Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
937
FNUS52 KILM 210558
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
158 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Northeast winds are expected to continue over the next few days
in a gradient between high pressure to our north and Hurricane
Erin moving away from the area. A cold front will approach the
area on Friday and into this weekend bringing cooler
temperatures.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-211900-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
158 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 88 68 87
Min/Max RH (%) 59 93 62
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) N 9 G20 N 6 NE 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) N 10 G20 NE 4 NE 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/0600 2000 71/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 4800
Transport Wind (mph) N 16 NE 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 67200 38400
ADI Early 52 Gen Good 18 Gen Poor 35 Fair
ADI Late 56 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 40 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 2 5 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
64 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-211900-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
158 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 87 68 86
Min/Max RH (%) 59 94 60
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) N 6 G17 N 5 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) N 8 G17 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/0600 1900 70/0600
Dispersion Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 4700
Transport Wind (mph) N 15 NE 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 63000 37600
ADI Early 51 Gen Good 15 Gen Poor 31 Fair
ADI Late 60 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 37 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Light
winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Light winds.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-211900-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
158 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 30 30
Chance Thunder (%) 0 20 20
Max/Min Temp 90 70 86
Min/Max RH (%) 53 94 66
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NW 6 NE 4 NE 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) N 8 Lgt/Var E 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.02
Precip Duration 1 2
Precip Begin 8 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0900 2000 74/0800
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 4100
Transport Wind (mph) N 14 E 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 68600 36900
ADI Early 45 Gen Good 7 Poor 32 Fair
ADI Late 65 Good 6 Very Poor 38 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Light
winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
60 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-211900-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
158 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Showers Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 20
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 20
Max/Min Temp 88 70 85
Min/Max RH (%) 54 95 65
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) N 4 NE 4 NE 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) N 7 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 8 PM 8 AM
Precip End 5 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0900 2000 72/0600
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5000 4200
Transport Wind (mph) N 13 E 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 65000 42000
ADI Early 45 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 34 Fair
ADI Late 58 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 37 Fair
Max LVORI Early 6 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Light
winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH
54 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...21