Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
476
FNUS52 KILM 070705
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
Issued by National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
303 AM EDT Wed May 7 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Moisture slowly returns through the end of the week with the
stalled front moving back into the region, increasing shower and
thunderstorm chances.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-072315-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
305 AM EDT Wed May 7 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Showers Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 30
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 30
Max/Min Temp 85 62 83
Min/Max RH (%) 38 91 55
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) W 4 Lgt/Var SW 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 0 2
Precip Begin 3 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/1000 1900 70/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7700 4600
Transport Wind (mph) W 10 SW 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 77000 55200
ADI Early 47 Gen Good 8 Poor 36 Fair
ADI Late 75 Good 4 Very Poor 46 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 72 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 76 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance
of precipitation 60 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 79 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-072315-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
305 AM EDT Wed May 7 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Showers Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 30
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 30
Max/Min Temp 84 61 84
Min/Max RH (%) 37 92 52
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 0 2
Precip Begin 3 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/1000 1900 69/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6900 4700
Transport Wind (mph) W 10 SW 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 69000 56400
ADI Early 40 Fair 6 Very Poor 32 Fair
ADI Late 83 Good 4 Very Poor 57 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Light
winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 72 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-072315-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
305 AM EDT Wed May 7 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Showers Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 40
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 40
Max/Min Temp 83 61 83
Min/Max RH (%) 41 97 59
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.02
Precip Duration 1 2
Precip Begin 6 PM 8 AM
Precip End 11 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/1000 1900 71/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6500 4400
Transport Wind (mph) W 10 SW 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 65000 52800
ADI Early 32 Fair 5 Very Poor 27 Fair
ADI Late 64 Good 4 Very Poor 45 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 7 5 6
Max LVORI Late 2 6 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 77 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 79 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance
of precipitation 60 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 78 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-072315-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
305 AM EDT Wed May 7 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Showers Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 50
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 50
Max/Min Temp 81 60 85
Min/Max RH (%) 42 97 55
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.02
Precip Duration 1 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/1100 1900 72/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5400 4500
Transport Wind (mph) W 8 W 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 43200 54000
ADI Early 33 Fair 4 Very Poor 27 Fair
ADI Late 60 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 52 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Cooler. Highs in
the lower 70s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of showers
70 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Light
winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 75 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$