


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Huntsville, AL
Issued by NWS Huntsville, AL
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881 FXUS64 KHUN 071715 AFDHUN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Huntsville AL 1215 PM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025 ...New AVIATION... .NEAR TERM... (Rest of Today and Tonight) Issued at 1003 AM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025 An area of moderate rainfall this morning has pushed north and east of the forecast area into eastern TN. Light showers remain across much of northern AL and southern middle TN and are forecast to linger through the afternoon and evening hours. These showers are all occurring out ahead of a slow moving cold front that based on sfc obs is located just east of Memphis. A few CAM solutions indicate a brief uptick in both the coverage and intensity in precip late this afternoon, however given the abundant dense cloud cover that does not appear as likely. That being said expect a dreary afternoon and evening with afternoon highs reaching the upper 70s to around 80F. Heading into the overnight hours, the aformentioned cold front continues to shift southeast towards the local forecast area. While there is still some uncertainty at when the front moves through, model consensus indicates that is should be moving into GA by daybreak Wed. Therefore, any lingering showers overnight will end from west to east during the early morning hours. One last mild and humid night with lows hovering in the upper 60s to lower 70s. && .SHORT TERM... (Wednesday through Thursday Night) Issued at 1003 AM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025 A cooler and drier airmass begins to advect in from the northwest in the wake of a passing cold front. As a result, the short term forecast period will feel like Fall with afternoon highs Wed in the mid to upper 70s and Thu in the low to mid 70s. Overnight lows will feel refreshing in the low to mid 50s. Biggest weather concern during this period is an increase in gradient winds in between the high across the Midwest and the trough across the East Coast. Winds Wed afternoon are forecast to gust 20-25 mph before diminishing in the evening. Otherwise, enjoy the Fall weather. && .LONG TERM... (Friday through Monday) Issued at 1040 PM CDT Mon Oct 6 2025 Data from the latest suite of global models continues to suggest that a mid-level trough (initially across GA/SC) will evolve into a rather deep closed low as it drifts northeastward in the general vicinity of the southeastern Atlantic Coast over the course of the long term period. Although this development will occur in response to an intense high-level speed max digging south- southeastward through our region this weekend, it still appears as if our forecast area will remain on the dry/western side of the low, with little to no opportunity for additional rainfall (aside from a few afternoon showers along the Cumberland Plateau on Friday). Highs will slowly warm from the l-m 70s on Friday into the u70s-l80s by Monday, with pleasantly cool overnight lows in the u40s-l50s. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1215 PM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025 Several areas of showers are slowly moving off to the ENE this afternoon across northern AL. MVFR ceilings continue to persist with some additional lowering below fuel alternate expected as the rain moves over the terminals. Winds may gust to 15 knots at times this afternoon/evening. A cold front approaching from the west will shift the winds from S/SW to NW, this will also coincide with the precip ending. Low clouds likely remain in place with IFR cigs possible in the morning. Confidence is still low in that occurring so left as SCT cloud deck. && .HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...None. TN...None. && $$ NEAR TERM...GH SHORT TERM....GH LONG TERM....70 AVIATION...GH