538
FXUS63 KICT 242335
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
535 PM CST Sun Nov 24 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A cold front will usher in much cooler air tonight with below
  normal temperatures lingering through the upcoming week.

- A few sprinkles or flurries will remain possible Wed-Wed night
  with little or no impacts to travel anticipated.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 117 PM CST Sun Nov 24 2024

A cold front was bisecting Kansas early this afternoon. This front
is progged to continue moving southward across the region through
tonight and as the lagging cold air advection arrives, the pbl is
progged to remain well mixed allowing gusty northerly winds to
persist through the night. Some gusts in the 25-30 knot range will
be common across the area. Breezy northerly winds early in the
period on Monday will relax as we move through the day as high
pressure settles over the region late in the day.

A progressive zonal flow regime will allow southerly winds to
quickly return to the area on Tue with moderating temperatures
anticipated. Most areas will see highs in the lower 50s. Another
cold front will sink southward late Tue night into Wed ushering in
another surge of Canadian air.

Maintained a chance of sprinkles or flurries in the post-frontal
airmass mainly on Wed night although the latest NBM has trended
lower with pops.

Thu-Sun...Below normal temperatures and dry weather is anticipated
for Thanksgiving Day. Light winds are expected by afternoon as high
pressure settles over the area with highs only climbing into the
lower 40s. Confidence remains high that below normal temperatures
will prevail into next weekend. A surge of modified arctic air is
expected to arrive in the wake of the shortwave trough moving over
the Northern Plains on Sat. This cold front will usher in the
coldest air of the season late in the weekend but dry conditions are
expected to prevail.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 535 PM CST Sun Nov 24 2024

Gusty north winds will prevail behind the cold frontal passage
this evening and overnight. A period of post-frontal MVFR cigs
can be expected as well, though confidence in timing is rather
low. Winds will remain gusty during the early part of Monday
before diminishing toward late afternoon.

KED

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...MWM
AVIATION...KED