832
FXUS63 KICT 101722
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1122 AM CST Mon Nov 10 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Cool again today with a warming trend starting on Tuesday,
  persisting through the week.

- Dry conditions will persist through the work week with rain
  chances increasing over the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 307 AM CST Mon Nov 10 2025

A ridge of high pressure at the surface was sprawling over Kansas
early this morning. Under the ridge we have calm winds, clear
conditions and very dry air allowing for excellent radiational
cooling. Early morning temperatures were already in the teens and
20s.

Below average temperatures will persist today as the area of high
pressure translates slowly southeastward away from the area. This
will allow southerly flow to return from west to east late today and
tonight.

A trough of low pressure will bring southwest low level flow to the
area on Tue allowing temperatures to quickly moderate.

Wed-Fri...a mid/upper ridge is progged to amplify and move eastward
over the central CONUS. Tranquil weather will overspread the region
with mild and above average temperatures through the week. An
increasing pressure gradient late in the week will allow breezy
southerly winds to return.

A shortwave trough is progged to move over the Southern Plains this
weekend bringing increasing chances for precipitation to the area.
We continue to see some differences in where this feature will track
leading to low confidence at this time, but another cold front
should impact the area Sat night and showers and storms are expected
to accompany the frontal boundary, possibly lingering into Sunday
across southeast KS. The front will usher in more seasonable air for
the area on Sunday with highs in the 50s.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 1117 AM CST Mon Nov 10 2025

Aviation concerns are expected to remain on the low side through
the next 24 hours.

Surface high will continue to shift east today and will allow
light north winds to flip around to the south by later this
afternoon. Cirrus will be on the increase this afternoon but
confidence remains high that VFR conditions will remain in
place. Some low level speed shear will setup later tonight, with
southwest winds by around 2,000ft around 40kts.

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...MWM
AVIATION...RBL