Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
167
FNUS52 KILM 242002
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
302 PM EST Sun Nov 24 2024
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will shift offshore bringing warming temperatures
early this week. A mainly dry cold front will move through late
Tuesday and Tuesday night followed by cooler and drier high
pressure Wednesday. A second cold front will bring unsettled
weather Thursday followed by cooler and drier weather for late
week.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-251215-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
302 PM EST Sun Nov 24 2024
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 20
Precip Type None None None Showers
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 40 72 51 73
Max/Min RH (%) 96 41 89 62
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 4 SW 6
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 4 SW 4 W 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 7 AM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1700 63/1100 1700 58/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
Haines Index 4 4 4 3
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2500 3500
Transport Wind (mph) W 13 W 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 32500 63000
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 20 Gen Poor 6 Very Poor 45 Gen Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 33 Fair 10 Poor 46 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 4 4
Max LVORI Late 6 2 5 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B E C
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
53 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 40s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Northwest
winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 30s.
Maximum RH 75 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum
RH 74 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
43 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-251215-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
302 PM EST Sun Nov 24 2024
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 20
Precip Type None None None Showers
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 40 71 51 72
Max/Min RH (%) 98 40 93 56
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 6
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 4 SW 4 W 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 7 AM
Precip End 1 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1700 62/1100 1600 57/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4 3
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2300 3000
Transport Wind (mph) SW 14 W 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 32200 51000
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 19 Gen Poor 7 Poor 42 Gen Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 38 Fair 11 Poor 42 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 4 5
Max LVORI Late 6 2 5 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
South winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 40s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 30s.
Maximum RH 77 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. Maximum RH
77 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-251215-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
302 PM EST Sun Nov 24 2024
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 20
Precip Type None None None Showers
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 40 71 51 72
Max/Min RH (%) 97 41 91 63
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 4 SW 4 W 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 7 AM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1700 63/1100 1700 59/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4 3
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2600 3400
Transport Wind (mph) SW 14 W 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 36400 61200
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 22 Fair 6 Very Poor 55 Gen Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 38 Fair 10 Poor 59 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 6 2 5 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 70s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 40s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum
RH 57 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 30s.
Maximum RH 78 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
76 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
43 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-251215-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
302 PM EST Sun Nov 24 2024
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 20
Precip Type None None None Showers
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 39 71 50 72
Max/Min RH (%) 98 42 95 56
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 5 SW 4 W 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 7 AM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1700 62/1100 1700 58/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4 3
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2500 3100
Transport Wind (mph) SW 15 W 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 37500 52700
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 20 Gen Poor 7 Poor 43 Gen Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 41 Gen Good 11 Poor 42 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 5 5
Max LVORI Late 6 2 5 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 40s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows around 30. Maximum RH
81 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 41 percent. Light
winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum
RH 79 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation below normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$