657
FXUS63 KICT 052317
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
617 PM CDT Tue May 5 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Much cooler through Wednesday with a return to seasonable
  temperatures Thursday.

- Above normal temperatures return for Friday and Saturday with
  storm chances returning late Saturday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 125 PM CDT Tue May 5 2026

A deep trough was situated over Ontario while another shortwave
trough over the Northern High Plains was rotating through this
feature and will arrive over the Central Rockies/Central High Plains
tonight and Wednesday. This feature will merge with another
shortwave trough lifting out of the Southwest bringing
increasing chances for showers and some wintry weather into
parts of northwest Kansas. Mid-level warm air advection is
progged to increase tonight and persist into Wednesday morning
leading to continued chances for light rain showers, with the
highest confidence for precipitation in central and western
Kansas early in the day before diminishing as we move into the
afternoon hours. We still expect rainfall amounts to remain on
the light side with most locations seeing less than 0.25 inches
of rain. Another cool day is anticipated with below average
temperatures; afternoon highs are expected to top out in the 50s
once again.

As surface high pressure builds into the Lower/Middle Mississippi
Valley area on Thursday, southerly low level flow will return to the
Central Plains. This will allow seasonably mild air to return to the
area with some increasing insolation and highs in the upper
60s/lower 70s. A subtle frontal boundary is progged to sweep over
the area on Friday with little impacts to sensible weather
anticipated.

Another shortwave trough is progged to dig into the Central Plains
late Saturday bringing increasing chances for showers and perhaps a
few storms with cooler air arriving in it`s wake. Northwest
mid/upper flow is progged to prevail Mon-Tue with mild and mostly
dry weather conditions anticipated through the period.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 615 PM CDT Tue May 5 2026

Low clouds just above MVFR will persist across the region along
with northeast winds. Scattered rain showers will spread across
the area this evening then look to become more numerous later
tonight into the morning hours on Wednesday. This will also
cause cigs to lower into the MVFR category later tonight into
the the morning.

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...MWM
AVIATION...CDJ