Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
905
FNUS52 KILM 091802
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
202 PM EDT Sat Aug 9 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Showers increase on Sunday as a coastal trough moves inland.
Showers and unsettled weather continue through Monday. More
typical summertime weather should return into early next week.
Temperatures below to near normal will warmup into next week.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-100715-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
202 PM EDT Sat Aug 9 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 70 60 70
Chance Thunder (%) 0 20 50 70
Min/Max Temp 70 82 71 82
Max/Min RH (%) 99 81 99 79
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) E 4 NE 6 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 5 E 6 Lgt/Var SE 4
Precip Amount 0.08 0.40 0.23 0.74
Precip Duration 1 6 3 8
Precip Begin 8 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 74/0800 1900 79/1100
Dispersion Fair Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2500 1600
Transport Wind (mph) SE 13 SE 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 32500 19200
ADI Early 8 Poor 25 Fair 8 Poor 13 Gen Poor
ADI Late 9 Poor 34 Fair 4 Very Poor 23 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 6 6 7
Max LVORI Late 6 4 9 4
Min VSBY Early 7 4 Rain 4 Rain
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 3 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability E C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 78 percent. Light
winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 70 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-100715-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
202 PM EDT Sat Aug 9 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 60 50 70
Chance Thunder (%) 0 20 50 70
Min/Max Temp 70 84 71 82
Max/Min RH (%) 99 74 99 77
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var NE 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 4 E 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.01 0.29 0.20 0.66
Precip Duration 0 4 2 8
Precip Begin 2 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 72/0800 1900 76/1000
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2600 2300
Transport Wind (mph) E 13 SE 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 33800 29900
ADI Early 8 Poor 33 Fair 8 Poor 18 Gen Poor
ADI Late 8 Poor 35 Fair 5 Very Poor 29 Fair
Max LVORI Early 6 6 9 7
Max LVORI Late 6 4 9 4
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 4 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 3 Rain 7
Turner Stability E C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 69 percent. Light
winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of thunderstorms
40 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 65 percent. Light
winds.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-100715-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
202 PM EDT Sat Aug 9 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 50 70 60 70
Chance Thunder (%) 0 20 50 70
Min/Max Temp 71 80 72 82
Max/Min RH (%) 100 86 99 80
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) E 4 E 6 E 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) E 5 E 6 Lgt/Var SE 4
Precip Amount 0.41 0.92 0.31 0.66
Precip Duration 2 9 3 8
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 74/0800 1900 80/1200
Dispersion Fair Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2000 1900
Transport Wind (mph) SE 15 SE 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 30000 26600
ADI Early 8 Poor 29 Fair 10 Poor 11 Poor
ADI Late 8 Poor 35 Fair 5 Very Poor 31 Fair
Max LVORI Early 7 8 7 7
Max LVORI Late 7 4 9 4
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 3 Rain 3 Rain
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 3 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability E C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 79 percent. Light
winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 73 percent. Light
winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 68 percent. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Light winds.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-100715-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
202 PM EDT Sat Aug 9 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 70 50 70
Chance Thunder (%) 0 20 50 70
Min/Max Temp 70 80 70 81
Max/Min RH (%) 100 81 100 80
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var NE 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 4 E 6 Lgt/Var E 4
Precip Amount 0.15 0.45 0.22 0.59
Precip Duration 2 5 2 8
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 72/0800 1900 76/1000
Dispersion Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2500 2500
Transport Wind (mph) E 15 SE 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 37500 32500
ADI Early 9 Poor 35 Fair 11 Poor 13 Gen Poor
ADI Late 8 Poor 37 Fair 5 Very Poor 33 Fair
Max LVORI Early 7 8 9 7
Max LVORI Late 8 4 9 4
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 5 Rain 4 Rain
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 3 Rain 7
Turner Stability E C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 78 percent. Light
winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 70 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Light winds.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...21