Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
768
FNUS52 KILM 211838
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
238 PM EDT Tue Jul 21 2026
.DISCUSSION...
Above-normal heat and humidity continue through Wednesday with
isolated showers and storms each day. A strong cold front will
approach mid to late week with scattered to numerous showers and
storms expected to arrive on Thursday or Thursday night and linger
into the weekend as the front stalls. Ahead of this front, gusty
southwest winds will occur on Tuesday and Wednesday.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-220745-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
238 PM EDT Tue Jul 21 2026
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 20 70
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 20 50
Min/Max Temp 78 95 76 92
Max/Min RH (%) 86 53 93 61
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 12 G25 SW 11 G23 S 11 G23 SW 8 G18
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 11 G25 SW 13 G24 SW 9 G21 SW 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.29
Precip Duration 0 6
Precip Begin 2 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 81/0600 2100 80/0600
Dispersion Excellent Excellent
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5000 3600
Transport Wind (mph) SW 24 SW 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 120000 54000
ADI Early 38 Fair 83 Good 32 Fair 46 Gen Good
ADI Late 20 Gen Poor 91 Good 14 Gen Poor 43 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 3 4 4 5
Max LVORI Late 3 1 4 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability D C D C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
91 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-220745-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
238 PM EDT Tue Jul 21 2026
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 40 80
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 40 50
Min/Max Temp 77 96 74 92
Max/Min RH (%) 87 46 96 64
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 9 G20 SW 9 G22 S 9 G21 SW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 9 G20 SW 10 G24 S 6 SW 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.42
Precip Duration 1 6
Precip Begin 8 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 79/0600 2100 77/0600
Dispersion Excellent Fair
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6900 4100
Transport Wind (mph) SW 22 SW 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 151800 49200
ADI Early 29 Fair 97 Good 29 Fair 34 Fair
ADI Late 20 Gen Poor 108 Very Good12 Poor 47 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 3 4 4 6
Max LVORI Late 4 1 5 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability D C E C
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present Through Tonight.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum RH 78 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 82 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-220745-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Red Hill, Loris, and Aynor
238 PM EDT Tue Jul 21 2026
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 40
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 40
Min/Max Temp 79 96 77 94
Max/Min RH (%) 86 48 90 53
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 10 G24 SW 9 G20 S 10 G22 SW 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 9 G23 SW 12 G23 S 7 G19 SW 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 7 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 81/0600 2100 80/0600
Dispersion Excellent Good
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6400 5900
Transport Wind (mph) SW 21 SW 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 134400 76700
ADI Early 32 Fair 80 Good 29 Fair 59 Gen Good
ADI Late 18 Gen Poor 85 Good 11 Poor 60 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 3 4 4 5
Max LVORI Late 4 1 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability D C E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely and a chance of
showers. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 66 percent. West winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-220745-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
238 PM EDT Tue Jul 21 2026
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 30 50
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 20 50
Min/Max Temp 77 95 74 93
Max/Min RH (%) 86 44 95 50
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 9 G19 SW 8 G20 S 8 G19 SW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 8 G18 SW 10 G22 S 5 SW 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.19
Precip Duration 1 2
Precip Begin 8 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 80/0800 2100 78/0600
Dispersion Good Fair
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7100 6600
Transport Wind (mph) SW 21 SW 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 149100 66000
ADI Early 29 Fair 95 Good 27 Fair 51 Gen Good
ADI Late 19 Gen Poor 108 Very Good11 Poor 85 Good
Max LVORI Early 3 4 3 5
Max LVORI Late 4 1 5 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability D C E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 76 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$