188
FXUS63 KICT 311946
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
246 PM CDT Mon Aug 31 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Hot and breezy this coming week, especially across central and
  south central Kansas.

- Widespread meaningful rainfall appears unlikely over the next
  seven days.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 243 PM CDT Mon Aug 31 2026

Currently, a strong mid/upper level ridge remains centered just off
to our south and east. An area of 850mb frontogenesis extends across
central Kansas and led to morning showers for portions of Barton and
Russell counties. With diurnal heating and this existing weak
boundary, a few isolated showers/thunderstorms may be possible,
though kept POPs low through the afternoon due to very high
uncertainty. A surface trough remains draped across the Central High
Plains through the next couple of days, leading to scattered
rain/storm chances for locations well west of the forecast
area. Otherwise, broad ridging will dominate the forecast period
leading to dry weather and above normal temperatures. With the
ridge axis just to our east through the end of the work-week,
highs in the upper 90s to around 100 degrees are expected. Mid
range guidance indicates the ridge will build back west for the
weekend into early next week leading to increasing heights and
warmer temperatures. Forecast highs for the end of the period
are not entirely reflective of this persistent ridging pattern
as NBM guidance is more heavily weighted on climatology later in
the period. Regardless, the story remains the same, well above
normal temperatures and dry conditions will persist.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 1221 PM CDT Mon Aug 31 2026

VFR conditions are probable at all TAF sites the next 24 hours.
A nearly stalled weak frontal zone may provide enough focus for
an extremely isolated shower/thunderstorm late this afternoon
and evening near or just north of RSL, but suspect capping will
prove strong enough to prevent this activity.

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...AMD
AVIATION...ADK