639
FXUS63 KICT 250848
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
248 AM CST Mon Nov 25 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Below average temperatures this week, with gusty winds
  throughout the day today.

- Chance for light rain/snow mix Wednesday night. Little to no travel
  impacts are expected at this time.

- Colder air arrives Thursday and then later this weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 247 AM CST Mon Nov 25 2024

Current water vapor imagery depicts a strong upper jet tracking its
way across the Desert Southwest early this morning. At the surface,
a cold front has pushed its way through Kansas and currently spans
from Oklahoma to Illinois. The passage of this boundary brought
gusty northerly/northwesterly winds to the forecast region earlier
Sunday evening along with a blast of cold air. This airmass will
hang around the region for the next several days and keep
temperatures seasonably cool to below normal. The coolest part of
the work week looks to be today, with highs in the low to mid 40s
across most of the area as a modest surface pressure gradient keeps
winds gusting up to 25 mph through the afternoon. These will
gradually relax later this afternoon and evening.

Southerly surface winds will return to the area on Tuesday as zonal
flow aloft continues throughout the Plains. This will allow for
slightly warmer albeit below average temperatures (upper 40s and
lower 50s) prior to the arrival of another cold front Tuesday night
into Wednesday. There remains a low chance for some sort of
sprinkles or flurries Wednesday night within the post-frontal
airmass, though forcing at this point looks much too weak to
provide any meaningful accumulations or resultant impacts to travel.

Cool and dry conditions are expected for Thanksgiving Day alongside
light northerly winds. High temperatures will only reach into the
low 40s and will thus be about 10 degrees below normal. This cool
trend will continue into the weekend and will be further reinforced
by an additional cold front bringing a Canadian airmass to the
region by Saturday. Zonal/northwest flow aloft will likely keep us
dry through the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 1141 PM CST Sun Nov 24 2024

Main aviation concern will be some MVFR cigs over the next
several hours.

Cold front stretches from Central MO through extreme Southeast
KS with colder air spilling south across the area. A band of
MVFR cigs stretches from northeast KS into the west central
portion of the state and will continue pushing south tonight,
affecting all TAF sites. This area of cigs will remain
progressive and will exit central KS by around 11z and south
central KS by around 14z, leaving VFR conditions in place for
most of Mon.

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...JWK
AVIATION...RBL