Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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998
FXUS62 KILM 151819
AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
219 PM EDT Wed Jul 15 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Aviation discussion updated for the 18Z TAF cycle and key
message was adjusted slightly.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Hot with largely rain-free conditions.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1... Hot with largely rain-free conditions.

Ridging will build just north of the area with a return to above
normal temperatures through the end of the work week. Heat
Advisories appear likely by Friday as humidity starts to
recover with S/SW winds. By the weekend moisture should have
recovered enough to support typical afternoon showers/storms
with isolated to scattered coverage, but these aren`t
anticipated to help preclude the heat threat into next week.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
High confidence in VFR all areas this valid taf period. Winds
will generally be light and variable but could run 5 to 10 kt
out of the S-SE in sea breeze areas this afternoon.

Extended Forecast... High pressure will persist into the upcoming
weekend with predominantly VFR conditions through the period.

&&

.MARINE...
Wednesday through Sunday... Light winds becoming more southerly in
the afternoon with the sea breeze and about 10 kts near shore.
S/SW flow returns Thursday with wind speeds increasing Saturday
as a trough strengthens inland. Small Craft Advisory gusts may
be possible for the weekend, and the wind wave will become more
dominant. Seas largely 2-3 ft increasing to 4-5 ft this weekend.

&&

.ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...Coastal Flood Advisory from 7 PM this evening to midnight EDT
     tonight for NCZ106-108-110.
     Coastal Flood Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 3 AM EDT
     Thursday for NCZ107.
SC...Coastal Flood Advisory from 7 PM this evening to midnight EDT
     tonight for SCZ054-056.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

WHAT HAS CHANGED...31
KEY MESSAGES...31
DISCUSSION...31
AVIATION...31
MARINE...31