Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
780
FNUS52 KILM 141957
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
357 PM EDT Wed May 14 2025
.DISCUSSION...
A slow moving upper low will continue to lift northward through
tonight, with shower and storm chances continuing. Mostly dry
conditions will build in for late week with above-normal
temperatures expected this weekend. Small rain chances return
over the weekend ahead of a weak cold front.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-151200-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
357 PM EDT Wed May 14 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None None
Chance Precip (%) 40 30 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 20 20 0 0
Min/Max Temp 65 89 67 93
Max/Min RH (%) 97 60 94 49
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 SW 5 SW 7 G17 SW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 SW 8 G18 SW 4 SW 6
Precip Amount 0.15 0.07 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 5 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 72/0900 1900 77/0900
Dispersion Fair Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4700 4000
Transport Wind (mph) SW 20 W 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 94000 52000
ADI Early 16 Gen Poor 55 Gen Good 13 Gen Poor 30 Fair
ADI Late 8 Poor 76 Good 6 Very Poor 48 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 5 5
Max LVORI Late 6 2 6 2
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B F A
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
90 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
43 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
84 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
59 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-151200-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
357 PM EDT Wed May 14 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None None
Chance Precip (%) 50 30 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 20 20 0 0
Min/Max Temp 64 89 68 93
Max/Min RH (%) 97 48 92 45
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 4 SW 4 SW 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 7 Lgt/Var SW 5
Precip Amount 0.31 0.06 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 5 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 71/0900 1900 76/0900
Dispersion Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6000 3200
Transport Wind (mph) SW 22 SW 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 132000 38400
ADI Early 10 Poor 47 Gen Good 12 Poor 26 Fair
ADI Late 8 Poor 121 Very Good6 Very Poor 39 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 7 4 5
Max LVORI Late 6 1 6 2
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B F A
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
86 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 87 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
40 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
83 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-151200-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
357 PM EDT Wed May 14 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None None
Chance Precip (%) 40 20 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 20 20 0 0
Min/Max Temp 65 91 69 94
Max/Min RH (%) 96 46 90 48
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 5 SW 4 SW 6 G18 SW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 SW 8 G18 Lgt/Var SW 5
Precip Amount 0.09 0.01 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1 0
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 9 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 74/0900 1900 77/0900
Dispersion Fair Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6200 3700
Transport Wind (mph) SW 21 W 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 130200 37000
ADI Early 9 Poor 52 Gen Good 12 Poor 32 Fair
ADI Late 8 Poor 118 Very Good6 Very Poor 41 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 4 5
Max LVORI Late 6 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
87 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
45 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-151200-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
357 PM EDT Wed May 14 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None None
Chance Precip (%) 40 20 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 20 20 0 0
Min/Max Temp 65 90 68 93
Max/Min RH (%) 98 44 91 44
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 4 SW 5 SW 5 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 8 Lgt/Var SW 5
Precip Amount 0.12 0.03 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1 0
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 8 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 73/0900 2000 76/0900
Dispersion Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5800 3700
Transport Wind (mph) SW 23 W 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 133400 48100
ADI Early 11 Poor 48 Gen Good 13 Gen Poor 29 Fair
ADI Late 8 Poor 101 Very Good6 Very Poor 55 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 3 5
Max LVORI Late 6 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 91 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 40 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
88 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...Weiner