Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
816
FNUS52 KILM 161829
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
229 PM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026
.DISCUSSION...
Heat and humidity will persist through much of the upcoming week
with rain chances continuing each day. However, the hit and miss
nature of the showers and storms may not provide widespread
drought relief.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-170730-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
229 PM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type Tstms None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 50 0 20 30
Chance Thunder (%) 50 0 20 30
Min/Max Temp 74 97 76 98
Max/Min RH (%) 100 47 91 46
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.05 0.00 0.02 0.03
Precip Duration 1 0 1
Precip Begin 6 PM 6 PM 2 PM
Precip End 10 PM 9 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 78/0800 2000 80/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5900 6200
Transport Wind (mph) W 13 W 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 76700 55800
ADI Early 8 Poor 39 Fair 8 Poor 37 Fair
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 94 Good 4 Very Poor 63 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 8 5 6
Max LVORI Late 7 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-170730-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
229 PM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Tstms None None None
Chance Precip (%) 50 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 50 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 75 97 76 97
Max/Min RH (%) 100 45 90 42
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var W 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 10 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 77/0800 2000 78/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6200 6300
Transport Wind (mph) W 12 W 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 74400 56700
ADI Early 8 Poor 43 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 40 Fair
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 91 Good 4 Very Poor 70 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 7 4 5
Max LVORI Late 8 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH
47 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Light winds.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-170730-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Red Hill, Loris, and Aynor
229 PM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Tstms None None None
Chance Precip (%) 40 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 40 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 76 99 76 99
Max/Min RH (%) 100 43 89 44
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 10 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 79/0800 2000 80/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6200 6400
Transport Wind (mph) W 9 W 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 55800 57600
ADI Early 8 Poor 36 Fair 6 Very Poor 43 Gen Good
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 82 Good 4 Very Poor 68 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 8 4 5
Max LVORI Late 9 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-170730-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
229 PM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Tstms None None None
Chance Precip (%) 50 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 50 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 75 98 76 99
Max/Min RH (%) 100 42 87 42
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var W 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 10 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 77/0800 2000 78/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6300 6300
Transport Wind (mph) W 9 NW 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 56700 56700
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 41 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 39 Fair
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 79 Good 3 Very Poor 72 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 8 3 5
Max LVORI Late 8 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Light winds.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$