357
FXUS63 KICT 142256
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
556 PM CDT Tue Jul 14 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Mostly dry this week along with seasonable temperatures
  through Friday.

- Isolated showers and perhaps a rogue thunderstorm or two may
  be possible Wed-Thu afternoon but most areas are expected to
  remain dry.

- A warming trend beginning this weekend and lasting into early
  next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1245 PM CDT Tue Jul 14 2026

A mid/upper ridge remains anchored over the Northern Plains bringing
a continuation of dry and mild conditions to the area.  A more
subtle easterly wave is progged to arrive on Wed-Thu ushering in a
much higher PWAT airmass. As we remain uncapped, we could see some
diurnally driven showers and more isolated thunderstorms over parts
of southeast KS on Wed-Thu but widespread wetting precipitation is
not anticipated. Efficient rainfall is expected with any storm that
develops, leading to some pockets of heavy rain and gusty winds. We
expect afternoon highs to top out around 90 Wed-Thu with more
seasonable temperatures in the low to mid 90s as we move into Friday.

The mid/upper ridge is progged to amplify over the Rockies/Central
Plains as we move into the weekend and early next week bringing
a warming trend to the area with highs reaching the upper
90s/around 100 on Sunday-Monday while dry weather conditions
linger over the area.

A frontal boundary may bring some relief by Tuesday, but above
average temperatures are still anticipated before we see some
potential for cooler air as we move towards the middle of next week.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 556 PM CDT Tue Jul 14 2026

VFR conditions alongside east/southeast winds under 10 kts are
expected to prevail at all terminals through the end of the period.
Could see a brief shower or weak thunderstorm in southeast KS after
16Z, but confidence is too low to warrant a group at this time.

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...MWM
AVIATION...JWK