Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FXUS62 KILM 151052
AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
652 AM EDT Wed Jul 15 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Aviation discussion updated for the 06Z TAF cycle. A Coastal
Flood Advisory is out for the beaches and downtown Wilmington
for this evening`s high tide.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Hot with largely rain-free conditions.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1... Hot with largely rain-free conditions.

Ridging will build just north of the area with a return to above
normal temperatures through the end of the work week. Heat
Advisories appear likely starting as early as Thursday as humidity
starts to recover with S/SW winds. By the weekend moisture should
have recovered enough to support typical afternoon showers/storms
with isolated to scattered coverage, but these aren`t anticipated to
help beat the heat into next week at this time.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Patchy fog should dissipate quickly this morning. High
confidence in VFR all areas within the next couple of hours.
Afternoon sea breeze will turn winds more S/SE at 5-10 kts at
the coast making it to inland terminals in the evening. Drier
air will keep rain chances near zero today. Fog or stratus is
possible tonight with drier air aloft.

Extended Forecast... High pressure will persist into the upcoming
weekend with predominantly VFR conditions through the period.

&&

.MARINE...
Wednesday through Sunday... Light winds becoming more southerly in
the afternoon with the sea breeze, ~10 kts near shore. S/SW flow
returns Thursday with wind speeds increasing Saturday as a trough
strengthens inland. Small Craft Advisory gusts may be possible for
the weekend, and the wind wave will become more dominant. Seas
largely 2-3 ft increasing to 4-5 ft this weekend.

&&

.ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...Coastal Flood Advisory from 7 PM this evening to midnight EDT
     tonight for NCZ106-108-110.
     Coastal Flood Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 3 AM EDT
     Thursday for NCZ107.
SC...Coastal Flood Advisory from 7 PM this evening to midnight EDT
     tonight for SCZ054-056.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

WHAT HAS CHANGED...ILM
KEY MESSAGES...ILM
DISCUSSION...LEW
AVIATION...21/LEW
MARINE...LEW