Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
959
FNUS52 KILM 201248
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
848 AM EDT Sun Apr 20 2025
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure offshore continues a warming trend today.
Unseasonably warm temperatures will continue into next week. Rain
chances increase for the middle of next week as a front slowly
approaches and then potentially stalls across the region.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-210500-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
848 AM EDT Sun Apr 20 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 86 58 82
Min/Max RH (%) 44 99 46
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 4 S 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 G17 Lgt/Var S 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 69/0900 2000 68/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5400 5100
Transport Wind (mph) SW 10 SW 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 54000 76500
ADI Early 51 Gen Good 8 Poor 54 Gen Good
ADI Late 46 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 73 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 7
Max LVORI Late 1 8 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 5 Fog
Min VSBY Late 7 4 Fog 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs around
80. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
62 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-210500-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
848 AM EDT Sun Apr 20 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 87 58 85
Min/Max RH (%) 42 100 41
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 69/0900 2000 66/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5900 5000
Transport Wind (mph) S 9 S 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 53100 80000
ADI Early 47 Gen Good 7 Poor 56 Gen Good
ADI Late 55 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 80 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 7
Max LVORI Late 1 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 5 Fog
Min VSBY Late 7 4 Fog 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
43 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Light
winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-210500-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
848 AM EDT Sun Apr 20 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 85 58 83
Min/Max RH (%) 44 100 47
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 G17 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) S 5 G18 Lgt/Var S 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 68/0900 2000 68/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5200 4900
Transport Wind (mph) S 10 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 52000 68600
ADI Early 50 Gen Good 7 Poor 54 Gen Good
ADI Late 46 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 67 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 8
Max LVORI Late 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Fog
Min VSBY Late 7 5 Fog 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Light
winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-210500-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
848 AM EDT Sun Apr 20 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 86 57 85
Min/Max RH (%) 40 100 40
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 66/0900 2000 66/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5600 5200
Transport Wind (mph) S 9 SW 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 50400 78000
ADI Early 46 Gen Good 7 Poor 61 Good
ADI Late 62 Good 7 Poor 81 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 8
Max LVORI Late 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Fog 7
Turner Stability A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
40 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...21