899
FXUS63 KICT 231652
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1052 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Much warmer through next weekend with only a subtle cooldown
  on Wednesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 157 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2025

A subtle shortwave trough moving over the Northern Plains will send
a diffuse frontal boundary into northern KS today. A prefrontal
trough will allow low level southwesterly flow to develop across
much of the area where H85 waa is progged. This is expected to
result in rising temperatures for much of the area today with
highs climbing into the 50s although a couple of lower 60s will
be possible in parts of south central KS.

Mon-Tue...A similar scenario is anticipated as we move into Monday
while another subtle and diffuse frontal boundary may impact parts
of northeast KS where some weak H85 caa is progged. The low
level thermal ridge is progged to impact much of southern KS
allowing highs to climb into the 60s for much of the forecast area.
The low level thermal ridge is expected to expand across the
area on Tue where we could see some highs climbing into the
lower 70s.

A more pronounced shortwave trough emerging from the Northern
Rockies and moving over the Northern Plains on Wed will drive
another cold front south over the area. This will bring temperatures
closer to climo although remaining above average for late Feb with
highs mostly in the 50s. Dry weather is expected to prevail with
this frontal passage while higher probabilities for precipitation are
expected to remain south and east of the area.

Northwest mid/upper flow is progged in the wake of this system and
is expected to remain in place from Thursday through Saturday.
This will result in a continuation of dry weather and above
average temperatures. A shortwave trough moving over the Great
Lakes area will drive another subtle frontal boundary south
toward the area late on Friday which may usher in a subtle
cooldown for Sat although most areas will continue to see highs
in the 60s.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 1046 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2025

Aviation concerns are expected to remain on the low side through
the next 24 hours.

A broad area of lee troughing will remain in place for today
through Mon. This will continue light west/southwest winds and
VFR conditions at all sites.

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...MWM
AVIATION...RBL