466
FXUS63 KICT 031049
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
549 AM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Periodic rain showers Today-Saturday night

- Dry weather will prevail for Sunday through Wednesday

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 246 AM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025

A large mid/upper trough was situated over the Southwest while the
H2 jet stretched from Mexico north and east over the Great Lakes
area. The entrance region to the upper jet will provide some support
for periodic showers beginning today followed by a brief lull before
a secondary shortwave trough brings a round of showers to the area
early on Friday. Limited insolation combined with an easterly
upslope flow will limit our diurnal temperature range with
seasonably cool highs in the 50s and low 60s. We could see a few
thunderstorms in far southeast KS this evening but the better
support for strong or severe activity is expected to remain
south of the area. Friday evening looks like a repeat performance
with a few storms possible in southeast KS once again while
light rain showers will be possible over the remainder of the
area. The better moisture and instability is expected to remain
south and east of our area and the probability for strong or
severe storms appears low. Friday still appears to have the best
chance for more widespread rainfall, especially across southeast
Kansas.

We continue to see low probabilities for some light snow mixing with
rain over parts of central KS late Sat into Sat night but impacts
are expected to remain limited at this time. Strong H85 cold air
advection will result in below average temperatures with highs
struggling to climb out of the 40s for many areas. Normal highs for
April 5th are in the mid and upper 60s.

Dry and quiet weather is expected to return for Sun-Wed with moderating
temperatures. Northwest mid/upper flow could steer some shortwave
troughs into the region bringing a chance for light precipitation
late in the week. Seasonably mild conditions are expected by Tue-
Wed with highs in the 60s and 70s.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 545 AM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025

Clouds in the 10k ft range this morning will gradually lower
with increasing chances for showers from north to south as we
move through the day. MVFR is expected to be most prevalent
along and east of the Kansas Turnpike today while low cigs
rapidly expand north and westward over the area this evening and
tonight with IFR/LIFR prevailing at most locations. Isolated
thunderstorms could impact far southeast Kansas this evening
before we see a lull in precipitation through much of the night.
Precipitation chances will increase once again during the
predawn hours on Friday with reduced flight categories likely
lingering into the day. Easterly winds at 10-15 mph will be
common through the period.

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...MWM
AVIATION...MWM