Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
517
FNUS52 KILM 241847
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
247 PM EDT Sat May 24 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Warm and unsettled weather returns late Sunday through mid-week
as a series of disturbances move along a stalled front that will
slowly lift north eventually crossing the area. A cold front will
cross the area Thu night into Fri.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-251100-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
247 PM EDT Sat May 24 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 30 70 60
Chance Thunder (%) 0 30 50 50
Min/Max Temp 58 80 63 76
Max/Min RH (%) 82 51 100 72
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.09 0.26 0.15
Precip Duration 1 5 3
Precip Begin 9 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 71/1000 2000 67/0600
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3500 3400
Transport Wind (mph) S 12 NE 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 42000 54400
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 25 Fair 9 Poor 42 Gen Good
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 38 Fair 10 Poor 53 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 3 4 6 8
Max LVORI Late 4 2 8 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 7 5 Rain
Turner Stability F B E C
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
90 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Light
winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Light winds.
$$
NCZ096-099-251100-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
247 PM EDT Sat May 24 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 40 70 60
Chance Thunder (%) 0 40 50 50
Min/Max Temp 59 81 62 75
Max/Min RH (%) 83 52 100 68
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.09 0.19 0.08
Precip Duration 1 5 3
Precip Begin 9 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 70/1000 2000 65/0600
Dispersion Very Poor Poor
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3300 3300
Transport Wind (mph) S 12 NE 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 39600 52800
ADI Early 6 Very Poor 19 Gen Poor 9 Poor 38 Fair
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 39 Fair 7 Poor 54 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 3 4 8 7
Max LVORI Late 4 2 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 7 5 Rain
Turner Stability F B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Light
winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Light
winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Light winds.
$$
NCZ087-251100-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
247 PM EDT Sat May 24 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 40 70 60
Chance Thunder (%) 0 40 50 20
Min/Max Temp 59 80 62 73
Max/Min RH (%) 78 53 100 66
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.08 0.18 0.05
Precip Duration 1 6 3
Precip Begin 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 68/1000 2000 64/0600
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3000 3300
Transport Wind (mph) S 10 NE 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 30000 52800
ADI Early 6 Very Poor 17 Gen Poor 8 Poor 44 Gen Good
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 35 Fair 8 Poor 48 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 3 4 6 8
Max LVORI Late 3 2 8 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 7 5 Rain
Turner Stability F B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Light
winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Light winds.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-251100-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
247 PM EDT Sat May 24 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 50 50 60
Chance Thunder (%) 0 50 50 50
Min/Max Temp 60 82 64 79
Max/Min RH (%) 91 61 100 73
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.37 0.29 0.12
Precip Duration 2 2 6
Precip Begin 7 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 72/1000 2000 69/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3600 3400
Transport Wind (mph) S 14 NE 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 50400 51000
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 21 Fair 11 Poor 35 Fair
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 45 Gen Good 9 Poor 48 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 3 5 7 8
Max LVORI Late 6 3 8 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability F C E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Light
winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Light
winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Light
winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Light winds.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-251100-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
247 PM EDT Sat May 24 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 60 60 50
Chance Thunder (%) 0 50 50 20
Min/Max Temp 61 82 64 78
Max/Min RH (%) 90 61 100 69
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.49 0.33 0.07
Precip Duration 3 3 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 71/1000 2000 68/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3600 3400
Transport Wind (mph) S 12 NE 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 43200 51000
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 19 Gen Poor 8 Poor 34 Fair
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 47 Gen Good 8 Poor 50 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 3 5 8 8
Max LVORI Late 5 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 5 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 5 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability F C E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Light
winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Light
winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Light winds.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-251100-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
247 PM EDT Sat May 24 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 50 60 50
Chance Thunder (%) 0 50 50 20
Min/Max Temp 60 79 63 75
Max/Min RH (%) 81 59 100 68
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.14 0.21 0.04
Precip Duration 2 3 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 69/1000 2000 65/0600
Dispersion Very Poor Poor
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3300 3300
Transport Wind (mph) S 14 NE 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 46200 52800
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 15 Gen Poor 8 Poor 39 Fair
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 42 Gen Good 7 Poor 53 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 3 4 7 8
Max LVORI Late 4 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability F C E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Light
winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Light
winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Light winds.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...CRM