73 92
Max/Min RH (%) 98 53 100 63
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SE 4
Precip Amount 0.04 0.10 0.05 0.04
Precip Duration 1 1 0 1
Precip Begin 6 PM 2 PM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End 11 PM Continuing 8 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 80/0900 2000 80/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5200 3000
Transport Wind (mph) NE 7 SE 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 36400 24000
ADI Early 7 Poor 19 Gen Poor 6 Very Poor 31 Fair
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 33 Fair 4 Very Poor 30 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 6 6 9
Max LVORI Late 7 2 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-130715-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
206 PM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 40 40 60
Chance Thunder (%) 20 40 40 60
Min/Max Temp 72 94 73 92
Max/Min RH (%) 99 48 100 58
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.03 0.09 0.06 0.07
Precip Duration 1 1 1 4
Precip Begin 6 PM 2 PM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End 9 PM Continuing 2 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 79/0900 2000 79/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5500 4400
Transport Wind (mph) N 6 SE 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 33000 30800
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 21 Fair 5 Very Poor 20 Gen Poor
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 38 Fair 4 Very Poor 28 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 7 6 8
Max LVORI Late 7 2 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$