Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
655
FNUS52 KILM 050559
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
159 AM EDT Sat Jul 5 2025
.DISCUSSION...
A developing area of low pressure off the coast will spread rain
across the area today, with heavier rain moving onshore tonight.
Rain should continue Sunday as the low moves somewhat slowly and
erratically. More typical Bermuda High controlled weather will
return next week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-051900-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
159 AM EDT Sat Jul 5 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 60 70 90
Chance Thunder (%) 60 70 70
Max/Min Temp 85 71 86
Min/Max RH (%) 73 100 74
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 7 G18 E 7 G19 SE 7 G27
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) E 9 G20 E 5 SE 12 G35
Precip Amount 0.27 1.13 0.85
Precip Duration 4 8 12
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/0800 2100 76/0700
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3600 2500
Transport Wind (mph) E 23 S 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 82800 45000
ADI Early 59 Gen Good 26 Fair 42 Gen Good
ADI Late 66 Good 11 Poor 44 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 6
Max LVORI Late 3 8 4
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 4 Rain 2 Rain
Min VSBY Late 5 Rain 2 Rain 4 Rain
Turner Stability C E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southeast winds around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely and a chance of
showers. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-051900-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
159 AM EDT Sat Jul 5 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 50 50 90
Chance Thunder (%) 50 50 70
Max/Min Temp 88 72 85
Min/Max RH (%) 56 99 74
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 6 G17 E 5 G17 E 5 G18
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) E 8 G18 NE 4 E 11 G29
Precip Amount 0.10 0.77 1.48
Precip Duration 2 2 10
Precip Begin 7 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/0800 2100 74/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4300 1900
Transport Wind (mph) E 22 SE 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 94600 32300
ADI Early 83 Good 27 Fair 40 Fair
ADI Late 82 Good 12 Poor 37 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 5 5
Max LVORI Late 2 7 4
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 2 Rain
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 2 Rain 4 Rain
Turner Stability C E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
East winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-051900-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
159 AM EDT Sat Jul 5 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 60 70 80
Chance Thunder (%) 60 70 70
Max/Min Temp 85 72 85
Min/Max RH (%) 72 100 73
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 9 G23 NE 8 G21 E 14 G38
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) E 11 G23 NE 6 G34 SE 11 G32
Precip Amount 0.25 1.75 1.36
Precip Duration 3 7 12
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/0800 2100 77/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3700 2600
Transport Wind (mph) E 26 S 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 96200 52000
ADI Early 75 Good 34 Fair 37 Fair
ADI Late 73 Good 14 Gen Poor 43 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 5
Max LVORI Late 3 6 4
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 4 Rain 2 Rain
Min VSBY Late 5 Rain 2 Rain 4 Rain
Turner Stability D E D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
East winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 66 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-051900-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
159 AM EDT Sat Jul 5 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 40 50 80
Chance Thunder (%) 40 50 70
Max/Min Temp 88 71 85
Min/Max RH (%) 51 100 72
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 7 G18 NE 6 G18 NE 8 G22
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 9 G20 NE 4 E 7 G22
Precip Amount 0.08 0.76 0.98
Precip Duration 1 2 9
Precip Begin 9 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/0800 2100 72/0600
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4600 2200
Transport Wind (mph) NE 24 E 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 110400 39600
ADI Early 100 Good 29 Fair 44 Gen Good
ADI Late 99 Good 14 Gen Poor 42 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 5
Max LVORI Late 2 6 3
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 4 Rain
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 5 Rain 4 Rain
Turner Stability C E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...VAO